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re: Do we have an argument to get in a regional…

Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:32 pm to
Posted by CWILKS3
Covington
Member since Apr 2020
835 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:32 pm to
frick, if they win one game this weekend against A&M their RPI will jump back up to the 34/35 area because A&M has the #1 RPI
Posted by FredbullTN
Brentwood, TN
Member since Sep 2023
1288 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:34 pm to
I mean I also listed about 4 other reasons you could argue LSU is better in my original post. I’m not gonna keep listing them out for you. Regardless of LSU record they also haven’t lost a series at home to a powerhouse like Rice.
Posted by bradygolf98
Member since Jan 2021
1394 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Why wouldn’t a fan be happy to see their team play post season baseball?

Welcome to the rant. Where weirdos get happy when their team loses.
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
62108 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

Bottom line is this: The next two weeks will likely determine LSU's season. If they can take 2/3 vs. Alabama and A&M, they will have a decent shot of sneaking into a regional. Lose both series, and you can pretty much close the book on postseason play.


LSU will get in a regional at 13-17, regardless of how it happens over the next 3 weeks

Now the question is, can LSU go 6-4 over the next 3 SEC weekends?
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 1:36 pm
Posted by CWILKS3
Covington
Member since Apr 2020
835 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:40 pm to
If they take both the A&M and Bama series, they’ll be 11-16 at worse, with 2 series wins against top 15 RPI teams (one on the road) which would put their RPI up to near the mid 20s
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
8025 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:40 pm to
You don’t have to keep listing them out for me, I read your original post. It was dumb. I told you why LSU’s win over ULL doesn’t matter and I told you why LSU’s OOC record doesn’t hold much weight.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77624 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:41 pm to
With only 9 games to play in those 3 weeks, id say 6-4 is impossible
Posted by FredbullTN
Brentwood, TN
Member since Sep 2023
1288 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:42 pm to
I got you. In regards to the 34 at large teams, I’m assuming they take into account any head to head matchups and common opponents?
Posted by CWILKS3
Covington
Member since Apr 2020
835 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:44 pm to
That, RPI, strength of record/schedule, and honestly with humans picking the 64 teams, bias is probably thrown into that as well.
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
13145 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:47 pm to
I guess it is possible for us to win ONE versus the Aggies. But I do not think it is even possible for us to win 2 vs A&M.

IMO, we are more likely to end the regular season at 11-19 in the SEC.
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51535 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

I guess it is possible for us to win ONE versus the Aggies. But I do not think it is even possible for us to win 2 vs A&M.


they're good but not some unbeatable wagon.

I could see us winning a close one Friday night, Saturday being a toss-up, and getting 10RR'd Sunday. IE how the Florida and Vandy series played out.
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 1:54 pm
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
30733 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Imagine being happy going to play in the Lafayette regional
Imagine pretending to be an LSU fan and not being happy to be in a regional close to home.
Posted by FredbullTN
Brentwood, TN
Member since Sep 2023
1288 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:55 pm to
Does anyone actually know what the least amount of SEC wins a team has had and made the tournament? Could have sworn I saw someone say we made it one year with 11 or 12 wins.
Posted by Rabbs and QStick
Houston
Member since Apr 2012
2833 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:56 pm to
Not sure what you believe LSU's RPI is, but its 42 currently. They would not be in with RPI of 42 right now.

ETA: Let me clarify, 42 is not good enough when you get the auto boosts to the ranking just being in the SEC
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 1:57 pm
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51535 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:56 pm to
Bama made it in 2021 at 12-17. They got sent to the Ruston regional where they went 1-2

In 2022 they went 12-17 again and were left out.
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 1:59 pm
Posted by FredbullTN
Brentwood, TN
Member since Sep 2023
1288 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:58 pm to
Now we are getting somewhere. Any idea what their overall record, strength of schedule, was like in comparison to us this year?

Disregard. I forgot google was a thing. Looking at 2021 their schedule doesn’t look too much different than ours except you could argue their OOC schedule was worse.
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 2:03 pm
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
12487 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:58 pm to
We can argue that the regionals are not the regionals without the LSU Tigers but I don’t think that is going to work.
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51535 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 2:00 pm to
They were 32-26 in 2021 when they got in. 31-27 in 2022.

So 32 seems to be the magic #

No clue on RPI or other mitigating factors.

14 SEC wins seems to be the mark we need to hit, and I am counting wins in Hoover as the committee weighs those equal to reg. season conf. wins.
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51535 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

Not sure what you believe LSU's RPI is, but its 42 currently. They would not be in with RPI of 42 right now.


True but if we go 6-3 down the stretch and win a game or 2 in Hoover we should in the low 30s I reckon
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
30733 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

If we don’t get to 13 or 14 SEC wins?




Is it possible? Sure. Is it likely? No. Only a run in the SECT would make that happen, it would probably take 3 or 4 wins which would put us in semis or the championship.
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