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re: Pels want to move to top of draft, BI to be “aggressively” shopped per Stein

Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:27 pm to
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111148 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

We're a top 4-6 seed in the West when healthy, not a rebuilding team.
No we're not.

People do this thing you're doing where you predict where we'd be if we were 100% healthy and everyone else had their same injuries. That's useless.


We were one of the healthier teams in the West this season. Our top 6 or so dudes averaged over 70 games played.


If every team was perfectly healthy this season, we are a play in team at best. This team is nowhere near as good as you're insinuating.


Also, you're purposely miswording it as "rebuilding" when you 100% know that is not what it would be. It's a weak attempt on your part. If you were truly confident in your position, you wouldn't feel the need to misrepresent like you did here.
This post was edited on 5/12/24 at 9:28 pm
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9094 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

Only due to historic injury luck that's bordering on a curse. What will a draft pick in a very, very mid-draft do to change that? Again, the odds are that this pick will not come close to the player BI is.


Ok so now we’re cursed lol. Well I don’t know if theres a solution for that but there is a solution to making your team good enough to compete despite injuries.

A top 5 pick in any draft CAN make a difference- im not saying he will for sure but its also a big possibility he can. Odds are that player may be much cheaper and better fit than BI which make our team overall better. Its not about getting the better player- its about making your team better.

quote:

How does this increase the ceiling? That's the part you're stating without any backing. Again, the odds are that this pick will not come close to the player BI is.


That pick may hit and his ceiling may be higher than you think. Which is a possibility for a top 5 pick in any draft. You shed BI contract- freeing up money to maje your team better. And again its not about necessarily getting the better player but moving BI will make our team better. And you can add cheap players that make this team while having money to spend- thats how you increase the ceiling. Its not about getting the better player than BI- its about getting a better fit whos cheaper and makes our team overall better.

quote:

When the injury gods favor us, we clearly are not.


Every team has injuries- the truth is BI and Zion are injury prone players. You can survive having one star injury prone but not both. Thats honestly the big issue we depend too much on two guys that get injured.

quote:

Historically bad injury luck, bordering on a curse. The same issues this franchise has had since the CP3 era.


I can’t help you with curses. Maybs tell pels to hire a witch doctor.

quote:

Duren ain't good. The #5 pick isn't valuable.


Duren is an athletic 19 year old center who has shown flashes of being pretty good. Its something this team has been missing at the center position

Any #5 pick in a draft is valuable. So thats just false. There are different levels to that value according to the draft. But even in this draft there us value at 5. Ausar was picked last year at 5. High likelihood of Reed Sheppard and Topic being there at 5.


Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111148 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

Only due to historic injury luck that's bordering on a curse.
You keep repeating this false narrative.

Not only did we not have "historic" bad injury luck this season, we had positive injury luck given how healthy and how many games our top guys played.
quote:

When the injury gods favor us, we clearly are not.
They did this season overall, we still were a play in team.
quote:

Historically bad injury luck, bordering on a curse
Not this season.
Posted by Tigerfan14
Member since Jun 2014
868 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

2020 was considered a weak draft. Wound up having quite a lot of solid players and even budding superstars. You just never know. There’s intriguing prospects in this class. Just maybe not on the same level as classes like last year


I’m thinking the same thing, especially with bigs in this draft. At least one of filipowskj, Missi, Ware or Holmes will be good.

I can also see a few goods ones come from McCain, Shannon, Carter and Kolek
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423471 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

People do this thing you're doing where you predict where we'd be if we were 100% healthy and everyone else had their same injuries. That's useless.

We have data for when we're healthy.

A top-5 pick isn't likely to change anything unless they're a magician...or surgeon.

quote:

Also, you're purposely miswording it as "rebuilding" when you 100% know that is not what it would be.

I'm not the one talking about how trading for a draft pick unlikely to ever be as good as BI is "raising our ceiling", or how a draft pick in a mid draft is going to replace a top 40-50 player (especially, again, being unlikely to ever be that good).

Effectively, we'd be on the level of BI being injured for a minimum of 2 straight years and pretending we're a better team in that reality.

It's a panic move, plain and simple. Either Griff is trying to buy more time by manufacturing a rebuild, or he's miscalculated severely and lost major value (both in BI's value and deals we could have made at the deadline).

quote:

If you were truly confident in your position, you wouldn't feel the need to misrepresent like you did here.

Strawman has entered the chat, mixed with a dash of ad hom
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9094 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:35 pm to
quote:

I’m thinking the same thing, especially with bigs in this draft.


Its basically a role player draft which isn’t a bad thing especially for teams like us that need those specific guys for us to hit our ceiling. Theres also a strong possibility that couple of these role players become more and become a star- like you said happens in almost every draft.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111148 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

We have data for when we're healthy.
Like this season and being a play in team?
quote:

I'm not the one talking about how trading for a draft pick unlikely to ever be as good as BI is "raising our ceiling", or how a draft pick in a mid draft is going to replace a top 40-50 player (especially, again, being unlikely to ever be that good).

Cool. That has nothing to do with toy calling it a rebuild when you know it's not a rebuild.
quote:

Strawman has entered the chat, mixed with a dash of ad hom
Why did you call it a rebuild when you know it is factually not a rebuild? What would you call that, being intentionally wrong like you did?
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9094 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

Strawman has entered the chat, mixed with a dash of ad hom


You do this everytime in an argument when someone calls you out. They become the “strawman” lol. Its pretty predictable you do the same thing on the Saints board.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111148 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

You do this everytime in an argument when someone calls you out. They become the “strawman” lol. Its pretty predictable you do the same thing on the Saints board.
Plus he didn't even use it correctly

He was factually wrong calling it a rebuild. He can explain why he did that intentionally, would be interested to here. Anything else is him just playing dumb. He knows that.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423471 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Cool. That has nothing to do with toy calling it a rebuild when you know it's not a rebuild.

Trading a borderline all-star for a pick in a mid draft is rebuilding.

How else do you want to describe it? Trashing assets for no return anytime soon, with a hope for an outlier result years down the road?

quote:

Why did you call it a rebuild when you know it is factually not a rebuild? W

Again, how do you describe giving away assets for a team built to win now, for an outlier hope that they can produce something +EV years down the road?

We certainly aren't improving, and certainly not improving on our timeline.

So if we're not rebuilding then we are just intentionally getting worse. That's what happens when you rebuild and the young assets ultimately don't produce. The only time making yourself intentionally worse is OK is when you're....rebuilding (to get higher draft picks to hopefully improve talent).

So yeah, we may not be rebuilding. We may just be getting a lot worse, for...reasons.



Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423471 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

Plus he didn't even use it correctly

You are mis-stating my argument. Strawman.

You are doing it with personal attacks ( you wouldn't feel the need to misrepresent like you did here.) mixed in.

No. I used both correctly.
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9094 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:48 pm to
quote:

You are mis-stating my argument. Strawman.


This is comedy. Its like your go to for every argument. Come on man get over this strawman bullshite. Hes not misstating anything and you know it.

I honestly stopped reading when you wrote “we’re built to win now”- when you just stated we were a 4 or 5 seed when healthy- thats not built to win now lol what are you think we’re actually winning?
This post was edited on 5/12/24 at 9:50 pm
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111148 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Trading a borderline all-star for a pick in a mid draft is rebuilding.

quote:

So yeah, we may not be rebuilding. We may just be getting a lot worse, for...reasons.

Well, for starters over the past 164 gamed worth of a sample size, we have a higher win % when BI doesn't play. If BI is THAT good that we are a "lot worse" if we lose him, then I'd imagine you shouldn't even want to trade him.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111148 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:50 pm to
quote:

You are mis-stating my argument.
Yes or no, would trading BI be a rebuild?

Again, just a yes or no will suffice.


Your answer will determine if I mis stated your argument...
quote:

You are doing it with personal attacks
Woo boy, never realized you were THAT soft

Personal attacks!!!
This post was edited on 5/12/24 at 9:51 pm
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111148 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

I honestly stopped reading when you wrote “we’re built to win now”
That statement just woefully misses the mark.


This team isn't built to win anything as it stands.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423471 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

then I'd imagine you shouldn't even want to trade him.

No I'm down to trade him, for value. Not just light his asset value on fire.
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9094 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

That statement just woefully misses the mark. This team isn't built to win anything as it stands.


We were a number 4 seed for 2 days.

Offseason: We’re built to win now!!! Lol
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423471 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

Yes or no, would trading BI be a rebuild?

That depends on what we get back for BI.

quote:

Again, just a yes or no will suffice.

No. You're asking a framed question. It's dishonest.

If we traded BI for Jokic, would that be rebuilding? No. Therefore, you asked a bad question for a binary response, given the output of the trade is along a spectrum of results.

quote:

Woo boy, never realized you were THAT soft

I didn't say it affected me. You're tripling down on the reaching.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423471 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

when you just stated we were a 4 or 5 seed when healthy- thats not built to win now

The frick?

How is it not?

Are you arguing that only title contention is "built to win"? Because I have bad news for you. That's not going to ever happen in New Orleans. We will never spend what it takes to win a title, nor are we likely to ever have the opportunity to get players to come here to do so. Zion not coming close to his ceiling sealed that fate for this generation (3rd generational prospect in a row we've been dealt, mind you).
Posted by MrJimBeam
Member since Apr 2009
12377 posts
Posted on 5/12/24 at 9:58 pm to
After he got benched in a postseason game there’s no chance he comes back. I appreciate his efforts here over the years, but it seems best for both parties to move on at this juncture. We had one more trial run with him and Z and it just didn’t seem to work still.
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