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Message
re: Powell: Fed can maintain higher rates for "as long as needed"
Posted on 4/17/24 at 11:45 am to Wishnitwas1998
Posted on 4/17/24 at 11:45 am to Wishnitwas1998
quote:
But higher rates are how you in theory get housing back to a more affordable level. The rates lower demand which then lowers prices
That only addresses the demand side and assumes stable/adequate supply.
We have a supply side problem as well that needs to be addressed. The catch is, higher rates means higher cost of capital for builders - meaning it's more financially difficult to increase supply. That increase in CoC goes where? In general terms, costs translate to price (companies might eat a little bit of margin, but they have to remain profitable).
The tension between the supply side and demand side is pretty clear. It's a trick bag without a clear way to get out of without something breaking.
Posted on 4/17/24 at 1:30 pm to Longhorn Actual
quote:
That only addresses the demand side and assumes stable/adequate supply. We have a supply side problem as well that needs to be addressed. The catch is, higher rates means higher cost of capital for builders - meaning it's more financially difficult to increase supply. That increase in CoC goes where? In general terms, costs translate to price (companies might eat a little bit of margin, but they have to remain profitable). The tension between the supply side and demand side is pretty clear. It's a trick bag without a clear way to get out of without something breaking.
Agreed thus the rest of my post about how it's in theory only and there are many complicating factors currently
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