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re: Let's Find Out How Smart You Baws Are

Posted on 3/22/24 at 7:35 am to
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
18392 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 7:35 am to
quote:

Explain???

Probability tree if you choose door 1 to start:


Essentially, you made your pick when the chances were 1/3. The host removed a wrong answer for you, so now you have the chance to make a pick with more information.
This post was edited on 3/22/24 at 7:37 am
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
66763 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 9:05 pm to
Well maybe I'm just dumb, but how does switching increase the odds? Switching or staying is the exact same odds, you have zero information to indicate which one is correct.

This seems like some dumb philosophy shite to me.

Eta: actually, I just read up on it. You do have more information. I am dumb.
This post was edited on 3/22/24 at 9:43 pm
Posted by Deep Fried Gravy
Member since Oct 2023
78 posts
Posted on 3/23/24 at 9:11 pm to
66 percent of the time it works 100 percent of the time.

*if you believe in time
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