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re: Birx completely changed her stats/projections between Friday and Sunday

Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:54 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19824 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:54 pm to
The Feds commissioned various research groups to run models on 15 different scenarios. The tune changed when those results came in.
Posted by baybeefeetz
Member since Sep 2009
31655 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:56 pm to
Link?
Posted by kbmaverick
Baton Rouge, Maui and Toledo Bend
Member since Nov 2009
931 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

The Feds commissioned various research groups to run models on 15 different scenarios


And they are all wrong because the model is shite in equals shite out.
Posted by AndyCBR
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2012
7567 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

The Feds commissioned various research groups to run models on 15 different scenarios. The tune changed when those results came in.



All based on incomplete data.

Tell me what it does when you only sample people with 103 degree fever for testing? (Policy in EBR). Answer: you have a skewed rate of positives per capita.

Tell me what it does when China doesn’t count asymptomatic positives in their count? It means their data on their rates are complete bullshite.

The best data we have is the pietri dish cruise ship. Even that is biased toward an older population who were on the cruise ship.
Posted by Buckeye Jeaux
Member since May 2018
17756 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 8:03 pm to
Birx said on Sunday that they relied IHME model. IHME is the group that Bill Gates funded, and headed by a former WHO official, Chris Murray. Murray was chsen by Gates to head the IHME.


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