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re: OFFICIAL CFB bet thread week 8

Posted on 10/18/13 at 2:00 am to
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12065 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 2:00 am to
I'm playing the 1H over for both Oregon and Baylor. Should be about 37, 38 for each. If Baylor doesn't score 42 by themselves it'll only be because ISU has kept the ball long enough to score a time or 2 themselves.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164478 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 3:46 am to
Thinking about

Army +2.5
Purdue +28
Auburn +14
Oregon State -10.5
North Texas -3.5
Kent State +7
Florida -3
LSU -10
Notre Dame -3

Whatever Baylor and Fresno State's team totals are.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17683 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 8:18 am to
Never again will I bet the ML on a road Thursday night favorite. The ML favorite bet has done well for me, because I do a good job making sure to pick teams with a very low risk of getting upset. Thursday road teams don't fit that bill, no matter how much better the team is. I had another close call last year, so I should have learned my lesson then.... I jumped up and screamed like a school girl with Miami scored that TD.
Posted by AlexLSU
Member since Jan 2005
25341 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 10:17 am to
UCF is +14.5 at Louisville coming off a bye week? UCF lost to South Carolina by 3 at home and beat Penn State on the road. Louisville has looked very "meh" in their last two games against Temple and Rutgers, although Rutgers was a short week.

What am I missing here? Line seems way too high.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42573 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 10:19 am to
Only thing I can think of would be Vegas didn't want to put out a line less than 10 because it would get hammered.

Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 11:18 am to
This is such a shitty card for the weekend.
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12065 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 12:02 pm to
UCF didn't look like world beaters against Memphis
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36324 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 12:12 pm to
Stanford line keeps shrinking; down to -4.5. I will be on Stanford.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42573 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 12:37 pm to
You can say the same about Louisville vs Rutgers. I just don't see how Louisville is laying more than two TDs on UCF
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 1:00 pm to
UCF looks good but I am not touching another Louisville game the rest of the year.

Locked in Vandy +7 and Mizzou +3. Georgia still dealing with those injuries and Vandy plays them tough at home. I am well aware of the beatdown they took last year in Athens.

I might throw another unit on Mizzou before kickoff. I think the freshman will play well enough. He has a god arm and is mobile enough. The crowd will be jacked an that team is playing so well. Might be the biggest game for them...ever?
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 1:00 pm to
Yea im all over UCF on this. Not passing it up like i passed up UNC last night
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
30320 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 1:01 pm to
So glad that I got my LSU bet in at -8. Went to put a little more on it and see that it jumped to -10.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 1:03 pm to
At first i really liked florida in this game but after 2 days of thinking about it I begin to like Mizzou. Mizzous D has been playing very very well amd their run game is very effective. With the run game being effective, they also have some big physical recievers that the freshman qb should be able to hit on some play actions
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 1:09 pm to
I felt the same way. Thought about going big on Florida when I saw the line. Researched the game and the QB Mauk and I did a 180. I feel confident about this one. Juts read the Florida message boards and then read the Mizzou message boards lol.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 1:13 pm to
All he has to do is just manage the game and mizzou will be fine. This guy was an absolute beast in HS not that it means anything. But he threw for over 11k yards in his junior and senior season.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
28114 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 1:27 pm to
Murphy, Florida Qb has an injured shoulder, but will start Saturday.

I was afraid of the Georgia, game, because of Pinkel. But it looks like Josh Henson is running the Offense his way, and i like the play calling.

Last year, MU lost a tough one in the Swamp, Franklin was fricking horrible, and they still had so many chances to tie and win that game. The defense dominated. I think MU defense is better, especially the front 4, this season. Sam has been a beast.

So for me, it came to whether i feel Mauk can manage a game. And last game he was thrown into a lions den, and while he looked like a deer in headlights he didn't do anything stupid. He made some plays running and in the air to seal the win.



I'll take the +135 on MU and ML.

Posted by cmp4668
Philadelphia
Member since Nov 2011
27 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

This is such a shitty card for the weekend.


Totally agree.

Only play is a Miami FL -2 / LSU -2.5 teaser.

GL Everyone
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47159 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 2:23 pm to
Picks for me..

Toledo
NIU
Ohio
Ball St
Oregon St
Fresno St
Oklahoma St
Rice
Stanford
Ohio St
Boise St

Waiting until tomorrow to lock in on lines.

..under .500 the last 2 weeks.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5701 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 2:52 pm to
Week 8 Picks
ULL +4 W
Miami -9 L
Miami 3Q L

TCU +7.5 (2x)
Minnesota +12.5 (2x)
South Alabama -6.5 (2x)
Florida State -3
Maryland -5.5
Texas Tech -5
Syracuse +7.5
Memphis -3
UNLV +25
New Mexico State +18
USC +3

Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30236 posts
Posted on 10/18/13 at 3:26 pm to
Not week 8, but I have a buddy that is willing to give me LSU +9.5 @ Bama. I am really tempted to take it, but I'd rather the extra half point.

What are your thoughts?
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