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re: LSU officially qualified for the SEC tournament; tracking our SECt seed
Posted on 5/18/24 at 6:21 am to notbilly
Posted on 5/18/24 at 6:21 am to notbilly
quote:I think we all knew LSU would make the SEC tournament once they won the Missouri series... it's the Regional I'm worried about.
I wish I had bookmarked all the dipshits proclaiming how this team wouldn’t make the SEC tournament.
And I'm still worried. Right now, we're still barely on the bubble. OK overall record, boosted by the OOC schedule which was pretty weak. We need to win today to get to the minimal conference record that would give us a decent chance, and we've lost the head-to-head with Vandy, Bama, and Florida (2 at home), 3 of the teams we're competing with to get in. We have a series win vs A&M, wins against ranked Texas and ULL, and maybe the Nicholls game will help (if they can win the Southland). After that, it's a whole bunch of mediocrity: 0-6 against Arkansas and Tennessee, only 4-2 against the 2 SEC teams that won't make the SEC tourney, home losses OOC against Southern, Xavier and Stony Brook (all bad teams).
There's really not a lot to build our case on, and that's for trying to just get into the postseason.
Posted on 5/18/24 at 8:52 am to Scoob
quote:our case has been built up by everything going right for us this weekend. We blew controlling our own destiny last week when we lost to Bama.
There's really not a lot to build our case on, and that's for trying to just get into the postseason.
13-17 is historically a long shot to make a regional in the SEC but with how this weekend has gone that record is going to be good enough for us to finish ahead of 3 teams we lost H2H to and are competing for a regional bid against. No sec team has ever gone 12-18 and made a regional (3 teams have made a regional at 12-17, none at 12-18).
If UF, Bama, Vandy all finish 12-18 then that’s 3 teams that could’ve taken a bid from us that we shouldn’t have to worry about anymore if Saturday goes our way with those guys losing and LSU sweeps.
Our SEC standing and top 30 RPI will be good enough for a regional in that case and there’s about 10 at-large teams with an RPI lower than us that are projected to be in a regional per D1baseball as of Wednesday. A lot of those teams lost this weekend too.
Baseball gods are finally giving us some breaks and hopefully that continues on the final day today
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