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re: The social security tax cap is going to be lifted before 2033.

Posted on 4/19/25 at 12:19 pm to
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
71312 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 12:19 pm to
Lifting the cap would raise taxes on:

1) approx 15% of Californians
2) approx 11% of Georgians
3) approx 11% of Texans
4) approx 18% of New England wage earners

That’s a lot of people.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
29405 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 12:21 pm to
And it wouldn’t be progressive. It’s just a 13% flat increase on those earners for all income over the current limit
This post was edited on 4/19/25 at 12:22 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
71312 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 12:39 pm to
The alternative is hordes of retired boomers flooding to the polls to protest the 17% benefit cuts that would happen in 2033.

It’s such an awful situation all around. I am dreading the 2030s for this reason.
Posted by PlanoPrivateer
Frisco, TX
Member since Jan 2004
2879 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 1:30 pm to
It is natural for all of us to think about our individual situations. I'd like to think about a small to moderate size company that has a significant percentage of high wage earners. That company's tax burden might become onerous very quickly.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36651 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 1:55 pm to

quote:

The social security tax cap is going to be lifted before 2033


Seems like I need to retire within 8 years. That's a major tax hike.

FWIW they would get massively closer to making social security solvent if they stopped raiding it to fund disability. Funding disability was never an intended use of social security. It wasn't in legislation, that was just a judge's ruling that hasn't been overturned
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
37462 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

all wages above 168k will face the 12.4% tax increase


Won't the employer continue to carry half of that tax burden (6.2%)?
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
71312 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 4:48 pm to
Technically, but economic research indicates that the incidence of the employer portion falls on the employee in the form of reduced wages.

It’s not unlike how technically, tariffs are paid by us companies, but in reality consumers pay it via higher prices
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
37462 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 6:52 pm to
As someone who was an employer for 25 years I disagree.
Posted by Zachary
Member since Jan 2007
1757 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 7:58 pm to
... or we could just take the billions being run through USAID to fund leftist NGO's and CIA color revolutions in other countries, and give it back to the American people whence it came.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39068 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

Then every one of them will get thrown out on their ear ... deservedly. Plus I'm not sure such stupidity could withstand the inherent legal challenges.


So what’s your solution?
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36651 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 11:09 pm to
quote:


So what’s your solution?


1 Eliminate disability funding
2 Allow DOGE (or an equivalent auditor) to root through the organization and eliminate more fraud and waste
3. If those aren't enough only then adjust upwards the age at which benefits can be collected to match the SS revenues collected

There's just not room in the budget for additional deficit spending. Annual payments on interest exceed military spending. 37 Trillion is a civilization destroying number.

If you don't restrict spending now there will be a lowered QOL and standard of living for 99% of the population
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
81945 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 11:11 pm to
quote:

As someone who was an employer for 25 years I disagree.


agreed. nice to get the tax break on the back end but we have to pay it up front via payroll tax.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
51379 posts
Posted on 4/20/25 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

or at least be able to have an easy job working at a gun store.

I kind of think I'd enjoy that too if I'm able to retire early. Maybe work part time to give me something to do.
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2605 posts
Posted on 4/20/25 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

Funding disability was never an intended use of social security. It wasn't in legislation, that was just a judge's ruling that hasn't been overturned

What case are you referring to? I've never heard this before so looked it up and read SS disability was inacted with the Social Security Amendments of 1956 signed into law by Eisenhower.
According to this SSA.article about the disability program history, it was left out of the original law but was a topic of debate during development and early years of SS. Social Security and the "D" in OASDI: The History of a Federal Program Insuring Earners Against Disability
This post was edited on 4/20/25 at 1:08 pm
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
130706 posts
Posted on 4/20/25 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

So what’s your solution?
My solution? My solution would be to privatize the thing, with an opt out given demonstrated competency.

But that's neither here nor there, because at our debt levels, the government desperately needs the guaranteed lending pool SS provides. So SS won't be privatized. It will be grown, likely with an increase in payroll tax contribution from 12.4% to about 15%. That's obviously not my solution, but it's what will happen.
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2605 posts
Posted on 4/20/25 at 1:42 pm to

"I can't let the man continue with fuzzy math!"
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
51379 posts
Posted on 4/20/25 at 1:42 pm to
I think they'll raise the income limit first. "Sticking it to the rich" is much more politically popular than a tax increase on the middle class. It won't be enough to fix it though.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
130706 posts
Posted on 4/20/25 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

I think they'll raise the income limit first. "Sticking it to the rich" is much more politically popular than a tax increase on the middle class.
Then they'd either have to commit to far larger payouts (> pay-in = > payout) or completely disjoin those select accounts from their inherent Debt Obligations, which creates a 14th Amendment problem.
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2605 posts
Posted on 4/20/25 at 5:33 pm to
SS already gives diminishing returns as earnings/contributions increase. They could just extend the 15% bend point or add another even lower percentage one. I doubt it's a constitutional hurdle.

Average Indexed Monthly Earnings (AIME):
Your AIME is the average of your highest 35 years of earnings, adjusted for inflation.
90% of the first $1,226 of AIME is calculated.
32% of the AIME between $1,226 and $7,391 is calculated.
15% of the AIME above $7,391 is calculated.

This chart is a few years old but same concept


Posted by theronswanson
House built with my hands
Member since Feb 2012
3080 posts
Posted on 4/21/25 at 10:22 am to
quote:

Congress will have to grow a set and raise the retirement age and probably means test.


So I would have to pay the max every year and once I retire I would make too much money to draw from it? That’s literally theft and is complete bullshite.
This post was edited on 4/21/25 at 10:27 am
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