This will be a very tough game for the Tigers. Despite being ranked #17, this is a worse matchup for LSU than their past game vs. #11 South Carolina. The advanced analytics showed that the game at SC was very winnable. They tell a different story for tonight. UK can score with the best of them, and don't be surprised if they run LSU out of the gym.

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Posted by Alt26

Member since Mar 2010

28526 posts

Posted on 2/21/24 at 1:02 pm to rds dc

quote:
UK can score with the best of them, and don't be surprised if they run LSU out of the gym.

I'd be a little surprised. Outside of the 4 games vs. Alabama (2x), Tennessee and Auburn, LSU has at least been competitive. And 3 of those 4 games were on the road. I guess the question is "is Kentucky on par with Tennessee, Alabama and Auburn"? The analytics seem to suggest Kentucky is a click behind them (KenPom ranking: Auburn (4), Alabama (5), Tennessee (6), Kentucky (22)). Of course, the counter to that argument is that while they haven been on par with those teams for most of the season they are getting into that territory now with the way they have played in the last week.

Regardless, both teams are coming in playing with probably the most confidence they've had all season.

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Posted by mdomingue

Lafayette, LA

Member since Nov 2010

30843 posts

Posted on 2/21/24 at 2:43 pm to rds dc

quote:
This will be a very tough game for the Tigers. Despite being ranked #17, this is a worse matchup for LSU than their past game vs. #11 South Carolina. The advanced analytics showed that the game at SC was very winnable. They tell a different story for tonight. UK can score with the best of them, and don't be surprised if they run LSU out of the gym.

It will come down to what LSU does. If they try to run back and forth with UK they probably will get run out of the gym.

They have a shot if they come in with a game plan involving an active, tight defense with rebounding and limiting UK's second-chance baskets. Think first half vs Alabama in the PMAC (heck, even the game in Bama). One real key will be those guys not losing composure if there is a run by UK, that's what happened in the second half vs Bama and didn't happen vs USCe.

The other is to not let the game get away from them in the first part of the game, that's what happened in the other two blowouts, at Tennessee and Auburn. In those games, they dug a deep hole and could not climb back out.

UK seems to be on the upswing so I think LSU will need a solid half of basketball and a great half of basketball in no particular order.

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Posted by drizztiger

Deal With it!

Member since Mar 2007

37543 posts

Posted on 2/21/24 at 4:15 pm to rds dc

quote:
This will be a very tough game for the Tigers. Despite being ranked #17, this is a worse matchup for LSU than their past game vs. #11 South Carolina. The advanced analytics showed that the game at SC was very winnable. They tell a different story for tonight. UK can score with the best of them, and don't be surprised if they run LSU out of the gym.

I was on record here saying USCe was a winnable road game for us and happy we pulled it out.

This is a tough game for us, but I'm not as pessimistic of our chances as others. On a neutral court UK is likely an 8.5-9 point or so favorite. They are getting a -6.5 on the road here. That's probably more UK fans betting on their team, but really this line should be UK -5 or so.

The analytic difference between the teams is offense efficiency. Both are middling defensive teams.

I mean we could get run out of the gym, but I think it's going to be a lot closer.

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Posted by Britgirl

Ascension

Member since Jan 2013

1176 posts

Posted on 2/21/24 at 6:20 pm to rds dc

We’ll be there as always.
Tough matchup for us tonight, but it’s possible to win! (Kentucky has 5 players that feature currently in most NBA mock drafts. And we …………don’).

This post was edited on 2/21/24 at 6:21 pm

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