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48 hours out, likely no more surprises to be had, how confident are you in DJT?

Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:09 pm
Posted by Jeb Busch Lite
Member since Apr 2016
1860 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:09 pm
I know we’ve had this thread 100+ times, but obviously things have been changing daily as actual numbers start to come in.

So with 48 hours left, some of the early vote numbers taking shape, and all of the October surprises likely out of the way, how confident are you in

1. A trump victory

And

2. That he or Biden is able to reasonably declare victory by early Wednesday morning

I’m around a 90% that DJT wins, but I think it’s about 50/50 that we will know for sure by late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
60590 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:10 pm to
1. 100%

2. 95% The only way it's not called is a Razor thin victory on either side, which will trigger a 2000-esque SCOTUS lawfare battle Royale.
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
6471 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:12 pm to
Coin flip which is better odds than Trump had in 2016 but still good chance he loses.

It's a coin flip.

PA, MI and WI all tip the same way in the end so it looks like a big win for whoever is on top.
This post was edited on 11/1/20 at 8:13 pm
Posted by secuniversity
Member since May 2015
5689 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

National GE, Among those who plan to cast their ballot on #ElectionDay

Trump 69% (+42) Biden 27%

@YouGovAmerica

@CBSNewsPoll

, LV, 10/26-30
Posted by Seeker
Member since Jul 2011
1846 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:13 pm to
You really think there will no more surprises? Dems are going to drag out the vote fraud for as long as possible. Crates of ballots will be found 6 months later.
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:13 pm to
Heart says TRUMP LANDSLIDE

Head says that map is brutal and it’ll take another miracle.
Posted by V Bainbridge
Member since Jul 2020
7795 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:13 pm to
1. 90%
2. 3.50%
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
26799 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:14 pm to
What happened to the nyt bomb for today?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72193 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:14 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 11:35 pm
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
7016 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:15 pm to
25-30% chance Trump wins.

Polls aren't breaking his way as they did late in 2016. The democrats were prepared this go around and campaigned in the Midwest.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72193 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:18 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 11:35 pm
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
7016 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

Heart says TRUMP LANDSLIDE

Head says that map is brutal and it’ll take another miracle.


Virginia and Colorado going blue in the last few cycles has made it brutal for a Republican to win.

Last election it took the DNC neglecting the midwest and getting caught in a surprise to pull it off.
Posted by TigerCoon
Member since Nov 2005
18895 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:20 pm to
77%
Posted by Apache
San Diego
Member since Dec 2013
2493 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:20 pm to
100% confident that Trump will prevail.
Posted by claremontrich
Member since Nov 2016
2001 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:21 pm to
They released it on Friday: stated that POTUS took advantage of the tax laws to reduce his tax burden
Posted by N97883
New Dehli Forsyth GA
Member since Nov 2013
8063 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:22 pm to
I think trump tells the truth. Got plenty of proof of that.

He seems very confident in his internal polls. So I think he’s good.

Hopefully several surprise blues to red flips and Biden kneels
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76704 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:24 pm to
quote:

it took the DNC neglecting the midwest and getting caught in a surprise to pull it off.


It's not neglect. It's losing voters in droves due to their platform.
Posted by HubbaBubba
F_uck Joe Biden, TX
Member since Oct 2010
45854 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:25 pm to
If effort and ground game counts for anything, Trump wins handily.
Posted by Aliasau
Santa Rosa Beach Florida
Member since May 2020
1081 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:30 pm to
On a scale from one to ten I’m a ten for MAGa
Posted by HeadSlash
TEAM LIVE BADASS - St. GEORGE
Member since Aug 2006
49867 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:31 pm to
Confidence is high, I repeat Confidence is high.
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