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1
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to UAinSOUTHAL
quote:
I think there is a good chance this could go from 2 to 4 at the next update. Satellite presentation is excellent and Dovork estimates have this as 119kts estimated. I’m about 10 minutes we will get some recon data. Pressure is still going down.
I agree with this. You can look at this storm and see it isn’t a 2. This thing is explosive
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to Nguyener
Looks like data is showing 10 second peak wind of approximately 125 mph right now on the plane as it’s still tracking towards the eye
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to lsugolfredman
That is ominous af, honestly
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
quote:
My cousin is in Venice, LA. He loves riding out the storms though.
Does he "live post" here?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to Duke
Recon found 108kt.
954 mb
954 mb
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 11:55 pm
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to lsugolfredman
slight shift east
I’m so fricking tired if this phrase
I’m so fricking tired if this phrase
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 11:54 pm
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to FunkyFreshFranklin
quote:
2 girls under 3yo. In metry. What
Leave. If it’s just you and wife and the girls pack a bag and get in your car and head north. Have your wife call for hotels as you drive.
Anyone who can leave, should. Those of us stuck here are hoping for the best and hopefully prepared for the worst
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to LSUJuice
Pressure gonna be 956 or 957 on the drop it looks like.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to Duke
quote:
It's that Cat 4 conditions existed in parts of Louisiana, but it wasn't a 4 when it actually came across land.
Oh, for sure.
quote:
You're right.
Oh, I'm sorry...can you say that again, but louder? lol
I'm gonna add this to my TD resume I posted last night.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:53 pm to fatboydave
He lives in Venice bro, he can’t afford internet.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:54 pm to lsugolfredman
But its only moving East by like 1/8th of an M
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:54 pm to saturday
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:54 pm to RummelTiger
I always knew you were a better forecaster than Duke. That just proves it.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:54 pm to fatboydave
Anyone have a key traffic cameras or other type fixed live cameras (a la old Cats Meow cam) on the coast that might be interesting to keep an eye on as Ida approaches land?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:54 pm to Message Board User
Very interesting. I wonder if a hurricane has ever shot the gap between New Orleans and Baton Rouge
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:54 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Well, that could be taken 2 ways. 1-they don’t think we will have any, or 2-guaranteed.
We are directly in the path sooooooo
They never are, for whatever reason. Buras, Morgan City, New Iberia, Lafayette, Lake Charles, Cameron, Alexandria, Fort Polk, and Shreveport make the cut though.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:54 pm to saturday
quote:
Can you drop a link to that?
I'm going to pimp it again because....well, I want to.
If you want to throw some money toward good people doing good work, consider getting a Patreon subscription to hurricanetrack.com
They have 10+ live cams around the coast watching this thing.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:55 pm to BigBro
Tomer Burg
@burgwx
Based on the first pass from the NW-SE through #Ida's center, recon found:
- 954.0 hPa extrapolated min MSLP (need to wait for dropsonde to confirm)
- 110 kt flight-level wind
- 94 kt SFMR estimated surface wind
What this tells us:
- The 94 kt SFMR wind was estimated in the SE quadrant, and the strongest wind is likely in the NE quadrant. Ida is likely a category 3 hurricane right now.
- The last dropsonde 4 hours ago estimated 967 mb MSLP, suggesting ~3.25mb/hr pressure falls.
@burgwx
Based on the first pass from the NW-SE through #Ida's center, recon found:
- 954.0 hPa extrapolated min MSLP (need to wait for dropsonde to confirm)
- 110 kt flight-level wind
- 94 kt SFMR estimated surface wind
What this tells us:
- The 94 kt SFMR wind was estimated in the SE quadrant, and the strongest wind is likely in the NE quadrant. Ida is likely a category 3 hurricane right now.
- The last dropsonde 4 hours ago estimated 967 mb MSLP, suggesting ~3.25mb/hr pressure falls.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 11:55 pm to LegendInMyMind
Aircraft getting 105 knots at flight level. What does that translate to in mph @ surface?
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