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Message
Playoff Probability & Scenarios, Tie Breaker Rules, & Schedules
Posted on 12/6/10 at 8:43 am
Posted on 12/6/10 at 8:43 am
Playoff Probabilities
Playoff Scenario Generator
If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.
Two Clubs
1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5. Strength of victory.
6. Strength of schedule.
7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
9. Best net points in common games.
10. Best net points in all games.
11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
12. Coin toss
LINK
--------------------------
REMAINING SCHEDULE NFC CONTENDAS
NFC EAST
Philadephia Eagles (9-4)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @Dallas 8:20 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 @New York 1:00
16 Sun, Dec 26 vsMinnesota 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsDallas 1:00 PM
New York Giants (8-4)
14 Sun Dec 12 @Minnesota 1:00 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 vsPhiladelphia 1:00 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 @Green Bay 4:15 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 @Washington 1:00 PM
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears (9-4)
14 Sun, Dec 12 vs New England 4:15 PM
15 Mon, Dec 20 @ Minnesota 8:30 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 vs New York G 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 @ Green Bay 1:00 PM
Green Bay Packers (8-5)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @Detroit 1:00 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 @New England 8:20 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 vsNew York 4:15 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsChicago 1:00 PM
NFC SOUTH
ATLANTA FALCONS (11-2)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @Carolina 1:00 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 @Seattle 4:05 PM
16 Mon, Dec 27 vsNew Orleans 8:30 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsCarolina 1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (10-3)
14 Sun, Dec 12 vsSt. Louis 4:05 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 @Baltimore 1:00 PM
16 MonDec 27 @Atlanta 8:30
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsTampa Bay 1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY BUCS (8-5)
Sun, Dec 12 @Washington 1:00 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 vsDetroit 1:00 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 vsSeattle 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 @New Orleans 1:00 PM
NFC WEST (NO WILD CARD POSSIBILITY)
ST LOUIS RAMS (6-7)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @New Orleans 4:05 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 vsKansas City 1:00 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 vsSan Francisco 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 @Seattle 4:15 PM
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (6-7)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @San Francisco 4:05 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 vsAtlanta 4:05 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 @Tampa Bay 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsSt. Louis 4:15 PM
Playoff Scenario Generator
If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.
Two Clubs
1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5. Strength of victory.
6. Strength of schedule.
7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
9. Best net points in common games.
10. Best net points in all games.
11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
12. Coin toss
LINK
--------------------------
REMAINING SCHEDULE NFC CONTENDAS
NFC EAST
Philadephia Eagles (9-4)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @Dallas 8:20 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 @New York 1:00
16 Sun, Dec 26 vsMinnesota 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsDallas 1:00 PM
New York Giants (8-4)
14 Sun Dec 12 @Minnesota 1:00 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 vsPhiladelphia 1:00 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 @Green Bay 4:15 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 @Washington 1:00 PM
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears (9-4)
14 Sun, Dec 12 vs New England 4:15 PM
15 Mon, Dec 20 @ Minnesota 8:30 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 vs New York G 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 @ Green Bay 1:00 PM
Green Bay Packers (8-5)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @Detroit 1:00 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 @New England 8:20 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 vsNew York 4:15 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsChicago 1:00 PM
NFC SOUTH
ATLANTA FALCONS (11-2)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @Carolina 1:00 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 @Seattle 4:05 PM
16 Mon, Dec 27 vsNew Orleans 8:30 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsCarolina 1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (10-3)
14 Sun, Dec 12 vsSt. Louis 4:05 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 @Baltimore 1:00 PM
16 MonDec 27 @Atlanta 8:30
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsTampa Bay 1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY BUCS (8-5)
Sun, Dec 12 @Washington 1:00 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 vsDetroit 1:00 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 vsSeattle 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 @New Orleans 1:00 PM
NFC WEST (NO WILD CARD POSSIBILITY)
ST LOUIS RAMS (6-7)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @New Orleans 4:05 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 vsKansas City 1:00 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 vsSan Francisco 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 @Seattle 4:15 PM
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (6-7)
14 Sun, Dec 12 @San Francisco 4:05 PM
15 Sun, Dec 19 vsAtlanta 4:05 PM
16 Sun, Dec 26 @Tampa Bay 1:00 PM
17 Sun, Jan 2 vsSt. Louis 4:15 PM
This post was edited on 12/12/10 at 11:21 pm
8
Posted on 12/6/10 at 10:47 am to blueslover
I was just wondering about that. If Saints win out and ATL only remaining loss is to Saints....it looks like you have to get down to #4 for the tiebreaker.
Posted on 12/6/10 at 10:54 am to TopWaterTiger
if the saints win out and atlanta only loses to us. they go because of the common games. we lost to arizona and they beat them.
Posted on 12/6/10 at 11:43 am to NOLATIGAH
Not so fast!! We beat the Steelers and they lost, so this tiebreaker is a wash too.
ETA Never mind. I forgot about the Browns loss.
ETA Never mind. I forgot about the Browns loss.
This post was edited on 12/6/10 at 11:56 am
Posted on 12/6/10 at 12:26 pm to rosstheboss
The only possible game I can see Atlanta losing besides ours is Seattle. 3rd road game in a row & the weather could be a factor. Other than that one, we're doomed to be 5th even if we win out.
Posted on 12/6/10 at 12:58 pm to CWilken21
quote:
The only possible game I can see Atlanta losing besides ours is Seattle
This is the NFL, and if Atlanta is overlooking any team, they can lose.
Posted on 12/6/10 at 2:49 pm to blueslover
ATL is going to LOSE OUT and not even make the playoffs. book it
Posted on 12/6/10 at 3:27 pm to Pilot Tiger
If Atlanta loses to Carolina (I know, laugh), but if they do somehow lose to Carolina and then to us, then the Saints can lose to Baltimore or St. Louis and still win the division.
In that event both Atl and NO would be 12-4, but NO would get the tiebreaker with a 5-1 division record compared to Atlanta's 4-2 record
In that event both Atl and NO would be 12-4, but NO would get the tiebreaker with a 5-1 division record compared to Atlanta's 4-2 record
Posted on 12/6/10 at 4:30 pm to blueslover
I like that playoff generator. It's even better than yahoo's.
Posted on 12/6/10 at 8:26 pm to The Boat
Common Opponents: Browns, Cardinals, Steelers, Bengals
Saints are 2-2, ATL is 3-1
ETA: common opponents to date...still have Seahawks, Rams, Ravens to make mutual as well
Saints are 2-2, ATL is 3-1
ETA: common opponents to date...still have Seahawks, Rams, Ravens to make mutual as well
This post was edited on 12/6/10 at 8:40 pm
Posted on 12/7/10 at 2:12 am to blueslover
Tampa's schedule this entire year is a complete joke.
Posted on 12/7/10 at 9:14 am to DaTigahDen
We had a last place schedule last year.
Posted on 12/7/10 at 9:53 am to blueslover
The only scenario in which the Saints can win a tiebreaker is for the Falcons to lose one of their 2 games to Carolina.
That's pretty much all there is to it at this point.
That's pretty much all there is to it at this point.
Posted on 12/7/10 at 10:07 am to AstroTiger
quote:
That's pretty much all there is to it at this point.
for tiebreakers that is, I think a bad weather loss in Seattle is more likely. Saints 13-3, dirty birds 12-4 then.
Big weather in the long range forecast right now. Bad factor is that Saints will be in Baltimore the same weekend...
Could be some snow in NC this weekend...
Charlotte Sunday as of now...
56/30F
WSW 17mph Gusts to 34mph
Precip 30%
Posted on 12/7/10 at 10:21 am to blueslover
Correct.
But an ATL loss to Carolina would allow us a slip up against either STL or Baltimore (sorry I even said it
)
But an ATL loss to Carolina would allow us a slip up against either STL or Baltimore (sorry I even said it
)Posted on 12/7/10 at 12:27 pm to blueslover
quote:
Playoff Scenario Generator
To show you how little defense matters anymore, click on "Defensive Rankings" and look at that bracket.
Saints get the #2 seed and the Pats miss the playoffs!
Posted on 12/8/10 at 7:33 am to RockChalkTiger
Start pulling for whomever plays Seattle now and the Rams after Sunday. With division not in our own hands, and 5 seed looking likely, Saints want to play indoors in St. Louis Wildcard weekend rather than at Seattle in Jan.
Posted on 12/9/10 at 1:19 am to DaTigahDen
quote:
Tampa's schedule this entire year is a complete joke.
Don't they play the same schedule as the rest of the NFC South, except for 2 opponents?
Posted on 12/9/10 at 12:58 pm to shel311
i'm probably in the minority here, but if the Saints keep the 5 seed, i would rather them play seahawks than rams.
Posted on 12/10/10 at 9:05 am to pirt
I agree. I think the Seahawks are the weaker of the two. Rams have a better D, RB, QB. I'll take either game though. frick it. It's the playoffs. We should be able to beat anyone come that time.
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