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re: Spread down to -1.5

Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:01 am to
Posted by NOLA1128
Member since Dec 2011
3469 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Sick of everybody looking at TCU as being a great team because they were runner up last year.
Apparently Vegas did that to. TCU is horrible and will be a 4-8 this year. Colorado may be as well.


It is remarkable that even with sports gambling being legal in so many states, so many people do not understand how sports betting lines work.

Vegas is not making a prediction based on the game's results, they're making a prediction (and then reacting) based on where the bettor's money will go. They're in the business of making money, not picking winners/results.
Posted by GeauxLSUGeaux
1 room down from Erin Andrews
Member since May 2004
23357 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:03 am to
quote:

TCU is horrible and will be a 4-8 this year. Colorado may be as well.


You do know the Colorado QB threw for 500+ yds right? What defense in the pac12 will be good enough to stop him? Their toughest games are USC, Oregon, and Utah. They may also lose against Oregon State. The other teams they play suck worse than TCU. They could very well go 9-3 or 8-4.
Posted by kew48
Covington Louisiana
Member since Sep 2006
1114 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:04 am to
It would move in the opposite direction to encourage more betting on FSU !
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77597 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:07 am to
Alot of big/sharp money coming in on florida st as expected
Posted by arkytiger
Lake village AR
Member since May 2005
1298 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:09 am to
What exactly does a sharp better know that no one else does?
Posted by burreauxxx
Member since Dec 2019
2786 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:12 am to
Hasn’t been a good start for the SEC

The Carolina game last night probably contributed to the psychology of the betters today
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77597 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:15 am to
Approx what the line should be on the game. From what ive heard and read, most of them think the line should be around pickem or fla st -1
Posted by GeauxLSUGeaux
1 room down from Erin Andrews
Member since May 2004
23357 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 10:29 am to
quote:

Hasn’t been a good start for the SEC


Because South Carolina lost?
Posted by pbro62
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2016
11426 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 11:04 am to
You know absolutely nothing about betting do you? Dumbass
Posted by PlaySomeHonk
Montegut La and Liberty MS
Member since Jan 2023
333 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 11:29 am to
This only matters to the books accepting bets and is irrelevant to the final score, which I believe will show who the highest quality program is at this point in time. What LSU did last year vastly outperforms FSU’s 2022 body of work and that will be evident this evening when FSU’s world will be rocked.
Posted by geauxfortwo
Livin the dream
Member since Jan 2018
1914 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 12:07 pm to
Tell me you don’t understand how spreads work
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
14580 posts
Posted on 9/3/23 at 12:35 pm to
The ML has moved a lot too. Down to -120 in favor of LSU. Might be a PK by kickoff. Though some money will probably come back in on LSU and the line will settle around -130 or so.
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