re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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120 days to mobilize. Yes you can when you only have to project power a couple hundred miles. Particularly if you already have troops in theater. They obviously were not as prepared as they should have been; but 120 days would suffice.

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But they picked the invasion date. Why would they intentionally place themselves on such a tight timescale? There was no imminent threat from NATO or anyone else that would have prevented them from waiting even another year if needed.

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120 days to mobilize. Yes you can when you only have to project power a couple hundred miles. Particularly if you already have troops in theater. They obviously were not as prepared as they should have been; but 120 days would suffice.

Also remember that Biden and Putin met right after the Zelenskyy summit (it was very important evidently to Zelinsky to meet first).

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Planning, however bad it was, started long before then. Gazprom leased 15% (could be more but that is from memory) of natural gas storage space in Europe at least a year earlier. It put nothing into that space all of 2021. It feigned pipeline outages (but that could have been typical Russian competence).

The idea that planning only began 120 days before is out of total ignorance.