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Started By
Message
re: Dr. Dan Erickson of Bakersfield, CA Has Tested 5K+ People For Covid 19
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:22 pm to WaWaWeeWa
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:22 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:5k is more people than some of the polls that get posted
These are the 2 guys that tested 5,000 people that came to their urgent cares and found 19% have COVID. They then used this number to say 19% of the entire country has COVID. Sorry, that’s not how it works. Those people came in because they were
2
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:23 pm to Old Character
quote:
Hospitals and state governments have a financial interest in inflating Covid numbers. This is fact.
Thats completely false.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:23 pm to tduecen
I'm not arguing to keep things locked down. I'm firmly in the open up camp
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:24 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
It’s that guy?
Yes. Urgent care owners. You know the type that do rigorous scientific studies
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:24 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
You would probably enjoy the LED.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:25 pm to tduecen
quote:
5k is more people than some of the polls that get posted
He’s not talking about antibody tests.
This is the nasal swab they have been doing for months and no 5k is nothing for the nasal swab active infection test.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:25 pm to Hulkklogan
quote:
My point is you could easily find many more doctors who disagree.
Could you?
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:25 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
These are the 2 guys that tested 5,000 people that came to their urgent cares and found 19% have COVID. They then used this number to say 19% of the entire country has COVID. Sorry, that’s not how it works. Those people came in because they were sick.
And we keep hearing that there are a ton of asymptomatic infections, which would make the death rate even lower, no?
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:27 pm to WildManGoose
quote:
Could you?
The one I’m sitting next to.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:28 pm to Hulkklogan
quote:
Again, numbers. Serious question, how many doctors have come out and said this is overblown and no worse than a flu season?
Again, bias. There have been at least 4 doctors posted on the OT this week that have come out and said similar things. The Stanford doctor with the Greek name has been saying it for weeks, literally. How many of these perspectives have you ever seen on one a national media platform?
quote:
My point is you could easily find many more doctors who disagree. What makes this guy's opinion better than the majority? Because you happen to share his viewpoint?
What makes the imperial college’s opinion that millions of people would die from this better than anyone else’s? That hasn’t stopped you from continuing to parrot those numbers in other threads on here.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:29 pm to WaWaWeeWa
His argument about the actual mortality based on extrapolating the percent positive rate across the entire US is one of the dumbest things I’ve ever heard.
I would take anything else this guy says with a huge grain of salt.
I would take anything else this guy says with a huge grain of salt.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:31 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:So we're sitting at 1:1.
The one I’m sitting next to.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:33 pm to WildManGoose
quote:
So we're sitting at 1:1.
Well, the one I’m sitting next to runs a hospital not an Urgent Care clinic.
Also, the other one here agrees.
I showed them the article where he argues that 12% of the US population have COVID and both laughed.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:34 pm to omarlittle
quote:
And we keep hearing that there are a ton of asymptomatic infections, which would make the death rate even lower, no?
Correct. Way lower than you currently see. Just not as low as the flu. Everyone needs to let that idea go, but they don’t because they think it’s some type of strong evidence that we need to open up. The strongest evidence for going back to work is that we need to prevent economic meltdown and a worse problem. That would be true even if the mortality rate was 2%.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:37 pm to WaWaWeeWa
In terms of good news, Dr. Hospital Administrator told me earlier that they are starting to think that the assay on the Abbott antibody tests is better than first thought.
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:40 pm to WaWaWeeWa
I had predicted a final CFR of 0.6%.
I will gladly eat crow of it comes in at 0.2-0.3%
I will gladly eat crow of it comes in at 0.2-0.3%
This post was edited on 4/25/20 at 5:24 pm
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:41 pm to Open Your Eyes
quote:
What makes the imperial college’s opinion that millions of people would die from this better than anyone else’s? That hasn’t stopped you from continuing to parrot those numbers in other threads on here.
1) they were agreed upon by the majority because it was the best science we had at the time. Well never know how wrong those worst-case models were.
2) I am not parroting those worst-case numbers. Those didn't come to fruition, thankfully, because we all locked down. I was making a point in another thread about why the lockdown was, in the moment, the soundest option.
This post was edited on 4/25/20 at 4:42 pm
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:42 pm to tduecen
Statistically speaking he’s right. You can’t extrapolate that data over the whole country because it’s not truly random.
The polls are shite too
The polls are shite too
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:43 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
Dr. Hospital Administrator told me earlier that they are starting to think that the assay on the Abbott antibody tests is better than first thought.
Has this test already been utilized? I thought it wasn’t out yet.
quote:
I had predicted a final CFR of 0.6%.
That’s where I have been for awhile
Posted on 4/25/20 at 4:44 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
Has this test already been utilized? I thought it wasn’t out yet.
They are using it in their system. Both doctors with me tested negative for COVID antibodies.
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