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Since 2021, QBs picked outside the top 12 have been a disaster
Posted on 4/23/25 at 9:39 am
Posted on 4/23/25 at 9:39 am
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
The FrugalDegenerate
@PhoChay_Maniac
·
19h
Your point on QBs drafted outside the top-12 is spot on! From 2000-2020, 66 QBs in rounds 1-3 (picks 13+) had an 81.8% bust rate. Only 10.6% (Cousins, Hurts, etc.) became reliable starters. The trend holds—teams are rolling the dice with these picks! #NFLDraft
7
Posted on 4/23/25 at 9:39 am to Fun Bunch
makes it more compelling to nab our guy at 9
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:49 am to Fun Bunch
That's only a 4 year window. That's not enough data to make this a telling stat
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:50 am to Midget Death Squad
Look at the tweet I posted below.
20 years of data
20 years of data
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:50 am to Fun Bunch
I hate dumb cherry picked stats and stuff like this. Why pick 12? Why recent history?
You’ve got Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, Jalen Hurts and Brock Purdy who were after pick 12.
What about Bryce Young, Anthony Richardson, Trey Lance, Zach Wilson, Caleb Williams, Daniel Jones and Josh Rosen who were in the top 12 but sucked?
You’ve got Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, Jalen Hurts and Brock Purdy who were after pick 12.
What about Bryce Young, Anthony Richardson, Trey Lance, Zach Wilson, Caleb Williams, Daniel Jones and Josh Rosen who were in the top 12 but sucked?
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:51 am to Fun Bunch
What's the bust rate of qbs regardless of draft spot? I would think it's 50/50 on top 10... maybe worse
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:57 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
Look at the tweet I posted below.
20 years of data
Didn't see that. That's definitely more telling.
Posted on 4/23/25 at 11:26 am to Fun Bunch
Exceptions to every rule but wasn’t Purdy Mr. Irrelevant in 2022?
This post was edited on 4/23/25 at 11:27 am
Posted on 4/23/25 at 11:28 am to Fun Bunch
What are the stats for 1-12? What determines if a player is a bust?
Applying statistical data to an undefined metric is kind of nonsense.
Applying statistical data to an undefined metric is kind of nonsense.
Posted on 4/23/25 at 12:25 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Only 10.6% (Cousins, Hurts, etc.) became reliable starters. The trend holds—teams are rolling the dice with these picks! #NFLDraft
Cousins was a 5h round pick, Hurts was a 2nd several QBs since 2000 picked after 12 have been good/great. There is no magic formula it’s always a risk.
Posted on 4/23/25 at 2:36 pm to Fun Bunch
Yo dat boi Davis Mills tho!
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