re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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How much longer does everyone think before Russia gets a break through in the lines? I think it is getting worse by the day. At some point Ukraine is going to crack. It may not be over run but I think they will give up some big areas. Ukraine is being smart by reacting to Russian attacks but it will only take one mistake and Russia will exploit it. Not enough men on the lines for Ukraine.

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It seems that way, but despite all the doom and gloom on the Ukraine side; for some reason Russia has not broken through in a major thrust.

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How much longer does everyone think before Russia gets a break through in the lines?
I think it is getting worse by the day. At some point Ukraine is going to crack. It may not be over run but I think they will give up some big areas.
Ukraine is being smart by reacting to Russian attacks but it will only take one mistake and Russia will exploit it. Not enough men on the lines for Ukraine.

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I am starting to wonder if Russia's advances are more just moving the lines to include certain towns/villages rather than really trying to gain much ground.

Once they take some of these contested towns there is a lot of open ground between them and the next town..... it doesn't really make strategic sense to push too far and end up sitting out in the open.

Given Russia's tactics historically haven't always been exactly "stand up" in a moral sense, I could see them just taking the nearby towns and using the people still in them as human shields, i.e. Gaza. If there are even many residents left... I don't know which areas have been totally evacuated, if any.

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How much longer does everyone think before Russia gets a break through in the lines?
I think it is getting worse by the day. At some point Ukraine is going to crack. It may not be over run but I think they will give up some big areas.

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Without being there, I don’t think you can predict when it will happen. Morale is reportedly bad though, and it looks like the reserves are gone.

The Ukranians do expect the Russian will deploy a new army against them in May or June, two corps. The lines are already breaking down in the east, and if the Russians come down from the north into Sumy or Kharkov, that could collapse the front by itself. And where would you retreat to at that point, if that happens, where would you try and hold the Russians? Politically, they would feel compelled to defend Kharkov to the end. It’s Ukraines second city.