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CFB Week 5 Betting Thread
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:01 pm
Terrible week for me as I implemented my bigger system and limped through Saturday at 12-15. Now at 28-27 YTD.
Just now looking at this weekend’s games. There will be some heavy showers affect games in Florida and the Southeast US, so take that into consideration this week.
Week 5 Lines
Just now looking at this weekend’s games. There will be some heavy showers affect games in Florida and the Southeast US, so take that into consideration this week.
Week 5 Lines
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 4:02 pm
9
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:07 pm to Blutarsky
Someone please help me out. I feel like I haven't won a bet in 3 weeks.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:08 pm to Blutarsky
Was curious where this thread was.
I’m on Wake so far. Seems like they can put up 35 vs. almost anyone.
I’m on Wake so far. Seems like they can put up 35 vs. almost anyone.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:11 pm to LSBoosie
Teams to fade or pass:
Utah State
Boise State
Auburn
Boston College
Utah State
Boise State
Auburn
Boston College
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 4:11 pm
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:25 pm to Jwho77
Add in these to fade:
Hawaii (especially if you get a line under 17)
UMASS
Hawaii (especially if you get a line under 17)
UMASS
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:27 pm to Blutarsky
Agree. Also add in VA Tech and UNC('s defense) but they play this week. 
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:29 pm to Blutarsky
Clemson v. NC state has an over/under of 40. With the weather, I kind of like the under. I know the line has already been adjusted for the storm, but I still like the under.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:29 pm to Blutarsky
Mississippi State -2, Iowa +11, South Alabama -9, Liberty -1.
Teaser:
Iowa -17
South Alabama-3
Washington State +2
LSU -3
Liberty +5
Western Kentucky PK
Teaser:
Iowa -17
South Alabama-3
Washington State +2
LSU -3
Liberty +5
Western Kentucky PK
Posted on 9/27/22 at 4:48 pm to CBP3110
Do not tease college football.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 7:08 pm to Leon Spinks
quote:
Do not tease college football.
I generally agree, but I'll have two or three teasers a year depending on the lines.
Last week for example, I teased Clemson -1 as they havent lost to wake in over a decade, but I don't trust Clemson this year. Fla St -11 over BC. The Noles could play bad and win by double digits, they played well and blew them out. Baylor +8.5. No way Iowa St wins by more than a score. Their game plan is grind it out and play slow.
That paid +160
Posted on 9/27/22 at 7:16 pm to Leon Spinks
Do it all the time, it’s easy
Posted on 9/27/22 at 7:17 pm to Leon Spinks
Have a down vote Leon
Posted on 9/27/22 at 7:35 pm to Leon Spinks
quote:
Do not tease college football.
Why? If you do some adequate research it can be a really safe and profitable bet. I’ve yet to lose on any of my teasers
Posted on 9/27/22 at 7:44 pm to rmnldr
quote:
Why?
In general, the variance is too high in college football, but if you identify the variance way bigger one way, I have no problem with it.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 8:17 pm to Blutarsky
Weather impacted games to look at the under (unless rescheduled)
Citadel vs App State
Virginia Tech vs UNC
Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina
NC State vs Clemson
UVA vs Duke
Liberty vs ODU
I wouldn’t put any of the Florida games still scheduled for Saturday since I bet those get moved. I believe it was 2016 when Hurricane Matthew came through and a bunch of games were played in North and South Carolina and I think every game went under
Citadel vs App State
Virginia Tech vs UNC
Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina
NC State vs Clemson
UVA vs Duke
Liberty vs ODU
I wouldn’t put any of the Florida games still scheduled for Saturday since I bet those get moved. I believe it was 2016 when Hurricane Matthew came through and a bunch of games were played in North and South Carolina and I think every game went under
Posted on 9/27/22 at 8:25 pm to Gountiss
quote:
Weather impacted games to look at the under (unless rescheduled)
Rain actually leans towards the over as defensive guys are the ones playing reactive. Wind is what really gets the unders going, obviously hurricanes have wind, but I don't know what it'll be as it gets to some of these places
Posted on 9/28/22 at 4:16 am to CBP3110
Let me guess you like to bet parlays too.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 8:40 am to Blutarsky
I would add Colorado as another auto-fade. I had UCLA -21.5 against them last week and they covered with ease.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 8:44 am to Blutarsky
quote:
Add in these to fade:
Hawaii (especially if you get a line under 17)
UMASS
Colorado
Colorado State
Posted on 9/28/22 at 8:58 am to etm512
Rice +10
Duke -2.5
Any idea on why rice is such a big dog at home?
Duke -2.5
Any idea on why rice is such a big dog at home?
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