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Started By
Message
re: PGA Championship ...Xander beats Bryson by 1 stroke
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:38 pm to Cosmo
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:38 pm to Cosmo
quote:
His competition is rory, scheff and koepka
Down 8 to Xander
Down 4 to Rory
Down 3 to koepka
He is also down 5 to Finau
Down 5 to sahith
Down 4 to Morikowa
Down 4 to Tom Kim
Down 3 to Scottie
Down 2 to Hovland
Down 2 to. Homa
Down 2 to Bryson
That’s just notable big name games. There is multiple others. He has to catch every single one to win
We aren’t talking about him fighting to get top5. We are talking about a win. It would be close to a miracle
I’ll give you every aingle player at -2 or worse in the entire tournament if you want to make a wager
This post was edited on 5/16/24 at 7:41 pm
0
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:43 pm to lsupride87
Rahm is a proven top player and major winner. It’s fricking Thursday. Idk why you think crazier shite hasn’t happened. Hell players have come back from 7 down in the final day before.
I’m not saying it’s happening, but to write off Rahm right now is outright moronic.
I’m not saying it’s happening, but to write off Rahm right now is outright moronic.
This post was edited on 5/16/24 at 7:43 pm
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:44 pm to MrJimBeam
quote:Its not the strokes I am concerned about
Hell players have come back from 7 down in the final day before.
quote:
I’m not saying it’s happening, but to write off Rahm right now is outright moronic.
It’s not just Rahm. I’ll give you every single player at -2 or worse. That’s multiple major winners you get
This post was edited on 5/16/24 at 7:45 pm
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:10 pm to lsupride87
That’s a stupid bet for you Boris…
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:12 pm to dukke v
quote:take it bro. You get the entire field that is -2 or worse.
That’s a stupid bet for you Boris…
Name the terms
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:15 pm to lsupride87
quote:
It’s not just Rahm. I’ll give you every single player at -2 or worse. That’s multiple major winners you get
So you get the top 31 players from day one vs everyone else and think it’s an even bet? For fricks sake dumbass I’m not saying it’s happening. And anyone with a brain would need 20/1 odds against your stupid arse offer if you understood gambling at all, too.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:18 pm to MrJimBeam
quote:So you think it’s 20/1 odds against every single player at -2 or worse, yet you are arguing about a single golfer at -1 having a realistic chance?
So you get the top 31 players from day one vs everyone else and think it’s an even bet? For fricks sake dumbass I’m not saying it’s happening. And anyone with a brain would need 20/1 odds against your stupid arse offer if you understood gambling at all, too.
I’m not saying Rahm or Hideki can’t fight into a top 5 finish. They aren’t going to play their way into having a competitor chance to win this tournament. Their best outcome is a Rory masters 2022 performance
This post was edited on 5/16/24 at 8:20 pm
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:36 pm to lsupride87
Not the point. There is so much that can happen the next three days and with the weather problems…. I’m not a gambler so you are on your own…
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:44 pm to dukke v
Scottie Scheffler went out and shot an opening round 67 and his odds to win got worse 
That has to be an unbelievably rare occurrence. I mean it’s bordering weird just typing
That has to be an unbelievably rare occurrence. I mean it’s bordering weird just typing
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:45 pm to lsupride87
That is crazy….
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:58 pm to lsupride87
I mean he was the favorite on an even playing field to start the tournament. Now he’s 5 shots back.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:00 pm to JimTiger72
quote:Ok
mean he was the favorite on an even playing field to start the tournament. Now he’s 5 shots back.
How often does someone shot a 67 in round 1 and then sit 5 shots back?
And it’s not just that. There are likely only 3-5 players that could shoot the 62 and make Scottie’s odds go down. If MaCentire or sahith shot that 62 it wouldn’t have lowered Scottie’s odds
This post was edited on 5/16/24 at 9:01 pm
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:06 pm to lsupride87
quote:
How often does someone shot a 67 in round 1 and then sit 5 shots back?
Well since Xander tied the record at 62 I’d say almost never. But seems like you’re stuck on the “67” instead of “5 shots back”
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:07 pm to JimTiger72
I’m not stuck on anything
Shooting 67 and having your odds go down is unbelievable rare. That’s it. That’s the post
Shooting 67 and having your odds go down is unbelievable rare. That’s it. That’s the post
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:24 pm to SteelerBravesDawg
quote:
The only person on here who regularly sucks Bryson's cock is Sir Winston.
You speak the truth.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:28 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Xander tends to choke
His competition is rory, scheff and koepka
I don't think I'd toss Morikawa aside so easily.
Not the absolute best course fit by the data, but he's a two-time major champion who has a history of playing well at Nicklaus courses. Harding Park also played pretty similarly to what Valhalla will play like this week, and he is coming off a nice finish at the Masters.
Not sure I'd toss Theegala so easily aside, either. Dude has kinda quietly become a top 15-ish player in the world, and this place suits him very well; he's going to start winning big tournaments at some point, might as well be here. Also still like Bryson.
I'd put the odds of the winner coming out of that group of 7 - Xander, Rory, Scottie, Brooks, Morikawa, Bryson, Theegala - at about 80 - 85%.
This post was edited on 5/16/24 at 9:30 pm
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:30 pm to AbuTheMonkey
quote:Id say it’s better than that but your guess is right on
I'd put the odds of the winner coming out of that group of 7 - Xander, Rory, Scottie, Brooks, Morikawa, Bryson, Theegala - at about 80 - 85%.
Would love to know what the odds would be on that grouping
-750 is my guess. Xander/Rory/Scottie is -175 by itself
This post was edited on 5/16/24 at 9:33 pm
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:31 pm to SingleMalt1973
quote:
Rahm shoots 1 under after being 4 over,thru 7
Jesper Svensson shot 3 under after being 4 over thru 7
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:37 pm to WhoDat9090
The trifecta Xander/Rory/Morikowa is currently even odds. That’s juicy
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:39 pm to WhoDat9090
Schauffele has to shoot in the 60's all four rounds to win it. He can do what Harmen did in the Open championship and get way ahead and take a very low round to catch him. Hell of a round even though it was getable. Not too many did .
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