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Message

re: Social Security could end in 2035

Posted on 5/7/24 at 8:52 pm to
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57393 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 8:52 pm to
I
quote:

have the sensible solution.....the federal thieves can cut me and sweetie a check for $1.5-2 million and we're even.
they don’t have “ your” money.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57393 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 8:55 pm to
The title is click bait. SS won’t end outright in 2935. But, it will have to either cut payouts, or the Government is going to have to find a bunch of money it won’t have to cover expenses. Have a look at what the interest on the federal debt will be in 2035.

We’re in for some massive “middle class” tax hikes AND. deep spending cuts to everything but SS and debt service.
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 8:56 pm
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
6595 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:03 pm to
It needs to end tomorrow. Anyone that has paid in, whether a dollar or a life’s worth, get their money back.

Scrap it and stop taking it out of paychecks.
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 9:04 pm
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5064 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:10 pm to
quote:

SS includes the TF. It is currently $2T in surplus. If things remain unaddressed, the first SS deficits will occur next decade.


It has $2T in reserves.

"Following the bipartisan Social Security financing deal in 1983, Social Security ran a surplus every year until 2021. Starting in 2021, Social Security’s total cost exceeded its total income. However, the trust funds’ reserves supplement the program’s income —"

Posted by burger bearcat
Member since Oct 2020
8912 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:15 pm to
This country needs all these entitlements to crash. Kill the cancer
Posted by jamiegla1
Member since Aug 2016
7015 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

Don't leave any money on the table

this is my plan. my final "frick you" as if anyone would care
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
4206 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

But they can send billions upon billions to Ukraine and Israel.


The amount of all foreign aid the US sends to other countries is less than 1% of the federal budget. With the increased amount we've sent to Ukraine it might be a little over 1% for 2023.

SS/Medicare is 40% of the federal budget. Defense is next with 13% and no other single line item even gets close.

So comparing sending money to Israel and Ukraine in the context of money running out for SS is like paying a mortgage on a 7,000 square foot mansion and car payments on three new Cadillac Escalades and being pissed that your wife bought brand name peanut butter instead of the generic brand at the grocery store.

It's literally a complete non-factor.
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
12242 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:27 pm to
Yes I’m planning on it. I’m not relying on social security
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
12242 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:29 pm to
Well she’s a fricking moron so makes sense
Posted by geauxdaddy
Hendersonville, TN
Member since Nov 2009
563 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:46 pm to
Bruh I been hearing this for 40 years..........
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37162 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 9:53 pm to
In 2023, SS costs exceeded SS revenues.

By 2035, projected, the trust fund will run out.

At that point, benefit cuts will happen autoatically down to the level of what revenues can support. Unless another funding source is found.

By the way... that "trust fund' is full of government paper. How in the world do you think the fedgov is going to redeem that paper? Yup... they will have to issue more debt.

I know it's a spoof topic on the O-T, but this entire issue is 100% the fault of boomers.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124189 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 4:30 am to
quote:

Social Security is never going away.
----
Disagree
You disagree because you have no idea what SS is, or who is benefitting from it.

SS is not going away.

SS is not going away because it is the least expensive debt vehicle for a government with a massive spending problem. As the SSTF dwindles so does the government's benefit as a borrower. Hence the dog and pony show about rebuilding the trust fund.

SS is your personal loan to Uncle Sam. He badly needs to borrow your money. That is the reason for the emphasis on keeping SS in the black while everything else runs at a 30% deficit.

That is why Washington DC will not eliminate SS, will not privatize SS, will not shrink SS. To the contrary, the effort from DC will be to grow SS, to exact more money from working Americans, likely in exchange for an even more paltry ROI.

The DC crowd intimates that saving SS is about helping retirees. For the most part, folks pushing to "fix" SS do not give a rat's arse about retirees.

They only care about preserving a program which forces Americans to lend the government money over their entire working career. After 40-50 years, the program slowly returns borrowed money back to the worker at a pathetic rate of return set by the government, under the auspices of a "retirement benefit."

Summing it:
Uncle Sam is SS's beneficiary. He forces you to lend him money at terms he sets. Then when/if he pays you back at all, he mislabels you as the beneficiary..

Until you understand that, you're the patsy at the poker table.

Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124189 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 5:36 am to
quote:

this entire issue is 100% the fault of boomers
quote:

LSUFanHouston
Houston, we have a problem.
Rather than swimming in a pool of stupid, why don't you climb out and dry off.

First, FYI, the combined employer and employee tax went from 2% in 1940 to 12.4% starting in 1990, along with a declining relative value of benefits, and an increase in the retirement age. Quite an escalation.

The problem is the subsequently assigned ROI sucks!
Had SS ROI (which the government sets) simply approximated 30-yr treasury rates, there would be no SS "crisis" at all. Instead IIRC, SS internal rate of return for middle class and higher runs at a little over 1%. In other words, the government's allotted ROI for middle class contributors doesn't even keep up with inflation.

Does that register?

At those rates, contributions are worth less now in real terms than they were when they were first made. You think middle class boomers who lent Uncle Sam 12.4% of their salary over decades should be pleased to get it paid back at 1.2-2% avg rate of return?
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
25420 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 5:43 am to
This has been known for 30 years.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101671 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 5:44 am to
Is there any western country that doesn’t have the equivalent of Social Security?
Posted by grizzlylongcut
Member since Sep 2021
9555 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 5:57 am to
quote:

Social Security could end in 2035


Meh

Should’ve never been a thing to begin with.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124189 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 6:00 am to
quote:

Is there any western country that doesn’t have the equivalent of Social Security?


I'd be quite happy if we scrapped the thing.
But as stated, the Feds aren't giving up a program which forces Americans to lend at whatever rate the Feds want to pay. Instead they're champing at the bit to increase payroll taxes, which of course will further reduce ROI for contributions, while lending the Feds more money to fund the deficit.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101671 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 6:08 am to
quote:

I'd be quite happy if we scrapped the thing.


Same here.

No Western country is getting rid of anything like it, though.

The whole trust fund/surplus deal has never been anything but a shell game regardless. It’s never gonna not be.
Posted by Night Vision
Member since Feb 2018
5029 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 6:27 am to
At the rate the country and world are being destroyed you won't have to worry about SS in 2035.

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