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NBA teams run over 200 more miles during a season than they did during the '80s and '90s
Posted on 11/19/24 at 8:55 am
Posted on 11/19/24 at 8:55 am
quote:
Thanks to NBA tracking data, we now know how many miles an NBA team covers in a given season dating back to the 2013-14 season. Fundamentally, this is a very good measure of league-wide physical load. Over the past ten seasons, teams have gone from covering, on average, 1,384.1 miles per 82 games to 1,492.3, and as of a few days ago, the league average was on pace to hit 1,528. However, this leaves us with a predicament. Yes, players are covering more ground, but load management has been around longer than the tracking data. Thankfully, I found two bellwether statistics that will allow us to take a glimpse into the past and how much has changed over the past 45 years.
According to the linear forecast, it’s estimated that teams on average covered 1,282.5 miles in the 1979-80 season and that figure would hold steady for the next 15 seasons. In fact, the slight blip in the mid-90s coincides with the relative explosion in 3-pointers due to moving the 3-point line in. If we take those figures with a grain of salt, it isn’t until the mid-2000s that we’re consistently above 1,300 miles, and following the 2012-13 season, we see a massive explosion in distance traveled as pace and 3PAr spike. It took 34 years, from 1979-80 to 2013-14, for the league average distance traveled to grow 100 miles, but it only took five seasons to grow its next 100 miles. The load on players is coming fast and furious, and star players are bearing the brunt.
Energy expenditure, much like shots and playing time, aren’t distributed evenly. The best players are asked to expend more energy and thus the 200 additional miles needed to traverse an NBA season are being disproportionally shouldered by the game’s best. The implementation of the NBA’s player participation policy is fundamentally dangerous legislation that will have the exact opposite effect as intended. It’s far better for a player to take the night off than it is for them to suffer an injury.
LINK
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Posted on 11/19/24 at 8:56 am to Bench McElroy
Let's see if SFP and Madking can make a 20 page thread out of this.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:01 am to Bunk Moreland
Inject it in my veins
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:05 am to Bunk Moreland
Boom's debate in that Harden thread yesterday got me all nostalgic for 2017.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:33 am to mattz1122
What's amazing is that guys are not losing muscle mass over the grind of the season. A lot more guys stay bulked up these days, including a 39 year old.
EPO for endurance plus testosterone enhances red blood cell production as well.
EPO for endurance plus testosterone enhances red blood cell production as well.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:34 am to Bunk Moreland
quote:
Let's see if SFP and Madking can make a 20 page thread out of this.
Naw. It shows what I argue (a lot more movement and less stagnant play).
He'll just call me dishonest and say I don't understand the data, because he can't respond logically, and we can leave it at that.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:37 am to Bench McElroy
So another excuse to justify stars sitting 20+ games year while fans pay 100 bucks a ticket to watch them sit on the bench in street clothes.
Hard times create great men. Great men create good times. Good times create weak men. Weak men create hard times.
We live in hard times because our parents and grandparents created a society of weak men. Weak men that get paid 50 mil a year to miss work a quarter of the time. If the hard men did that they'd be fired not coddled and excused for missing work.
End of the day, it's a game children play all day long during the summer, get up the next day and do it again without complaining once. But grown men in peak physical condition with all the advantages of modern training and medicine can't do it 3-4 times a week. Soft.
Hard times create great men. Great men create good times. Good times create weak men. Weak men create hard times.
We live in hard times because our parents and grandparents created a society of weak men. Weak men that get paid 50 mil a year to miss work a quarter of the time. If the hard men did that they'd be fired not coddled and excused for missing work.
End of the day, it's a game children play all day long during the summer, get up the next day and do it again without complaining once. But grown men in peak physical condition with all the advantages of modern training and medicine can't do it 3-4 times a week. Soft.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:41 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
He'll just call me dishonest and say I don't understand the data, because he can't respond logically, and we can leave it at that.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:42 am to Bench McElroy
I've seen this before. It definitely puts into context why load management is much more of a thing now.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:14 am to Bench McElroy
Impressive that Zion stays fat.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:17 am to Bench McElroy
No longer feed the big man in the post
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:19 am to lsufanva
quote:
But grown men in peak physical condition with all the advantages of modern training and medicine can't do it 3-4 times a week.
Why are we blaming the players when it’s the teams and coaches that want them to load manage? The players want to play all 82 but it’s just not smart. It never was.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:21 am to Bench McElroy
the NBA intentionally changed things to amp up scoring and punish playing defense by altering the way fouls are called. their bet was that higher scoring was supposed to be more exciting and thus more viewership. that decision was really the start of the sport's decline as the complete opposite has happened. its not exciting seeing teams race up the court back and forth with nobody guarding and jacking up 3s all night. post play is dead. mid range is dead.
Adam Silver destroyed the NBA
Adam Silver destroyed the NBA
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:25 am to chalmetteowl
quote:
The players want to play all 82 but it’s just not smart.
This is probably not universally true. While there are no doubt a big chunk of them still fighting to stay in the league and earn that next contract and maxing out incentives, there are also a bunch of superstars with guaranteed contracts worth tens of millions that don't give a shite about playing a random Tuesday road game against a shite team.
NBA's problem is that the fans want to see the guys from the latter group.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:50 am to Bench McElroy
Is that why they are too tired to defend in games?
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:52 am to Bench McElroy
NBA players are the best-conditioned athletes on the planet.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:54 am to Bench McElroy
I predict anger and people arguing til they are blue in the face directly against the actual data 
Posted on 11/19/24 at 10:56 am to SteelerBravesDawg
quote:
NBA players are the best-conditioned athletes on the plane
Posted on 11/19/24 at 11:10 am to LasVegasTiger
quote:
Impressive that Zion stays fat.
He would have to suit up to run.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 11:21 am to lsupride87
quote:
lsupride87
You laugh, but find me a collective group of athletes in better shape.
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