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re: DAT 4/26: Can't Lose Today edition

Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:16 pm to
Posted by Corinthians420
Iowa
Member since Jun 2022
6846 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

They are 30 games in

Exactly. We've had slumps like this before too. You are just panicking more because it's the beginning of the year

there's no guarantee we WILL turn it around. but we have plenty of time to turn it around
This post was edited on 4/25/24 at 4:18 pm
Posted by TigerFan91
:red:
Member since Jan 2005
27314 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:25 pm to
I mean maybe.

There’s probably a good stretch of play in there somewhere and the rest of the division sucks so theoretically they are alive but there’s been not a glimmer of anything that says they are capable of playing a stretch of 15-5 baseball over 20 games. AND that’s going to have to happen within the next month and a half

And I’m not really panicking. My eyes and the numbers are telling me what this team is. Hopefully it changes but very unlikely
This post was edited on 4/25/24 at 4:27 pm
Posted by Domeskeller
Member since Jun 2020
7876 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

The numbers say we are the 6th or 7th best hitting team in baseball. Hell we are 4th in wRC+

(runs created adjusted for external factors)




The Astros are tied for 20th in runs scored. That's the one offensive stat they count.

But I'll play along. With RISP, the Astros are 17th in BA, 21st in OBP and 22nd in OPS.

quote:

Exactly. We've had slumps like this before too. You are just panicking more because it's the beginning of the year


This team was 22-22 in its last 44 regular-season games last year, and 6-5 in the playoffs. A 28-27 record over 55 games.

As mediocre as that is, that team never went 7-19 over a 26 game span. They did split their first 36 games. The high-water mark of the season was 20 over .500 at 82-62, which means they went 8-10 in the final 18 regular season games. And they had to win 5 of the last 6 in the last week of the regular season to make the playoffs or that slide would have been worse.

Adding this year's 7-19 record to that 28-27 finish last year, and this team is 35-46 over its last 81 games, which is half of a regular season.

This is a bad team, as constructed. When you start to say "we just need X and X and X to improve", that's a bad team. The chances all three phases will be better and click all at once and continue to click all season are slim.
This post was edited on 4/25/24 at 4:57 pm
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