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re: *2024 ARKANSAS RAZORBACK SEC BASEBALL SEASON THREAD*
Posted on 5/13/24 at 1:45 pm to Hawgeye
Posted on 5/13/24 at 1:45 pm to Hawgeye
OP has been updated
2024 Bottom Line
Record: 42-10
SEC Record: 19-8
SEC Series Record: 7-2
RPI: 4
ELO: 1
SOS: 17
Home Record: 33-3
Road Record: 6-6
Neutral Record 3-1
vs. RPI Group 1: 12-8
vs. RPI Group 2: 8-2
vs. RPI Group 3: 6-0
vs. RPI Group 4: 16-0
Team BA: .271
Team ERA: 3.46
Opponents BA: .211
Team HR's: 70
Field Pct.: .982
Errors: 32
The Top Hogs
Starters ERA: Smith (1.65), Tygart (3.86), Molina (4.44)
Overall ERA: Foutch (0.98), Hewlett (1.50), Smith (1.65) - min of 10 inning
K's: Smith (136), Molina (72), Tygart (68), McEntire (60), Gaeckle (45)
Batting Average: Stovall (.339), Holt (.325), Sprague-Lott (.313) - min 60 AB's
Homeruns: Aloy (11), Stovall (9), McLaughlin, Sprague-Lott, & Souza (7), Diggs (6)
RBI's: Aloy (50), Stovall (37), McLaughlin & Diggs (33), Souza (28)
Saves: Gaeckle (7), McEntire, Frank, & Hewlett (4)
SEC Standings
SEC WEST
1. Arkansas 19-8, 42-10
2. aTm 17-10, 42-10
3. Mississippi State 15-12, 33-18
4. Alabama 12-15, 32-19
5. Ole Miss 11-16, 27-24
6. LSU 10-17, 33-20
7. Auburn 6-21, 25-25
SEC EAST
1. Kentucky 20-7, 37-11
2. Tennessee 19-8, 42-10
3. Georgia 16-11, 38-12
4. South Carolina 13-14, 33-18
5. Vanderbilt 12-15, 34-18
6. Florida 11-16, 26-25
7. Missouri 8-19, 22-30
^ - Division Champion
* - Overall Conference Champion
$ - Conference Tournament Champion
SEC Tournament Seeding
1. Kentucky (East Leader)
2. Arkansas (West Leader)
3. Tennessee
4. aTm
5. Georgia
6. Mississippi State
7. South Carolina
8. Alabama/Vandy
9. Alabama/Vandy
10. Florida
11. Ole Miss
12. LSU
OUT - Missouri (2 games back)
OUT - Auburn (TOAST)
2024 Bottom Line
Record: 42-10
SEC Record: 19-8
SEC Series Record: 7-2
RPI: 4
ELO: 1
SOS: 17
Home Record: 33-3
Road Record: 6-6
Neutral Record 3-1
vs. RPI Group 1: 12-8
vs. RPI Group 2: 8-2
vs. RPI Group 3: 6-0
vs. RPI Group 4: 16-0
Team BA: .271
Team ERA: 3.46
Opponents BA: .211
Team HR's: 70
Field Pct.: .982
Errors: 32
The Top Hogs
Starters ERA: Smith (1.65), Tygart (3.86), Molina (4.44)
Overall ERA: Foutch (0.98), Hewlett (1.50), Smith (1.65) - min of 10 inning
K's: Smith (136), Molina (72), Tygart (68), McEntire (60), Gaeckle (45)
Batting Average: Stovall (.339), Holt (.325), Sprague-Lott (.313) - min 60 AB's
Homeruns: Aloy (11), Stovall (9), McLaughlin, Sprague-Lott, & Souza (7), Diggs (6)
RBI's: Aloy (50), Stovall (37), McLaughlin & Diggs (33), Souza (28)
Saves: Gaeckle (7), McEntire, Frank, & Hewlett (4)
SEC Standings
SEC WEST
1. Arkansas 19-8, 42-10
2. aTm 17-10, 42-10
3. Mississippi State 15-12, 33-18
4. Alabama 12-15, 32-19
5. Ole Miss 11-16, 27-24
6. LSU 10-17, 33-20
7. Auburn 6-21, 25-25
SEC EAST
1. Kentucky 20-7, 37-11
2. Tennessee 19-8, 42-10
3. Georgia 16-11, 38-12
4. South Carolina 13-14, 33-18
5. Vanderbilt 12-15, 34-18
6. Florida 11-16, 26-25
7. Missouri 8-19, 22-30
^ - Division Champion
* - Overall Conference Champion
$ - Conference Tournament Champion
SEC Tournament Seeding
1. Kentucky (East Leader)
2. Arkansas (West Leader)
3. Tennessee
4. aTm
5. Georgia
6. Mississippi State
7. South Carolina
8. Alabama/Vandy
9. Alabama/Vandy
10. Florida
11. Ole Miss
12. LSU
OUT - Missouri (2 games back)
OUT - Auburn (TOAST)
1
Posted on 5/14/24 at 11:22 am to Hawgeye
A pretty good and interesting final weekend of the SEC slate is coming up. Should be interesting to follow. Some items below to keep an eye on.
- Arkansas @ aTm: Arkansas leads the West by 2 games. 1 win in College Station will secure the Razorbacks at least the #2 seed in the SEC Tourney and also secure the Hogs their 5th division title in the last 6 full seasons.
- Vanderbilt @ Kentucky: This one is spicy because of the league and NCAAt implications. Kentucky is a game ahead of both Arkansas and Tennessee in the overall SEC standings. Vanderbilt needs to win this series to make the NCAAt. Vandy is 6-14 vs. Q1 teams this season and sits at 12-15 in SEC play.
- South Carolina @ Tennessee: Similar to above, South Carolina finds themselves in a tight situation. Sitting at 13-14 in the league, the Cocks need to avoid the sweep. Meanwhile, Tennessee hopes to sweep to keep pace with Kentucky or win the outright SEC title.
- Alabama @ Auburn: Another 12 win league team fighting for it's NCAAt lives. Alabama should win this series, but weirder things have happened. Auburn can secure the leagues worst mark this season with a series loss. Auburn ranked in the top 15 in early season polls.
- Missouri @ Mississippi State: Missouri is likely to miss the SECt. Missouri needs a sweep of State to secure an SECt spot. State is trying to secure a regional host spot. The Bulldogs are fighting a rough RPI. Missouri will hurt their RPI and projections put their RPI at #21 after the series.
- Ole Miss @ LSU - This may be the best one of the weekend. LSU is likely out of the NCAAt without sweeping this series. Their RPI is too low and their SEC win total sits at 10. This would extend the streak of SEC defending national champions missing the NCAAt the following year to 3 years. Ole Miss on the other hand sits at 11 SEC wins. Winning this series will put them at 13-17 in league play with a very strong RPI and the nations #1 SOS. Ole Miss currently has a 12-17 Q1 record, which is tied for 3rd most wins in the league against Q1 teams.
Hawgeye's Top 8 Seed Locks
Kentucky
Bad Losses: Kennesaw State (1-2 series loss)
SEC Series Record: 7-2
Why a lock: The #1 RPI team in nation. Series losses in SEC were to top 20 RPI teams (#6 Tenn & @ #19 SCar)
Tennessee
Bad Losses: Lipscomb (0-1 midweek loss)
SEC Series Record: 8-1
Why a lock: Strong #6 RPI and only 1 SEC series loss (on the road @ #11 RPI team). 19 Q1 & Q2 wins
Arkansas
Bad Losses: None
SEC Series Record: 7-2
Why a lock: Strong #4 RPI. Non Con SOS is #46. No Q3 or Q4 losses. 2 series losses were @ RPI #11 and @ RPI #1. 20 Q1 & Q2 wins
Top 8 Seed Potential w/series Win this Weekend
aTm
Bad Losses: @ Ole Miss (1-2), @ LSU (1-2), @ Florida (1-2)
SEC Series: 6-3
Why not a lock: aTm has lost its last two series and lost three series to teams who may not make the NCAAt field. Aggies are a shoe in to host, but need to win the series against Arkansas to lock in a top 8 national seed.
Georgia
Bad Losses: Missouri (2-1), Michigan State (0-1)
SEC Series: 6-3
Why not a lock: Bulldogs are really coming on late. I have them in my own top 8 and we will see where projections have them this week. Dogs have a strong RPI and SOS. Perception has had them on outside looking in. Cheating video did not help things either at aTm.
SEC Regional Host Contenders
Mississippi State
What happens: Lock up a host spot with series win over Missouri this weekend.
The Rest on the Road
South Carolina
Alabama
Ole Miss
Outside Looking In
Vanderbilt - lose series this weekend and are out. Very weak resume.
LSU - Tigers will likely not sweep Ole Miss
- Arkansas @ aTm: Arkansas leads the West by 2 games. 1 win in College Station will secure the Razorbacks at least the #2 seed in the SEC Tourney and also secure the Hogs their 5th division title in the last 6 full seasons.
- Vanderbilt @ Kentucky: This one is spicy because of the league and NCAAt implications. Kentucky is a game ahead of both Arkansas and Tennessee in the overall SEC standings. Vanderbilt needs to win this series to make the NCAAt. Vandy is 6-14 vs. Q1 teams this season and sits at 12-15 in SEC play.
- South Carolina @ Tennessee: Similar to above, South Carolina finds themselves in a tight situation. Sitting at 13-14 in the league, the Cocks need to avoid the sweep. Meanwhile, Tennessee hopes to sweep to keep pace with Kentucky or win the outright SEC title.
- Alabama @ Auburn: Another 12 win league team fighting for it's NCAAt lives. Alabama should win this series, but weirder things have happened. Auburn can secure the leagues worst mark this season with a series loss. Auburn ranked in the top 15 in early season polls.
- Missouri @ Mississippi State: Missouri is likely to miss the SECt. Missouri needs a sweep of State to secure an SECt spot. State is trying to secure a regional host spot. The Bulldogs are fighting a rough RPI. Missouri will hurt their RPI and projections put their RPI at #21 after the series.
- Ole Miss @ LSU - This may be the best one of the weekend. LSU is likely out of the NCAAt without sweeping this series. Their RPI is too low and their SEC win total sits at 10. This would extend the streak of SEC defending national champions missing the NCAAt the following year to 3 years. Ole Miss on the other hand sits at 11 SEC wins. Winning this series will put them at 13-17 in league play with a very strong RPI and the nations #1 SOS. Ole Miss currently has a 12-17 Q1 record, which is tied for 3rd most wins in the league against Q1 teams.
Hawgeye's Top 8 Seed Locks
Kentucky
Bad Losses: Kennesaw State (1-2 series loss)
SEC Series Record: 7-2
Why a lock: The #1 RPI team in nation. Series losses in SEC were to top 20 RPI teams (#6 Tenn & @ #19 SCar)
Tennessee
Bad Losses: Lipscomb (0-1 midweek loss)
SEC Series Record: 8-1
Why a lock: Strong #6 RPI and only 1 SEC series loss (on the road @ #11 RPI team). 19 Q1 & Q2 wins
Arkansas
Bad Losses: None
SEC Series Record: 7-2
Why a lock: Strong #4 RPI. Non Con SOS is #46. No Q3 or Q4 losses. 2 series losses were @ RPI #11 and @ RPI #1. 20 Q1 & Q2 wins
Top 8 Seed Potential w/series Win this Weekend
aTm
Bad Losses: @ Ole Miss (1-2), @ LSU (1-2), @ Florida (1-2)
SEC Series: 6-3
Why not a lock: aTm has lost its last two series and lost three series to teams who may not make the NCAAt field. Aggies are a shoe in to host, but need to win the series against Arkansas to lock in a top 8 national seed.
Georgia
Bad Losses: Missouri (2-1), Michigan State (0-1)
SEC Series: 6-3
Why not a lock: Bulldogs are really coming on late. I have them in my own top 8 and we will see where projections have them this week. Dogs have a strong RPI and SOS. Perception has had them on outside looking in. Cheating video did not help things either at aTm.
SEC Regional Host Contenders
Mississippi State
What happens: Lock up a host spot with series win over Missouri this weekend.
The Rest on the Road
South Carolina
Alabama
Ole Miss
Outside Looking In
Vanderbilt - lose series this weekend and are out. Very weak resume.
LSU - Tigers will likely not sweep Ole Miss
This post was edited on 5/14/24 at 11:31 am
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