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re: $15/hr Min Wage and Rent Increases (Now A Min Wage Discussion)

Posted on 1/16/21 at 10:36 am to
Posted by yellowhammer2098
New Orleans, LA
Member since Mar 2013
3850 posts
Posted on 1/16/21 at 10:36 am to
This is such a broad question but I'll give some thoughts on it:

1. I think, if anything, we will see a "phased" increase in the minimum wage. I don't think you'll see it go from $7.25 to $15 overnight (I certainly hope not). When the minimum wage was increased from $5.15 to $7.25 in the late 2000s, it was increased three times in 2007 - 2009 to $5.85, $6.55, and $7.25, respectively.

2. If an increase in unemployment from an increase in the minimum wage is offset by an increase in welfare benefits and/or unemployment benefits, you'll see more of the lower end rental market either become Section 8 housing (or pseudo Section 8). Investment residential real estate has performed pretty well in 2020 because tenants that lost their jobs are making pretty good money being unemployed with the increased UI benefits.

3. Housing is generally a decent inflation hedge. I think you'll see housing prices going up on a nominal basis. What the impact would be on "real" housing values, I'm not sure.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 1/16/21 at 10:50 am to
Have to leave something on the table for 2024 ;)
Posted by Lightning
Texas
Member since May 2014
2307 posts
Posted on 1/16/21 at 11:01 am to
Very interested to see the effects on Section 8/ “affordable housing” that is tied to area median income.
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4152 posts
Posted on 1/16/21 at 11:44 am to
Very thoughtful answer, which I agree with.

Much appreciated.
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