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re: Far Fetched just win today but hypothetically.

Posted on 5/10/24 at 1:50 pm to
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28484 posts
Posted on 5/10/24 at 1:50 pm to
No, not far-fetched. Unlikely, but not out of the realm of possibility. Just look at 2023 Alabama for reference.

Like LSU, Alabama didn't do a lot until the last few weeks of the season. They couldn't win a series against any good SEC teams. Lost 2/3 to Florida, Kentucky, Arkansas. Swept by LSU.

Going into the final 3 weeks of the season Alabama was 30-15. Then they got hot (I guess that can happen when your HC stops betting on you to lose). They went 7-2 in their final 3 series: 2-1 v Vandy; 2-1 v. A&M; 3-0 v. Ole Miss, to finish 16-14 in SEC play. They ended up hosting a regional.

8 SEC teams hosted a regional last season. While there is no formal cap on the amount of teams from one conference that can host, I'd say the committee wouldn't go over 8 simply because they don't want more than 1/2 of the host sites being from one conference.

Right now A&M, Kentucky, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee all seem to be pretty strong bets to host. South Carolina and Mississippi State are probably close to that group as well. But if LSU were to finish 6-0 they would end the season with a record of 38-18 (15-15). To put that in context, Alabama went 38-17 (16-14) last year. A 6-0 finish would vault LSU above Florida and Ole Miss in the NCAAT pecking order (if they aren't there already) and would them in competition with Vanderbilt for a host spot. However, Vanderbilt 33-16 (11-13) finishes the season with Tennessee and Kentucky. A 6-0 finish for LSU would very likely put them above Vandy in the pecking order.

Now, given LSU has been blown out on most Sundays this season I would say 2 sweeps is HIGHLY unlikely. But if they somehow did it there would be an argument for LSU to host.
This post was edited on 5/10/24 at 1:57 pm
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17771 posts
Posted on 5/10/24 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Now, given LSU has been blown out on most Sundays this season I would say 2 sweeps is HIGHLY unlikely. But if they somehow did it there would be an argument for LSU to host.
yall really believe the margins are so tight in each game going forward that 5-1, 6-0 gets us a host?

•2-4 (11-19 SEC; 0% chance at postseason)
•3-3 (12-18 SEC; pretty unanimously agreed upon here on tRant this equals no postseason unless we win SECt)
•4-2 (13-17 SEC; pretty unanimously agreed upon here that LSU sneaks into a regional as a 3-seed in a regional. Historically only 38% of SEC teams have made a regional at 13-17)

But:
•5-1 or 6-0 then LSU is HOSTING a regional?
quote:

No, not far-fetched.

Idk seems pretty far fetched to me

LSU would have to win 9+ games imo between today and selection day to host a regional including SECt play but no reason to get your hopes up for something that won’t happen. LSU could advance through a regional and super without hosting.
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