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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:17 am to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35653 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:17 am to
quote:

Honestly I think going up to the mountains would be a bad idea, even if it's seemingly on the dry side. 40" in the mountains will be catastrophic. Mudslides will wash out roads. Dams could be in trouble. Seeing what that kind of rain did to houston last year, I can't imagine that happening in a place with topography.


The idea is the wind is going to push moisture at the front of the mountains and squeeze out quite a bit of the rain. You note why you'd want to check the rainfall forecasts for your place of choice.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17683 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:22 am to
True. I guess my point was that roads could get washed out which could leave people stranded... you'd hope the local weather stations accurately depict the inland rainfall issue to people along to coast so they don't evacuate into a potentially worse hazard. People don't die from wind; people die when their car gets swept off a road by a river.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35653 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:23 am to
quote:

I guess my point was that roads could get washed out which could leave people stranded... you'd hope the local weather stations accurately depict the inland rainfall issue to people along to coast so they don't evacuate into a potentially worse hazard.


It's not a bad point to make. These are things you have to consider when doing an evac from your home.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90977 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:32 am to
quote:

Also, try Sears online. When I have trouble finding some things that are sold out, Sears is my secret weapon because no one shops there


Genius

Don’t get why Sears fell so hard. Used to be such a great place to find anything
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
51142 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:33 am to
quote:

Don't worry about the fine details of landfall where you are, just assume Cat 4 coming right at you.


Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41550 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:37 am to
HH getting ready to fly into Florence.
Posted by ShYzA
Member since Feb 2011
614 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:39 am to
Does anyone know what happens with scheduled flights?

Example - I’m flying into CHS on Thurs night. Will airlines allow free cancellation if the airport will be closed?
Posted by 1ranter1
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2008
10401 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:39 am to
quote:

Meanwhile in Hawaii.


Wasn’t it a thing that hurricanes never hit Hawaii? Two in one season is crazy.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:41 am to
Time to evacuate is tough to calculate.

We have family in Salisbury nc.
They are outside the eastern edge of the 20" area as predicted. 15"?



Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41550 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:42 am to
Oh just for the hell of it Helene is now a category 2 hurricane with 105 winds. No threat to land.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
147596 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:45 am to
thanks for all your replies.

quote:

Navy ships off Virginia’s coast are getting set to sail out of the path of the powerful hurricane, one North Carolina university has canceled classes and people have begun stocking up on plywood, bottled water and other supplies even with Florence still far out at sea southeast of Bermuda.

People up and down the densely populated coast were told to be ready for the worst — and not just for a possible direct blow against the coast. They warned that Florence could slow or stall on or near shore, with some forecasting models showing it could unload a foot or two of rain in places, causing devastating inland flooding. Forecasters also warned of a rising threat of life-threatening storm surge, along with the damage of a hurricane’s high winds.

Red flags flying on beaches warned swimmers to stay out of waters as seas began kicking up. People rushed to get emergency kits ready, map out escape routes and fill sandbags and secure their homes.
How far inland is this flooding expected?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40257 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:46 am to
I cant think of many areas able to support two feet of rain in a short time period.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
147596 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:51 am to
UNCW Univ NC @ Wilmington cancelled all classes yesterday.
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
5320 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:53 am to
I frequent an area just north of Myrtle Beach. Getting from there to the interstate on a holiday weekend is near impossible.

I hope they start evacuations and contraflow early or there will be people trapped in their cars for this.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19825 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:55 am to
15ish mins of 30-sec scans

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85236 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 8:58 am to
quote:

Starting to really Zero in right on the NCSC border



12z model guidance. That's pretty tight this far out.

Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
147596 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:01 am to
quote:

I frequent an area just north of Myrtle Beach. Getting from there to the interstate on a holiday weekend is near impossible.

I hope they start evacuations and contraflow early or there will be people trapped in their cars for this.

this area is Calabash/Red River SC and you are so correct it will be a mess.

I did a web search for the latest and found this- just updated- saying landfall @ Cat 3. FOR NOW.

LINK
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 9:03 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85236 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:02 am to
quote:

How far inland is this flooding expected?



The furthest inland I've seen things was the overnight Euro.


Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171103 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:02 am to
quote:

Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential


So I guess the jokes about media hype are over?
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171103 posts
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:03 am to
Holy crap
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