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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:29 pm to VolSquatch
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:29 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.
All wars end with a peace deal of some sort. The question of who's terms is still in the air.
The one thing anyone with any sense knows for sure: A "peace deal" that gives Russia 20% of Ukraine would be just another chapter in a 10+ year war. It wouldn't be stable. It wouldn't last. It wouldn't solve anything. And neither side would honor it.
It would just be a pause in the kinetic fighting to let both sides reorganize for the next chapter.
Russia has to find a way to totally defeat Ukraine (which looks entirely unlikely) or Russia has to be convinced to pack up and go home. And we're a long way from either of those two things happening I'm afraid.
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:40 pm to No Colors
Sputnik war progress daily map claims Russia kicked butt in the last 24 hours. A bunch of power delivery hits.
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:41 pm to No Colors
quote:
Russia has to find a way to totally defeat Ukraine (which looks entirely unlikely) or Russia has to be convinced to pack up and go home. And we're a long way from either of those two things happening I'm afraid.
I think Russia would be happy to fortify positions, sit on their hands, and just let Ukraine launch offensives until they can't anymore before they ever let themselves reach a point where they just couldn't manage the war effort logistically anymore. If the 2.5 years of equipment number is true, thats a lot of time to adjust strategy, consumption, and potentially manufacturing to accommodate a longer term plan. To me the winds just don't seem to be blowing in that direction though. If a peace can be achieved Biden will be motivated to do it before November... if Trump wins he will be motivated to achieve it during his term.
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