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re: 2 year inverted yield curve
Posted on 4/24/24 at 6:59 am to SlidellCajun
Posted on 4/24/24 at 6:59 am to SlidellCajun
History would tell us to keep buying into pull backs as our markets recover with huge returns after these periods. However it looks to me like our next “crisis” will be a sovereign debt crisis and that’s much different than what we’ve faced in the past. In 2008 the Fed was able to paper over the mortgage crisis but can the do that if US debt is the issue?
If you were Japanese buying into the Nekkai crash in 1989 it took almost 30 years t get back to even. But, during that same period if you shifted to US markets you made out like a bandit.
I got conservative in 2008 as it seemed a real possibility that everything was going to blow up. It cost me a little on the rebound and I learned that you shouldn’t underestimate the PTB ability to kick the can down the road and keep things from breaking to protect their wealth.
The truth is nobody knows what the next crisis will be. I agree that the markets and assets are in a bubble but who knows when and what the catalyst will be that triggers a correction or worse yet, crash. About all you can do is not try to time it and keep your head on a swivel.
If you were Japanese buying into the Nekkai crash in 1989 it took almost 30 years t get back to even. But, during that same period if you shifted to US markets you made out like a bandit.
I got conservative in 2008 as it seemed a real possibility that everything was going to blow up. It cost me a little on the rebound and I learned that you shouldn’t underestimate the PTB ability to kick the can down the road and keep things from breaking to protect their wealth.
The truth is nobody knows what the next crisis will be. I agree that the markets and assets are in a bubble but who knows when and what the catalyst will be that triggers a correction or worse yet, crash. About all you can do is not try to time it and keep your head on a swivel.
This post was edited on 4/24/24 at 7:05 am
Posted on 4/24/24 at 12:31 pm to SquatchDawg
quote:
However it looks to me like our next “crisis” will be a sovereign debt crisis and that’s much different than what we’ve faced in the past. In 2008 the Fed was able to paper over the mortgage crisis but can the do that if US debt is the issue?
If that happens we're all screwed anyway.
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