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re: PowerBall just short of $ 1 billion, Mega Millions at $20 million

Posted on 3/29/24 at 6:06 pm to
Posted by rocksteady
Member since Sep 2013
1285 posts
Posted on 3/29/24 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

If it's a one-time deal, you'd probably negotiate it down quite a bit from the EV of $204m because your single event could catch an outlier


Right. Of course I’m considering it a one time deal. Ole chinho strutting in here like he’s gonna make the tough call of picking 5 million, rolling for 240, or simply selling his roll for guaranteed 200 million. Decisions decisions. It would be negotiated down by a massive amount
Posted by Colonel Flagg
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2010
22832 posts
Posted on 3/29/24 at 6:57 pm to
A $5 million nest egg could have me drawing $200k+/year forever with no effort. It is an easy choice to me.
This post was edited on 3/29/24 at 6:58 pm
Posted by chinhoyang
Member since Jun 2011
23681 posts
Posted on 3/30/24 at 9:47 am to
quote:

Right. Of course I’m considering it a one time deal. Ole chinho strutting in here like he’s gonna make the tough call of picking 5 million, rolling for 240, or simply selling his roll for guaranteed 200 million. Decisions decisions. It would be negotiated down by a massive amount


Nobody was strutting. Even if you sold the 85% chance for $20m, you are still four times better off.

I was pointing out the stupidity of the OP, as the real decision is a no brainer.
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