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re: How DHS determines how many illegal border crossings take place
Posted on 1/30/19 at 10:17 pm to IllegalPete
Posted on 1/30/19 at 10:17 pm to IllegalPete
quote:
You may want to actually read what you posted, specifically the methodology.
In Baltimore they call it juking the stats.
If you want to question the methodology involved, I'll allow it. Be advised I studied statistics in a Ph.D. program, but if you can intelligently discuss this I will too.
So far everyone else has just been randomly downvoting and yammering about this or that based on how they feel.
Posted on 1/31/19 at 5:10 am to foshizzle
quote:
If you want to question the methodology involved, I'll allow it. Be advised I studied statistics in a Ph.D. program, but if you can intelligently discuss this I will too.
I read several pages of your link - and I have not darkened the door of any Ph.D program, but I am an aerospace engineer with 35 years experience in reading technical documents and designing simulations at NASA in Clear Lake City, TX.
Whatever point the link is trying to make is decipherable only to someone deeply immersed in the methodology and objectives of the report. It is not designed to explain the methodology to any level of intelligence NOT immersed in its development.
Certainly, not 2 members of congress understand it. For instance, you will never convince me that Sheila Jackson Lee or Patty Murray understand it.
However, I am deeply interested in this topic - I have often wondered how estimates of 'those we didn't catch" are made - and to what confidence level those estimates can be trusted.
I would appreciate it if you - as someone well versed in the field - would give us a thumbnail description of the methodology.
I'd really like to know. This document would require months of dedicated research fro me to even understand the phraseology.
Could you help me out?
Rendezvous guidance for space vehicles is a rather complicated affair - I think I could give you some idea of how the methodology works without relying on the arcane definitions known only to theoretical research physicists.
Help a brotha out - I assure you I am genuinely interested in how they do this.
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