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re: Powell: Fed can maintain higher rates for "as long as needed"

Posted on 4/17/24 at 11:45 am to
Posted by Longhorn Actual
Member since Dec 2023
968 posts
Posted on 4/17/24 at 11:45 am to
quote:

But higher rates are how you in theory get housing back to a more affordable level. The rates lower demand which then lowers prices



That only addresses the demand side and assumes stable/adequate supply.

We have a supply side problem as well that needs to be addressed. The catch is, higher rates means higher cost of capital for builders - meaning it's more financially difficult to increase supply. That increase in CoC goes where? In general terms, costs translate to price (companies might eat a little bit of margin, but they have to remain profitable).

The tension between the supply side and demand side is pretty clear. It's a trick bag without a clear way to get out of without something breaking.

Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58418 posts
Posted on 4/17/24 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

That only addresses the demand side and assumes stable/adequate supply. We have a supply side problem as well that needs to be addressed. The catch is, higher rates means higher cost of capital for builders - meaning it's more financially difficult to increase supply. That increase in CoC goes where? In general terms, costs translate to price (companies might eat a little bit of margin, but they have to remain profitable). The tension between the supply side and demand side is pretty clear. It's a trick bag without a clear way to get out of without something breaking.


Agreed thus the rest of my post about how it's in theory only and there are many complicating factors currently
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