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Message
re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 6
Posted on 10/4/13 at 12:20 pm to supadave3
Posted on 10/4/13 at 12:20 pm to supadave3
I have a process.
I look at the lines first and select usually around 15 that I like at first glance.
I write those 15 matchups down.
I go to donbest.com, espn.com, cfbstats.com, and scratch off 6 or 7 games from potential bet list.
Then I read predictions on those sites and on handicap sheets and the reasons experts give for those predictions. Usually that cuts 2 or 3 more games off my slip.
That leaves 6 or 7 games I bet a week.
I rank those from favorite to least favorite and bet in tiers. 1 or 2 big money, 1 or 2 low money, and 3 or 4 middle money games.
I have had great success with this process over the last 6 years in college football as I am about at a 65% win PCT over that timeframe. (I am TERRIBLE at betting pro football though for unknown reasons).
I look at the lines first and select usually around 15 that I like at first glance.
I write those 15 matchups down.
I go to donbest.com, espn.com, cfbstats.com, and scratch off 6 or 7 games from potential bet list.
Then I read predictions on those sites and on handicap sheets and the reasons experts give for those predictions. Usually that cuts 2 or 3 more games off my slip.
That leaves 6 or 7 games I bet a week.
I rank those from favorite to least favorite and bet in tiers. 1 or 2 big money, 1 or 2 low money, and 3 or 4 middle money games.
I have had great success with this process over the last 6 years in college football as I am about at a 65% win PCT over that timeframe. (I am TERRIBLE at betting pro football though for unknown reasons).
1
Posted on 10/4/13 at 12:25 pm to TheCaterpillar
Our process is almost identical 
Posted on 10/4/13 at 12:37 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
They impressed me last night. Hundley has a chance to be the best QB in the nation next year. His only flaw is that he tries to do too much sometimes. They have some good looking players on that defense and Mora has them going in the right direction. I'm going to keep my eye on them down the road.
The only issue I see with UCLA going forward is that offensive scheme. I never liked the OC at ASU either. It doesn't employ much of power run game. Rodriguez, Helfrich, Sark, and obviously Shaw can all go with a power run game. The OC relies so much on five blockers and that he gets the qb killed.
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:12 pm to bisonduck
So who is everyone on? Nobodys been posting to many plays
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:25 pm to blades8088
Utah State -6
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:29 pm to blades8088
This is what I'm on so far:
2 Teasers at one unit each:
Georgia -2½ * vs Tennessee U
Florida U -3 * vs Arkansas
LSU -1½ * vs Mississippi State
Georgia State +63 * vs Alabama
Georgia -3 * vs Tennessee U
LSU -2 * vs Mississippi State
Also:
LSU -9.5 (one unit)
Probably going to pick one of the early games to put some cash on but hadn't decided which one yet.
2 Teasers at one unit each:
Georgia -2½ * vs Tennessee U
Florida U -3 * vs Arkansas
LSU -1½ * vs Mississippi State
Georgia State +63 * vs Alabama
Georgia -3 * vs Tennessee U
LSU -2 * vs Mississippi State
Also:
LSU -9.5 (one unit)
Probably going to pick one of the early games to put some cash on but hadn't decided which one yet.
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:31 pm to blades8088
quote:
So who is everyone on? Nobodys been posting to many plays
quote:
Utah St. -6 vs. BYU
Louisville -34 @ Temple
Penn St. -3 @ Indiana
Virginia Tech -7 vs. North Carolina
LSU -10 @ Mississippi St.
Vanderbilt -1 vs. Missouri
Baylor -28 vs. West Virginia
Washington +8 @ Stanford
Love LSU, Louisville, Penn St.
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:33 pm to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Vanderbilt -1 vs. Missouri
Vandy is -3 on my parlay card... pull the trigger?
This post was edited on 10/4/13 at 2:35 pm
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:33 pm to LooseCannon22282
I wouldn't at 3
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:38 pm to sgallo3
Alright time to get back to my winning ways.
Week 5 went 7-4 on sides and 0-3 on my totals so finished 7-7 overall.
Brings my posted record coming after Week 5 to 45-29-1 60.8%
Week 6
Louisiana Monroe +7.5 L
Utah +6 L
Nevada +6
Rutgers -4
Missouri +2
Louisville -32
New Mexico -9
Auburn +3
Bowling Green -26
Baylor -27.5
UTEP +2
Ohio St -6
Mississippi State +11
Oklahoma State -13.5
Week 5 went 7-4 on sides and 0-3 on my totals so finished 7-7 overall.
Brings my posted record coming after Week 5 to 45-29-1 60.8%
Week 6
Louisiana Monroe +7.5 L
Utah +6 L
Nevada +6
Rutgers -4
Missouri +2
Louisville -32
New Mexico -9
Auburn +3
Bowling Green -26
Baylor -27.5
UTEP +2
Ohio St -6
Mississippi State +11
Oklahoma State -13.5
This post was edited on 10/4/13 at 2:39 pm
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:39 pm to blades8088
quote:
So who is everyone on? Nobodys been posting to many plays
Straight:
[317] LOUISVILLE -34
[401] ARIZONA STATE -5
[407] OHIO STATE -5½
[334] MIAMI FLORIDA -4
Teasers:
[347] GEORGIA -½
[351] LSU +½
[367] CENTRAL FLORIDA PK-110
[369] RUTGERS +3-110
[395] TEXAS TECH -10-110
[382] STANFORD PK
[383] NORTHERN ILLINOIS -1.5
[347] GEORGIA -2.5
[351] LSU -2
This post was edited on 10/4/13 at 2:40 pm
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:41 pm to dcrews
What is up with SJSU at -4 against Hawaii? That is a good line.
I am not sure how Georgia at -10 won't cover.
I am not sure how Georgia at -10 won't cover.
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:45 pm to bisonduck
frick betting Hawaii games 
UGA seems way too easy.
Ville baylor 1H Oregon 1Q.
LSU UGA tease
Probably stanford (maybe 1H)
ASU
OU (prob wont play)
Those are my strong leans right now
UGA seems way too easy.
Ville baylor 1H Oregon 1Q.
LSU UGA tease
Probably stanford (maybe 1H)
ASU
OU (prob wont play)
Those are my strong leans right now
This post was edited on 10/4/13 at 2:51 pm
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:48 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
frick betting Hawaii games
Why because it's too late? Seems like easy money. SJSU is decent and Hawaii sucks.
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:50 pm to bisonduck
Fresno was rolling Hawaii and they put in a new QB and he diced them up easily.
they had a chance to beat Fresno at the end of the game
they had a chance to beat Fresno at the end of the game
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:50 pm to cmp4668
Are you buying a shite load of points on those teasers?
So many people here are going to go apeshit if UGA LSU teaser doesn't work out.
So many people here are going to go apeshit if UGA LSU teaser doesn't work out.
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:51 pm to dgtiger3
Just curious. What you have on UCF vs Memphis
Louisville 1st H should be easy if they don't come out stupid off the bye
Louisville 1st H should be easy if they don't come out stupid off the bye
This post was edited on 10/4/13 at 2:54 pm
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:54 pm to TheOcean
I hate Ohio State but -7 seems like an easy pick
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:56 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
Fresno was rolling Hawaii and they put in a new QB and he diced them up easily. they had a chance to beat Fresno at the end of the game
I missed that. Of course, Fresno defense is MIA.
Posted on 10/4/13 at 2:57 pm to bisonduck
42-3 in the third. Hawaii put in new qb and started rolling. Lost 42-37 and they had the ball on the 30 when time ran out. If they had another minute they would have won
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