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re: Do people REALLY not understand why you go for two after the first TD when down 15?

Posted on 9/23/20 at 3:37 pm to
Posted by monkeybutt
Member since Oct 2015
4583 posts
Posted on 9/23/20 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

I would rather kick the XP and be down 8 (i.e. it's still a one-possession game despite what shel keeps arguing) than be down 9 with not enough time to get the ball back, score, get the ball back again, and score. If you go for the two first and don't get it, you've fricked yourself out of a chance to tie, whereas if you kick the XP early, it's still a one possession game and you can get the ball back with a chance to tie the game.



When you make this point you have to assume you miss the two point conversion after the second td to adequately compare the scenarios. I don't understand why this is so hard to understand.
Posted by CocomoLSU
Inside your dome.
Member since Feb 2004
150867 posts
Posted on 9/23/20 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

When you make this point you have to assume you miss the two point conversion after the second td to adequately compare the scenarios. I don't understand why this is so hard to understand.


That's not true at all though. You don't have to assume that at all. In either case if you miss the 2PC, then you lose IMO. So prolonging it prolongs the chance of tying (and possibly eventually winning) the game, which is why you should not go for it until you absolutely are forced to.

I guess it comes down to personal preference. But isn't "the chart" (that we always hear about from announcers) based on facts and statistics? And doesn't that chart always say to not go for two until you have to? I can't imagine that is just completely made up (but I honestly have no idea).


quote:

ETA: I wanted to add that I enjoy these arguments.

Agreed.
This post was edited on 9/23/20 at 3:51 pm
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