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re: Hurricane Season '24 - Buckle Up - Euro Seasonal 200+ ACE
Posted on 4/4/24 at 6:06 pm to Bama and Beer
Posted on 4/4/24 at 6:06 pm to Bama and Beer
The pattern setup for the summer is conducive for a more than active season. They are just basing their predictions off of that.
1
Posted on 4/4/24 at 6:21 pm to SWLA92
quote:
The pattern setup for the summer is conducive for a more than active season. They are just basing their predictions off of that.
Climo + leading indicators all point towards an active season.
Last season, Climo suggested below normal, and the leading indicators were a mixed bag. However, SSTs were strongly in favor of an active season, and a lot of people latched on to that when the climate models started spitting out crazy numbers for hurricane season. In the end, a conservative Climo based forecast was the best.
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