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Does lsu have a chance of getting into a hypothetical 12 team playoff?
Posted on 11/12/23 at 2:51 pm
Posted on 11/12/23 at 2:51 pm
Since it is becoming our reality soon, as a three loss team this year lsu would need a couple people ahead of them to lose. Do y’all think lsu would sneak in if they finish 9-3?
11
Posted on 11/12/23 at 2:52 pm to bayoubaw18
No. There will be auto qualifiers via conference champs that will eat up some spots
Posted on 11/12/23 at 2:52 pm to bayoubaw18
It certainly would make the end of a season like this more entertaining
Posted on 11/12/23 at 2:55 pm to bayoubaw18
No
Posted on 11/12/23 at 3:13 pm to bayoubaw18
Yes, it’s possible.
Anyone that says no doesn’t know what they’re talking about. It’s absolutely possible. It’s admittedly Unlikely if you look at what needs to happen, but nonetheless 100% possible.
Whether now (for NY6) or next year (for CFP), it goes by CFP rankings after the auto-qualifier conference champs are inserted. Most - if not all - of the auto-qualifiers will be in the Top12 anyway (all of the power5 usually are, G5 takes a spot), the rest (at-large) go by CFP ranking so it effectively becomes a race to get into the top11 of the rankings after you assume G5 will take a spot while not being in the Top12
(We’re 15 now, maybe even 14 on Tuesday…. LSU needs some help but can absolutely get in the Top11)
OregonSt and Louisville will lose down the stretch, that alone gets us to 13
BYU or TCU beats Oklahoma and Florida beats Mizzou… there you go: LSU is 11
And if you want some insurance Rutgers over PennSt or MissSt over Ole Miss would certainly help too, but those would be significant upsets.
My only point: If the playoff were starting this year, we are definitely on the outside looking in currently… But we’re also DEFINITELY still in the running to nab one of the final spots. (Same for NY6 bowl this year).
Anyone that says no doesn’t know what they’re talking about. It’s absolutely possible. It’s admittedly Unlikely if you look at what needs to happen, but nonetheless 100% possible.
Whether now (for NY6) or next year (for CFP), it goes by CFP rankings after the auto-qualifier conference champs are inserted. Most - if not all - of the auto-qualifiers will be in the Top12 anyway (all of the power5 usually are, G5 takes a spot), the rest (at-large) go by CFP ranking so it effectively becomes a race to get into the top11 of the rankings after you assume G5 will take a spot while not being in the Top12
(We’re 15 now, maybe even 14 on Tuesday…. LSU needs some help but can absolutely get in the Top11)
OregonSt and Louisville will lose down the stretch, that alone gets us to 13
BYU or TCU beats Oklahoma and Florida beats Mizzou… there you go: LSU is 11
And if you want some insurance Rutgers over PennSt or MissSt over Ole Miss would certainly help too, but those would be significant upsets.
My only point: If the playoff were starting this year, we are definitely on the outside looking in currently… But we’re also DEFINITELY still in the running to nab one of the final spots. (Same for NY6 bowl this year).
This post was edited on 11/12/23 at 3:35 pm
Posted on 11/12/23 at 5:40 pm to bayoubaw18
The fact that this is even a question is why I hate the idea of the 12 team playoff.
This is not a championship level team.
Its been proven on the field.
Are we going to rationalize for scraps on how we can sneak in?
This is not a championship level team.
Its been proven on the field.
Are we going to rationalize for scraps on how we can sneak in?
Posted on 11/12/23 at 5:50 pm to bayoubaw18
NO
Posted on 11/12/23 at 5:56 pm to bayoubaw18
The same chance as getting into a NY6 game this year-- which is more than 0 but less than 50. We'll probably be 15 this week. We should be 14. Being behind Mizzou is dumb with the road head to head win and the extra loss is on the road against an undefeated nonconference opponent. Oklahoma and Oregon State will probably lose. That could get us to 12 but we need to get to 11 with the G5 automatic qualifier. Little chance of jumping the top 8, Penn State, or Ole Miss. It kinda comes down to Louisville. Just losing to FSU probably isn't enough. They probably need to lose 2/3 to Miami, Kentucky, and FSU. And of course LSU needs to beat A&M too which is hardly a lock. It's probably around a 10% chance in total honestly.
This post was edited on 11/12/23 at 5:58 pm
Posted on 11/12/23 at 11:30 pm to bayoubaw18
I'd say top 10 at least. In most years, there is at least one P5 conference champ outside of the top 12. There are usually multiple SEC teams in the top 10. You will have 1 loss conference runners-up.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 12:58 am to bayoubaw18
There's a chance but not a good one. On the hand the chips do seem to fall LSU's way when they're in the conversation that last weekend.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 1:13 am to bayoubaw18
It all comes down to the old “best team” vs “more deserving team”
Our record is mediocre because of the defense, but there is no team on this planet that would want to play us in a single-elimination playoff game. If our defense gets a stop a quarter we beat anyone including UGA.
Our record is mediocre because of the defense, but there is no team on this planet that would want to play us in a single-elimination playoff game. If our defense gets a stop a quarter we beat anyone including UGA.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 6:39 am to bayoubaw18
2 years away from that.
Will be a step back next year
Will be a step back next year
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