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1
Posted on 8/1/24 at 4:48 pm to PP7 for heisman
quote:
He'll finish with 500+ HR and every 500+ guy (outside of steroid guys) are in.
That's not a given. Some guys fall off a cliff in their 30s, some age like fine wine and others are somewhere in between. We don't know where Judge will land on that spectrum but given his body type and injury history I wouldn't assume he hits any major counting milestones.
As far as that Yankee mystique is concerned, a lot of that has been based on postseason success. The Yankees won 26 World Series in 75 years and their star players shone brightest on the biggest stage. Judge has never played in a World Series and he's batting .198 (.718 OPS) in the ALDS and .200 (.703 OPS) in the ALCS.
He does have that "most feared hitter of his era" mojo going on though and that will definitely propel his resume.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 4:50 pm to TheOcean
quote:Ah yes, baseball, the sport where an outfielder can win you a world series on his own.
He hasn't won shite in nine years. Nope
In his 14 year career, Mike Trout 1-12 in 3 playoff games (all loses) and he will be a first ballot HOF.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 4:50 pm to Dairy Sanders
If he doesn’t get hurt he will get to 500 easily lol
If he wins a 2nd MVP he will be a HOF lock
If he wins a 2nd MVP he will be a HOF lock
Posted on 8/1/24 at 4:57 pm to AUFANATL
quote:I know, it just seems like he's a late bloomer who will last longer than guys like Stanton. He could absolutely fall of a cliff, like Stanton. I just don't see it happening given his approach at the plate.
That's not a given. Some guys fall off a cliff in their 30s, some age like fine wine and others are somewhere in between.
quote:Eh he's averaging 136 games per season not counting COVID or his rookie year.
given his body type and injury history I wouldn't assume he hits any major counting milestones.
Of his serious injuries, only one is actually concerning.
2018 - Broken wrist after HBP
2019 - strained oblique (concern)
2020 - calf strain (I kind of throw 2020 out for all sports. Hold that against me if you choose).
2023 - torn toe ligament after running into a wall
quote:With this I'm talking strictly all-star appearances. I think he gets a push there.
As far as that Yankee mystique is concerned, a lot of that has been based on postseason success
Posted on 8/1/24 at 4:58 pm to Falco
does nobody get the arson judge reference?
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:01 pm to Falco
quote:
Arson Judge
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:10 pm to dukke v
Well Trout has been better over his career but the last 8 season Judge has been better.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:12 pm to texastiger15
This is Tigerdroppings so no
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:26 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
If he doesn’t get hurt he will get to 500 easily lol
If he wins a 2nd MVP he will be a HOF lock
At the same age, Dale Murphy had 1700 Hits, 335 HRs, 1100 RBI, 150 SB, 2 MVPs, 5 GGs in CF, 8 All Star games and a glowing reputation as the "nicest guy in baseball" and he didn't sniff the HOF.
I think Judge will mash his way in, but it's not a given.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:33 pm to AUFANATL
Murphy had played in 732 more games through his age 32 season (came up at 20) & Judge still is +4 WAR on him 
Judge is a wayyyy better player than Murphy was considering the gap in games played
Judge is a wayyyy better player than Murphy was considering the gap in games played
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:34 pm to Falco
You’re counting on him staying healthy and he wasn’t able to do that in his 20s and early 30s so I doubt he will do so as he moves into his mid and late 30s.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:37 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
he doesn’t get hurt he will get to 500 easily lol
That’s not an if. It’s a when, how often and how severe. Like I said there is a scenario where he plays until he’s 40-42 with 3-5 part time seasons in there just so the Yankees can sell that 500 club merch, but most voters will hopefully see through the bulls hit and keep him out.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:43 pm to Falco
Dude is pretty fire.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:48 pm to Falco
Guy is a loser though
Posted on 8/1/24 at 5:53 pm to Falco
No
Posted on 8/1/24 at 7:39 pm to Falco
Most players who have 50+ career WAR (per Baseball Reference) are in the Hall of Fame. Judge will almost certainly hit that number this season.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 9:43 pm to Falco
quote:
Currently 9 seasons into his career and age 32
quote:
1157 strikeouts
Yikes. Not with those numbers.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 10:10 pm to Falco
no... good player when at his peak and healthy, but not HOF good
Posted on 8/1/24 at 10:43 pm to AUFANATL
Judge will get in even if he stopped playing with Murphy type numbers. One word… Yankees.
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