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| Favorite team: | Los Angeles Dodgers  |
| Location: | The Mojave Desert |
| Biography: | Ridding the world of psycho-babble, one shame-based inner-child at a time. |
| Interests: | golf, wine, blues guitar |
| Occupation: | shrink |
| Number of Posts: | 66858 |
| Registered on: | 8/20/2003 |
| Online Status: | Online |
Recent Posts
Message
7
"Victims of Trans Genocide" march
Posted by L.A. on 6/9/26 at 9:55 am
The race for supremacy in the victimhood Olympics is never ending.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.re: How’s the boycott of Asian owned businesses going?
Posted by L.A. on 6/8/26 at 6:31 pm to thebigmuffaletta
And 100% of Conservatives wish those same Democrats lived in another country.
:usa:
:usa:
re: “Looking at California - rampant SNAP fraud, hospice fraud, immigration fraud.
Posted by L.A. on 6/8/26 at 6:02 pm to thetempleowl
quote:
But when a Democrat calls something a conspiracy theory, well frick, that means it's real and that person knows it's all true...
I guess I'm missing your point, which I assume is sarcastic. But the salient point of the OP is not the quote from Jeffries. It's the question from the reporter:
quote:
“Looking at California - rampant SNAP fraud, hospice fraud, immigration fraud. Are we really supposed to believe there’s no election fraud?"
“Looking at California - rampant SNAP fraud, hospice fraud, immigration fraud.
Posted by L.A. on 6/8/26 at 5:45 pm
:bow:
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
Our reporter
@alisonintheknow
asked House Minority Leader
@RepJeffries
:
“Looking at California - rampant SNAP fraud, hospice fraud, immigration fraud. Are we really supposed to believe there’s no election fraud? And if there’s none, why do California Democrats refuse a federal audit?”
Jeffries’ response:
“There is NO election fraud in California. Donald Trump is MAKING IT UP. He can’t point to a shred of evidence. This is all a CONSPIRACY THEORY.”
re: The fix is in: Mormon exclusion from Christian list has been 'corrected'
Posted by L.A. on 6/8/26 at 3:45 pm to conservativewifeymom
quote:
The 'correction' was made by removing the 'Christian' designation from preceding the other denominations
Mormonism is most definitely not a Christian denomination.
Christian sect would be an acceptable term IMO
ETA: By "Christian" sect I mean Christian in the world religions sense, i.e. Christian as opposed to Hindu, or Buddhist, etc.
But they are most definitely not Christian in any recognizable doctrinal sense.
Although I do agree with the poster who said that most Mormons act more Christian than most other Christian groups. I have no explanation for that, but I have observed it to be true.
quote:
Jack
@jackunheard
·
KAREN BASS DIDN’T MOVE AT ALL IN THE LATE BALLOT DROPS.
Spencer Pratt plummeted.
Nithya Raman skyrocketed.
Nothing, and I mean NOTHING about that is organic.
They played all their cards to rig this thing in broad daylight in pure panic.
Let the investigations begin.
Howard Cosell looked into the future
Posted by L.A. on 6/7/26 at 10:04 pm
:rotflmao:
Raman getting 40% of the 6/6 ballot drop is statistically IMPOSSIBLE. Not just improbable
Posted by L.A. on 6/7/26 at 9:51 pm
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
The odds of Nithya Raman receiving 40% of the vote yesterday are “LESS LIKELY than picking ONE GRAIN OF SAND on Earth dozens of times in a row.” I believe elections tend to be fair. Someone help me make sense of math that seems impossible…
I ASKED CHATGPT -
“What is the statistical likelihood that 40% of votes from a “new batch” of ballots go to a candidate who received 24% of votes from all other batches that represented 95% of counted electorate. Give me a % odds.”
The Answer (Part 1) -
“Assuming the candidate’s “true” share is 24%, the odds that a random new batch lands at 40% or higher depends on batch size:
50 ballots
0.88%
100 ballots
0.028%
200 ballots
0.00004%
500 ballots
~0.00000000000018%
1,000 ballots
~0.0000000000000000000000000035%”
My follow up -
“Assume 40,000 ballots. Are the odds one in a billion? One in a trillion? Worse? This seems to be happening in Los Angeles Mayor’s race between Mayor Bass, Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman.”
The Answer (Part 2) -
“If the 40,000-ballot batch were drawn from the same population that produced 24% support in the other 95% of votes, then seeing 40% support in that batch would be far beyond “one in a billion” or “one in a trillion.”
75 standard deviations is in an entirely different universe.
The probability is approximately:
~10?¹²²°
or about
1 chance in 10¹²²°
That’s a number with roughly 1,220 zeros after the 1.
Statistically, if the batch were truly a random sample of the same electorate, the odds are so small that statisticians would effectively treat the event as impossible. The usual conclusion would not be “wow, what a lucky fluctuation,” but rather that the batch is not representative of the earlier ballots—for example, it came from a different geographic area, voting method, demographic group, or subset of voters.
So yes: much worse than one in a billion, much worse than one in a trillion, and vastly smaller than any probability encountered in ordinary statistical analysis.”
My follow up -
“More grains of sand on earth than the likelihood of this?”
The Answer (Part 3) -
“Yes. Much, much more.
Estimated grains of sand on Earth are often put around 10¹8 to 10²°.
Your odds example was roughly:
1 in 10¹²²°
So this is not just “less likely than picking one grain of sand on Earth.”
It’s more like picking the right grain of sand on Earth correctly over and over again dozens of times in a row.”
Sincerely,
Jeremy Padawer
LINK
quote:
"The 40 million Mexicans who live there, the United States would not be what it is today without the 40 million Mexican men and women who work there..."
That's true, just not in the way she intended
`
If the 1st woman president is a trans woman (i.e. biological male) will Leftists be happy?
Posted by L.A. on 6/7/26 at 7:26 pm
Inquiring minds want to know
re: Welker:"There's no evidence of Capitol Police escorting protesters into the Capitol on J6"
Posted by L.A. on 6/7/26 at 4:13 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Other than the video evidence we all saw
re: Tough week for Mormons
Posted by L.A. on 6/7/26 at 10:25 am to Philzilla2k
quote:
who discovered a novel method to frick the wives and daughters of his friends.
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