re: Zeta - The cleanup begins

Posted by Cosmo

glassman's guest house

Member since Oct 2003

120605 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:56 pm to arseinclarse

You good on Beam supply baw?

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

141478 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:56 pm to Nado Jenkins83

SFMR with unflagged readings near 90 its (103 mph)

flight level readings putting up some pink wind barbs which starts at 96 kts (110 mph)

Posted by 50_Tiger

Dallas TX

Member since Jan 2016

40304 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:56 pm to Cosmo

Destroya might get her money afterall

Posted by arseinclarse

Algiers Purnt

Member since Apr 2007

34505 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:57 pm to Cosmo

Here’s another classic. The framing crew just said “frick it” around 11. Looks sturdy enough to me.

Posted by LegendInMyMind

Member since Apr 2019

55215 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:57 pm to Duke

quote:
With that and the surface estimate, I'd call it 95 kt. Just a hair short of Cat 3 but there's data in that pass to justify 115 mph.

quote:
a hair short of Cat 3

The fact that we can even say this is just wild.

Posted by lsuman25

Erwinville

Member since Aug 2013

41560 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:57 pm to 50_Tiger

...ZETA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...EYEWALL EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN AN HOUR OR TWO...

2:00 PM CDT Wed Oct 28
Location: 28.3°N 90.9°W
Moving: NNE at 21 mph
Min pressure: 973 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph

Posted by geauxtigers87

Louisiana

Member since Mar 2011

25271 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:57 pm to lsuman25

What the frick

Posted by 50_Tiger

Dallas TX

Member since Jan 2016

40304 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:58 pm to lsuman25

NWS trying to not scare folks. I understand

Posted by deltaland

Member since Mar 2011

91107 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:58 pm to Bobby OG Johnson

This type of shite isn’t supposed to happen in late October damn it

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

141478 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:59 pm to lsuman25

cat 2 hurricane

quote:
129
WTNT63 KNHC 281856
TCUAT3

Hurricane Zeta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020
200 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020

...ZETA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...EYEWALL EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN AN HOUR OR TWO...

Recent data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that Zeta's maximum winds have increased to 105 mph (165
km), with higher gusts, and the central pressure has fallen to 973
mb. It now appears likely that Zeta will maintain category 2
intensity on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale until its
initial landfall in southeast Louisiana later this afternoon.

Sustained tropical storm force winds are now spreading onshore the
southeastern coast of Louisiana. A sustained wind of 45 mph (72
km/h) was recently reported at Caillou Bay, Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF 200 PM CDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 90.9W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SW OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Berg

Posted by iliveinabox

in a box

Member since Aug 2011

24115 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:59 pm to arseinclarse

line at rouses couple hrs ago

Posted by jcaz

Laffy

Member since Aug 2014

15821 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:59 pm to Duke

When people start to doubt... these things always bite us in the arse. NOLA is not prepared for this contrary to what Destroya might say. So many people expected a tropical storm with little rain and now a borderline CAT 3 is pulling up in a few hours.

Posted by geauxtigers87

Louisiana

Member since Mar 2011

25271 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 1:59 pm to deltaland

Look at that thing on the last frame. frick

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

141478 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:00 pm to NorthEndZone

that 1... magenta?... wind barb that would mean 113 kts (130 mph) at flight level

Posted by LaBR4

Baton Rouge

Member since Sep 2005

51251 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:00 pm to jcaz

quote:
people expected a tropical storm with little rain and now a borderline CAT 3 is pulling up in a few hours.

I blame Marco

Posted by rds dc

Member since Jun 2008

19837 posts

Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:00 pm to rds dc

NHC with a bump to 105 mph. Zeta found the sweet spot in the jet that was favorable for strengthening. Models showed this possibility on and off, this is really threading the needle.