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Message
How’s next week looking in your view
Posted on 4/11/25 at 7:10 pm
Posted on 4/11/25 at 7:10 pm
Feel like we may see another pullback on Monday (profit taking off of today’s rally)
17
Posted on 4/11/25 at 7:46 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Rollercoaster for awhile
Posted on 4/11/25 at 8:18 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Ups and downs with the S&P at about 5500 end of week.
I base that off nothing of substance.
I base that off nothing of substance.
Posted on 4/11/25 at 8:27 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
No clue. Doing my best to free up more cash just in case.
Posted on 4/11/25 at 8:53 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Whatever was up today will go down Monday
Whatever was down today will go up Monday
Whatever was up Monday will go down Tuesday
Whatever was down Monday will go up Tuesday
Whatever was up Tuesday will go down Wednesday
Whatever was down Tuesday will go up Wednesday
Whatever was up Wednesday will go down Thursday
Whatever was down Wednesday will go up Thursday
Whatever was up Thursday will go down Friday
Whatever was down Thursday will go up Friday
Whatever was down today will go up Monday
Whatever was up Monday will go down Tuesday
Whatever was down Monday will go up Tuesday
Whatever was up Tuesday will go down Wednesday
Whatever was down Tuesday will go up Wednesday
Whatever was up Wednesday will go down Thursday
Whatever was down Wednesday will go up Thursday
Whatever was up Thursday will go down Friday
Whatever was down Thursday will go up Friday
Posted on 4/11/25 at 9:10 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Depends on if we get some positive {or negative} tariff news.
Posted on 4/11/25 at 9:37 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Hopefully down so I can put the rest of my cash to work.
Posted on 4/11/25 at 10:18 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
I just can't see many positive outcomes here - outside of the scenario where Trump takes some tiny win and then all of this is over. If the supposedly stated goal is true - i.e. bring the rest of the world into our orbit and then REALLY have an embargo against China, I don't think we have the staying power to win it (to be clear, we have the stronger hand, I just don't see any politician, even Trump, having the stomach for that). But for whatever duration we at least attempt it, things could get bad.
Posted on 4/11/25 at 10:48 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
We are slowly working our way back up. But, keep your eye on the 10 year Tbills. The move from 4 to 4.5 this week freaked a lot people out . Including me. It should be going down in times like this but it went up. Anything over 5 will trigger another leg down and a big one. Hitting 5 will be spooky as hell. My guess for next week is it comes down and the market goes up. But, I'll be nervous about it all week.
Posted on 4/11/25 at 10:50 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Think we keep heading down as Bond sell off continues. At least that will quiet tariff talks though.
However I think this will continue the trend of banks tightening up lending
However I think this will continue the trend of banks tightening up lending
This post was edited on 4/11/25 at 10:51 pm
Posted on 4/12/25 at 3:16 am to bama1959
I think / hope Trump’s hands are totally tied on the tariffs until they figure out how they are going to deal with the 10 year. I also cannot come up with a solution to that that problem so I’ve got zero clue how the administration is going to play their hand.
This post was edited on 4/12/25 at 3:28 am
Posted on 4/12/25 at 5:25 am to IMSA_Fan
The President can't do much about it but Powell can. The Fed could start buying the 10 year. It's called quantitative easing or QE. The Fed will jump in before it causes a recession. Or should anyway.
Posted on 4/12/25 at 5:47 am to bama1959
That option will cause a ton of inflation though which I’m not sure Powell has the stomach for. I’m guessing he would prefer to use his leverage to get the President to back down vs expanding the money supply by trillions of dollars
This post was edited on 4/12/25 at 5:50 am
Posted on 4/12/25 at 6:48 am to bama1959
quote:
The Fed could start buying the 10 year. It's called quantitative easing or QE. The Fed will jump in before it causes a recession. Or should anyway.
I don't see this happening yet. There's still pain to be had in the market first. A drop to 490 and right back up isn't near enough to drive QE. The 10-year is a warning, and likely going to invert soon.
That said, volume in the market has dropped off again and we'll probably chop around here until June barring any news/tweets.
Posted on 4/12/25 at 7:35 am to ApexHunterNetcode
This is the correct take, but the problem is there WILL be tweets/news. That’s just the era we’re in right now.
Posted on 4/12/25 at 3:38 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Crypto is up strong since the close of the markets on Friday. That usually is an indication of a strong stock market open on Monday. It needs to continue into the futures open 5pm CST on Sunday evening but it's looking really good so far.
Posted on 4/12/25 at 3:47 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
You may see 45,000 if we can get several major countries in the bucket.
This will be months of yo-yos...we will win int he long run, IMO.
This will be months of yo-yos...we will win int he long run, IMO.
Posted on 4/12/25 at 4:08 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:With Trump canceling the tariffs on chips bought from China, it might mean China will reciprocate on chips it buys from the U.S.
How’s next week looking in your view
If so, Nvidia and Intel might see a bump in their shares.
Posted on 4/12/25 at 4:52 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Ceteris paribus, I think it depends on any new tariff developments.
Posted on 4/12/25 at 4:57 pm to oldskule
quote:
This will be months of yo-yos.
I hope. I love volatility when I have cash to take advantage of it, I just need another month or so and I'll be flush again.
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