re: Important Series + RPI Tracker 5/16-5/20

Posted by DunbartonLATiger

Member since Apr 2024

353 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 8:15 am to lsurulz1515

quote:
LSU up to #33

Was hoping for a couple more spots...so looks like a sweep will likely get us to around 28 or 29. I do believe some things are happening. Florida could be eliminated based upon record with another loss or two...and OM would have a losing record should LSU sweep. They each would need to win in Hoover. Although it won't matter with OM they would only have 11 SEC wins.

This post was edited on 5/17/24 at 8:19 am

Posted by tarzana

TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater

Member since Sep 2015

26398 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 8:22 am to Traceg03

So Ole Miss went down 1 point and LSU went up 3 after last night's game. Good job Tigers. Are we really playing tonight at 6:30 pm

1 ...

Posted by lsurulz1515

Member since Mar 2007

5956 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 8:30 am to tarzana

Game moved to noon today

Posted by Traceg03

Member since Jun 2018

808 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 8:38 am to lsurulz1515

Yeah, I’ll be late with updating today I have work till 3:30, sadly this will be the first game I miss watching live all year I hope the tigers get it done. (I’ll watch the first hour or so during my lunch break so hopefully it wont be stressful by the time I have to go back in). I wouldn’t mind a 6-0 lead heading back into my shift.

Worth noting the Florida / Georgia game is also moved up to noon although idk what the weather looks like in Georgia right now and if they will actually start at noon.

This post was edited on 5/17/24 at 8:42 am

Posted by tarzana

TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater

Member since Sep 2015

26398 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 10:11 am to lsurulz1515

quote:
Game moved to noon

Probably a wise decision. I just hope and pray y'all in Louisiana don't have to experience anything comparable to the night of terror we just endured in the Houston area.

Posted by timlan2057

In the Shadow of Tiger Stadium

Member since Sep 2005

17027 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 11:01 am to JPLSU1981

We lose a game against Ole Miss and end up 12-18, I think we are a lock to be left out, unless of course we win Hoover.

Sweep and end up 13-17, I think we end up on the good side of that 38 percent chance. Somebody has got to say “They’re the defending national champs. We have to sneak them in.”

Still, even at 13-17, I think we need to approach Hoover with the mindset that we need to win at least a couple.

This post was edited on 5/17/24 at 11:02 am

Posted by Yeti_Chaser

Member since Nov 2017

7658 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 11:16 am to timlan2057

In 2011 we missed the postseason with 13 SEC wins and an RPI of around 27 IIRC. Granted we were robbed then, but I think it'll be tough for us to get our RPI that high without a sweep and at least 1 win in Hoover

Posted by lsurulz1515

Member since Mar 2007

5956 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 3:28 pm to Traceg03

Think this guy couldn't update because of work, so here's an update:

As of 3:25pm Fri
SEC Series

Ole Miss (RPI #24) @ LSU (RPI #35)

Game 1 Thursday Ole Miss 1-5 LSU FINAL
Game 2 Friday Ole Miss 2-4 LSU FINAL
Game 3 Saturday 1:00

Florida (RPI #30) 26-25 @ Georgia

Game 1 Thursday Florida 4-9 Georgia FINAL
Game 2 Friday Florida 7-4 Georgia FINAL
Game 3 Saturday 1:00

Vanderbilt (RPI #28) @ Kentucky

Game 1 Thursday Vanderbilt 5 - 10 Kentucky FINAL
Game 2 Friday 5:30
Game 3 Saturday 11:00 am

Other RPI Teams nearby

Louisiana Tech (RPI #34) @Liberty (RPI #115)

Game 1 Thursday Tech 4-3 Liberty FINAL
Game 2 Friday Tech 12-8 Liberty FINAL
Game 3 Friday 2:00

Penn State (RPI #145) @ Maryland (RPI #33)

Game 1 Thursday Penn State 8-4 Maryland FINAL
Game 2 Friday 5:00
Game 3 Saturday 1:00

Stony Brook (RPI #155) @ Northeastern (RPI #32)

Game 1 Friday Stony Brook 4-6 Northeastern FINAL
Game 2 Friday TBD
Game 3 Saturday 12:00

(We played Stony Brook so would be helpful if they won for 2 reasons.)

Nebraska (RPI #31) @ Michigan State (RPI #106)

Game 1 Thursday Nebraska 2- 1 MSU FINAL
Game 2 Friday 4:00
Game 3 Saturday 11:00

Texas State (RPI # 113) @ Southern Miss (RPI #29)

Game 1 Thursday Texas St 7-5 Southern Miss FINAL
Game 2 Friday 6:00
Game 3 Saturday 1:00

(We played Texas State in Minute Maid)

Oregon State (RPI #14) @ Arizona (RPI #27)

Game 1 Thursday Arizona 2-10 Oregon St FINAL
Game 2 Friday 8:00
Game 3 Saturday 8:00

Villanova (RPI #231) @ Xavier (RPI #26)

Game 1 Thursday Villanova 8-5 Xavier FINAL
Game 2 Friday Villanova 8-6 Xavier FINAL
Game 3 Saturday 10:00

This post was edited on 5/17/24 at 3:41 pm

Posted by DunbartonLATiger

Member since Apr 2024

353 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 3:34 pm to timlan2057

quote:
Still, even at 13-17, I think we need to approach Hoover with the mindset that we need to win at least a couple.

I don't know how you leave them out. That's where that 30% plus comes in, teams like LSU that got hot down the stretch. LSU wins tomorrow, they will be 10-5 the second half of the SEC Season....compared to 3-12 first half. They have won 4 of last 5 series, will have an rpi in the 20's, and yes, defending champs. Outside of a routine f up against Alabama, they would have won 5 straight series.....yeah, they will be in.

Posted by nicholastiger

Member since Jan 2004

43266 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 3:41 pm to Traceg03

I think SEC gets ten

SEC locks
UK
Tenn
Ark
UGA
A&M
MSU

Remaining Teams:
USC 13 sec wins 22 rpi
Vandy 12 sec wins 30rpi
Fla 12 sec wins 32 rpi before beating UGA which is a huge win
Bama 12 sec wins 14 rpi (last Fri kills us)
LSU 12 sec wins 33 rpi

Will come down to Vandy Fla Bama and LSU for that final spot

Posted by Honkus

Member since Aug 2005

51763 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 3:44 pm to nicholastiger

UGA bullpen really screwed us today. Beat the gators tomorrow and really put the pressure on UF in Hoover. They would need 2 wins to stay over .500

I feel like if UF is OUT we might already be in. With a sweep tomorrow we are almost a lock. Look at the other bubble teams.

Assuming not a lot of bid stealers.

This post was edited on 5/17/24 at 3:46 pm

Posted by Returnofzeus

Member since Feb 2022

416 posts

Posted on 5/17/24 at 3:54 pm to nicholastiger

This is wrong on a lot of levels but appreciate the effort
Lets let it play out tomorrow and revisit
Geaux tigers