re: Best home field advantage last 5 years in the SEC

This is kinda misleading. We haven’t played a ton of teams that finished the year top 10 in that span other than Notre Dame in ‘19, Tennessee in ‘22, and Ole Miss & Mizzou in ‘23

I went pretty in depth on this in the fall LINK

Hasn’t been updated since October but here’s the data:

Since 2017

Overall
1. Alabama: 80-9 (.899)
2. Georgia: 79-10 (.888)
3. LSU: 59-25 (.702)
4. Kentucky: 52-30 (.634)
5. Texas A&M: 50-29 (.633)
6. Florida: 49-32 (.605)
7. Auburn: 47-34 (.580)
8. Miss St: 46-36 (.561)
9. Ole Miss: 43-35 (.551)
10. Mizzou: 43-36 (.544)
11. Tennessee: 42-36 (.538)
12. South Carolina: 39-40 (.493)
13. Arkansas: 29-49 (.372)
14. Vanderbilt: 23-54 (.299)

At Home
1. Georgia: 39-1 (.975)
2. Alabama: 38-2 (.950)
3. LSU: 33-7 (.825)
4. Auburn: 33-10 (.767)
5. Florida: 32-10 (.762)
6. Kentucky: 33-12 (.733)
7. Texas A&M: 32-12 (.727)
8. Mizzou: 31-15 (.674)
9. Miss St: 31-15 (.674)
10. Ole Miss: 29-15 (.659)
11. South Carolina: 27-16 (.628)
12. Tennessee: 28-17 (.622)
13. Arkansas: 21-23 (.477)
14. Vanderbilt: 16-27 (.372)

Road/Neutral
1. Alabama: 42-7 (.857)
2. Georgia: 40-9 (.816)
3. LSU: 26-18 (.591)
4. Texas A&M 18-17 (.514)
5. Kentucky: 19-18 (.513)
6. Florida: 17-22 (.436)
7. Tennessee: 14-19 (.424)
8. Miss St: 15-21 (.417)
9. Ole Miss: 14-20 (.412)
10. Auburn: 14-24 (.368)
11. Mizzou: 12-21 (.364)
12. South Carolina: 12-24 (.333)
13. Arkansas: 8-26 (.235)
14. Vanderbilt: 7-27 (.206)

Change in Win Pct
1. Auburn (+.399)
2. Florida (+.326)
3. Mizzou (+.310)
4. South Carolina (+.295)
5. Miss St (+.257)
6. Ole Miss (+.247)
7. Arkansas (+.242)
8. LSU (+.234)
9. Kentucky (+.220)
10. Texas A&M (+.213)
11. Tennessee (+.198)
12. Vanderbilt (+.166)
13. Georgia (+.159)
14. Alabama (+.093)


The above is an awful metric to evaluate this for a number of reasons. Obviously SOS is one factor. Rent-a-wins too. Also, in the case of the teams who have been elite in this span like Georgia and Alabama, the change in win pct can't be very high when the overall win pct is already .800+. We must go deeper.


At home vs Top 25
1. Georgia: 9-0 (1.000)
2. Alabama: 10-2 (.833)
3. Florida: 5-2 (.714)
4. LSU: 9-4 (.692)
5. Auburn: 7-7 (.500)
5. Texas A&m: 7-7 (.500)
7. Kentucky: 4-5 (.444)
8. Miss St: 5-9 (.357)
9. Ole Miss: 4-8 (.333)
10. Tennessee: 4-9 (.308)
11. Arkansas: 3-11 (.214)
12. Mizzou: 2-8 (.200)
13. Vandy: 2-12 (.143)
14. South Carolina: 1-11 (.083)

Road/Neutral vs Top 25
1. Alabama: 19-7 (.731)
2. Georgia: 19-9 (.679)
3. LSU: 11-10 (.524)
4. Miss St: 5-9 (.357)
5. Tennessee: 5-11 (.313)
6. Kentucky: 4-10 (.286)
7. Texas A&M: 3-9 (.250)
7. Ole Miss: 3-9 (.250)
9. Mizzou: 2-8 (.200)
10. South Carolina: 3-12 (.200)
11. Auburn: 4-17 (.190)
12. Florida: 3-14 (.176)
13. Arkansas: 2-16 (.111)
14. Vandy: 0-10 (.000)

Change in Win Pct vs Top 25
1. Florida (+.538)
2. Georgia (+.321)
3. Auburn (+.310)
4. Kentucky (+.258)
5. Texas A&M (+.250)
6. LSU (+.168)
7. Vandy (+.143)
8. Arkansas (+.103)
9. Alabama (+.102)
10. Ole Miss (+.083)
11. Mizzou (.000)
12. Miss St (.000)
13. Tennessee (-.005)
14. South Carolina (-.117)


And also Top 10:


At home vs Top 10
1. Georgia: 5-0 (1.000)
2. Florida: 3-1 (.750)
3. LSU: 6-3 (.666)
4. Alabama: 1-1 (.500)
4. Texas A&M: 4-4 (.500)
6. Auburn: 4-5 (.444)
7. Kentucky: 1-4 (.200)
8. Ole Miss: 1-5 (.167)
9. Miss St: 1-6 (.143)
10. South Carolina: 1-7 (.125)
10. Tennessee: 1-7 (.125)
12. Mizzou: 0-3 (.000)
13. Arkansas: 0-6 (.000)
14. Vandy: 0-8 (.000)

Road/Neutral vs Top 10
1. Alabama: 11-4 (.733)
2. LSU: 8-5 (.615)
3. Georgia: 11-7 (.611)
4. South Carolina: 2-5 (.286)
5. Florida: 2-8 (.200)
6. Miss St: 1-5 (.167)
7. Ole Miss: 1-5 (.167)
8. Texas A&m: 1-6 (.143)
9. Tennessee: 1-7 (.125)
10. Arkansas: 1-8 (.111)
11. Auburn: 1-13 (0.071)
12. Mizzou: 0-6 (.000)
13. Vandy: 0-7 (.000)
14. Kentucky: 0-8 (.000)

Change in Win Pct vs Top 10
1. Florida (+.550)
2. Georgia (+.389)
3. Auburn (+.373)
4. Texas A&M (+.357)
5. Kentucky (+.200)
6. LSU (+.051)
7. Miss St (+.024)
8. Mizzou (.000)
8. Ole Miss (.000)
8. Tennessee (.000)
8. Vandy (.000)
12. Arkansas (-.111)
13. South Carolina (-.161)
14. Alabama (-.233)


This is better but there are still a few problems with the metrics above. Sample size, aforementioned issues. To scoring margin we go.


Scoring Margin vs Top 25 at home
1. Georgia (+21.1)
2. Alabama (+15.4)
3. Florida (+4.1)
4. Auburn (+1.9)
5. Kentucky (+1.1)
6. LSU (-0.3)
7. Texas A&M (-0.5)
8. Miss St (-7.9)
9. Tennessee (-12.3)
10. Ole Miss (-12.4)
11. Arkansas (-14.6)
12. Mizzou (-15.1)
13. South Carolina (-17.3)
14. Vanderbilt (-26.6)

Scoring Margin vs Top 25 on road/neutral
1. Alabama (+9.8)
2. Georgia (+6.4)
3. LSU (+0.1)
4. Florida (-11.0)
5. South Carolina (-11.0)
6. Auburn (-11.1)
7. Texas A&M (-11.8)
8. Tennessee (-12.6)
9. Kentucky (-13.6)
10. Miss St (-14.2)
11. Ole Miss (-15.1)
12. Arkansas (-15.1)
13. Mizzou (-19.0)
14. Vandy (-27.8)

Change in Margin for Home/Away vs Top 25
1. Florida (+15.1)
2. Georgia (+14.7)
3. Kentucky (+14.7)
4. Auburn (+13.0)
5. Texas A&M (11.3)
6. Miss St (+6.3)
7. Alabama (+5.6)
8. Mizzou (+3.9)
9. Ole Miss (+2.7)
10. Vandy (+1.2)
11. Arkansas (+0.5)
12. Tennessee (+0.3)
13. LSU (-0.4)
14. South Carolina (-6.3)


Scoring Margin vs Top 10 at home
1. Georgia (+19.0)
2. Alabama (+6.0)
3. Florida (+5.0)
4. Texas A&M (+0.6)
5. LSU (0.0)
6. Auburn (-0.2)
7. Kentucky (-7.5)
8. Mizzou (-12.3)
9. Miss St (-17.6)
10. Arkansas (-18.2)
11. Ole Miss (-18.3)
12. South Carolina (-22.4)
13. Tennessee (-24.0)
14. Vandy (-38.1)


Scoring Margin vs Top 10 on road/neutral
1. Alabama (+7.9)
2. Georgia (+3.4)
3. LSU (+3.2)
4. South Carolina (-11.7)
5. Florida (-12.3)
6. Auburn (-15.6)
7. Texas A&M (-16.4)
8. Tennessee (-20.6)
9. Miss St (-21.3)
10. Arkansas (-23.7)
11. Ole Miss (-25.8)
12. Kentucky (-30.4)
13. Mizzou (-30.7)
14. Vandy (-30.8)

Change in Margin for Home/Away vs Top 10
1. Kentucky (+22.9)
2. Mizzou (+18.4)
3. Florida (+17.3)
4. Texas A&M (+16.9)
5. Georgia (+15.6)
6. Auburn (15.4)
7. Vandy (+7.7)
8. Ole Miss (+7.5)
9. Arkansas (+5.5)
10. Miss St (+3.7)
11. Alabama (-1.9)
12. LSU (-3.2)
13. Tennessee (-3.4)
14. South Carolina (-10.7)



In some cases the sample size is too low for vs top 10, but I think we can get a good consensus by looking at all the metrics combined.

Best Home Field Advantages since 2017
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. Georgia
4. Auburn
5. Texas A&M
6. LSU
7. Mizzou
8. Miss St
9. Alabama
10. Vandy
11. Ole Miss
12. Arkansas
13. Tennessee
14. South Carolina