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re: Climatology: more hot, dryness for Texas

Posted on 4/24/24 at 8:32 am to
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
37589 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 8:32 am to
They’re are never right about anything. They predicted 3-5 major hurricanes the last few years and it has been relatively quiet.

Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
24633 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 8:36 am to
quote:

They’re are never right about anything. They predicted 3-5 major hurricanes the last few years and it has been relatively quiet.


The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season was the fourth-most active Atlantic hurricane season on record with 20 named storms forming, tied with 1933. Among them, 7 became hurricanes, with 3 reaching major hurricane strength.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
31327 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 8:44 am to
quote:

They’re are never right about anything. They predicted 3-5 major hurricanes the last few years and it has been relatively quiet.


In 2010 Al Gore was trotting out "research" that had some models showing there was a 75% chance there would be no ice on the north pole during some of the summer months within 5-7 years...2015-2017. There was 1.63 million square miles of ice in summer 2023.

They keep being comically off with these projections yet they're not getting called out on it and they just keep making new ones.
This post was edited on 4/24/24 at 8:49 am
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26674 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 8:56 am to
quote:

They predicted 3-5 major hurricanes the last few years and it has been relatively quiet.

I don't remember the last year that wasn't predicted to go this way.

They say it every year.
Posted by PhilipMarlowe
Member since Mar 2013
20552 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 9:17 am to
I mean, I felt like I did get a taste of hell last summer.
Posted by Nutriaitch
Montegut
Member since Apr 2008
7668 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 10:25 am to
quote:

They predicted 3-5 major hurricanes the last few years and it has been relatively quiet.




a Cat 3 made landfall in Florida last year.
a Cat 4 and a Cat 5 formed in the Atlantic but didn't make landfall.

so they were correct.

all they can do is make educated guesses based on predicted conditions as to how many might form.
but we are no where even remotely close to capable of guessing before the season even starts as to where (or if) any on them will land.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19747 posts
Posted on 4/24/24 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

They’re are never right about anything. They predicted 3-5 major hurricanes the last few years and it has been relatively quiet.


Interestingly, the climate sims predict that warming will take place toward the poles with little to none toward the equator. That would put less contrasting energy in the system and result in milder weather.
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