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Birx completely changed her stats/projections between Friday and Sunday

Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:50 pm
Posted by Buckeye Jeaux
Member since May 2018
17756 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:50 pm
On Sunday she went along with Fauci's doomsday 100,000 to 200,000 possible deaths.

On Friday Birx said, "In no country to date have we seen an attack rate over one in a thousand."

Do the math - 1 per 1000 would equal 350,000 cases in the US.

100,000 US deaths would be a 28.5% death rate of confirmed COVID cases, 200,000 would be a 57% death rate.

She seemed reluctant to take the podium on Sunday. I can see why.

Birx vid - statement on Friday (at about 1:00) -

LINK
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 7:57 pm
Posted by xGeauxLSUx
United States of Atrophy
Member since Oct 2008
21039 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:53 pm to
They're all pretty much full of shite.

Just like when the egg yolk was terrible for you...then they came back and rescinded that.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19824 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:54 pm to
The Feds commissioned various research groups to run models on 15 different scenarios. The tune changed when those results came in.
Posted by dsides
Member since Jan 2013
5413 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

On Sunday she went along with Fauci's doomsday 100,000 to 200,000 possible deaths.

On Friday Birx said, "In no country to date have we seen an attack rate over one in a thousand."


She went on to explain that it could be because we’ve only tested the tip of the iceberg with respect to total cases.

I’m guessing she thinks there will be more confirmed cases as we continue to improve testing capabilities.
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12826 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:34 pm to
And guess what!

THEY WILL frickING GET AWAY WITH IT

Because all they have to say is “well the measures worked” if not for that millions would be dead

Trump knows it’s a legit virus but he knows it’s bullshite as far as the magnitude in which it’s being portrayed. He has no choice but the play the game.
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54235 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:56 pm to
The word expert is a misnomer for "experts." They're opinionators with credentials is all.
Posted by beaverfever
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
32762 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 9:19 pm to
I’d put just as much stock in her reading my palm or telling me where the S&P is going to be in two weeks. It’s ridiculous to even make a projection.
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

On Sunday she went along with Fauci's doomsday 100,000 to 200,000 possible deaths.



If you watch the video of the interview he was being asked if 100,000 was probable and he made it clear he did not think it was probable but conceded it was possible.

The worst thing was the interviewer seemed to have one objective, try to get him to say something anti Trump which Fauci did a good job dodging, when that failed they were trying to pin him down on death projections and completely misconstrued what he said.

CNN sucks donkey balls

Posted by CheEngineer
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2019
4234 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

100,000 US deaths would be a 28.5% death rate of confirmed COVID cases


Have you checked the current death rates of confirmed cases? Especially if you remove the bull shite China numbers. I expect as treatment comes along we should get better but we are pretty close World wide to 30% of confined cases.

Link for your trouble.
World Meters Link.
Posted by SevenLinesofPine
Mississippi
Member since Feb 2013
746 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 9:57 pm to
On Friday Birx said, "In no country to date have we seen an attack rate over one in a thousand."

On Sunday she went along with Fauci's doomsday 100,000 to 200,000 possible deaths.
Posted by Langland
Trumplandia
Member since Apr 2014
15382 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:23 pm to
Smart people aren't really much smarter than the average person. In fact, many smart people lack common sense.
Posted by abellsujr
New England
Member since Apr 2014
35369 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:42 pm to
The administration has been criticized for underestimating the virus. So now they’re overestimating. It’ll make things look immensely better in public perception when all this is over.
Posted by ConwayGamecock
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
9121 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 5:22 am to
WHen they agree with whatever Trump says, they are Goddamned Good Americans.

When they don't, they are FILTHY RUSSIAN SOCIALIST LIBERAL TRAITORS!!!!!


When Trump turns around and agrees with them,











then they are OK again.....
Posted by Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 6:01 am to
quote:

100,000 US deaths would be a 28.5% death rate of confirmed COVID cases, 200,000 would be a 57% death rate


There is no scenario in which this kills 28.5% or more of the people who contract it. The problem is that with the ease that this can be spread, even at 1%-2% that is a lot of people dying.
This post was edited on 3/31/20 at 6:03 am
Posted by Azkiger
Member since Nov 2016
21814 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 7:09 am to
quote:

On Friday Birx said, "In no country to date have we seen an attack rate over one in a thousand."

Do the math - 1 per 1000 would equal 350,000 cases in the US.


We're essentially half way there already and adding 18k each day.

You do realize it's still spreading, the numbers are still growing right?

At one point no country saw an attack rate of one in ten thousand yet today we're seeing that.
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
34248 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 2:01 pm to
Fauci stepped in it with the 100000-200000 deaths remark. He put the entire credibility of the VP's Task Force on the line with the very doomsday modeling that Birx described as being over the top. Fauci backed the President and the Task Force into a corner. Birx had no choice but to " readjust " her numbers in an attempt to ward off speculation of internal bickering, which surely must be taking place. Would also wager the guidelines were readjusted as a hedge to Fauci's comments.
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