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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread

Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:42 pm to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35643 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

HAFS-B 12z has this pushing as a borderline Cat 5 (926 mb) at landfall


This is the high end of my intensity range.
Posted by dhuck20
SCLSU Fan
Member since Oct 2012
20425 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:43 pm to
Not smart enough to know what the hayull I’m doing on tidbits
Posted by ThePoo
Work
Member since Jan 2007
60616 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

I was just looking at tidbits. They have that thing hitting Florida.. entering the Atlantic... then circling back.. crossing Florida and re-entering the Gulf... Then heading straight to New Orleans for Sept. 6th


Man that’s going to cause a huge problem with the other major hurricane hitting 3 days later that the women tracking their weather on Facebook keep sharing

They may even combine to become a category 8 supercane
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42834 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

It is where the NHC is located.

NHC says the next intermediate advisory is at 1:00 PM CDT.

Reminder for everyone that we don’t get a true new cone with the intermediate advisory. They just update the measurements and position.
Posted by Sidbarret
Charleston, SC
Member since Apr 2008
603 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:44 pm to
What do we think the chances are of a flight from Charleston to Orlando happening at noon on Thursday? Going to need to see the Tigers beat FSU.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42834 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:47 pm to
Here is what Idalia currently looks like from the closest Cuban radar site.

Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
99292 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

They may even combine to become a category 8 supercane


Holy frick! One of those could pick up sharks and the other pick up gators, leading to shark-gatornados, or shartornados, spinning off!!!
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:48 pm to
Man western Cuba has been getting hammered for days now
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
61842 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Here we go again brother





Dude, I am on vacation in Amelia Island and the damn thing if tracking me here. LOL


Im hoping it will stay north of Tampa bay. I did no prep when we left last week. I have no idea what to do and when to do it so I dont think it will do me any good to leave. Just gonna pull up a chair here and watch the show

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54771 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:52 pm to
Slowly creeping up.


Posted by Athis
Member since Aug 2016
11682 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

What model and run were you looking at? 12z gfs shows that but it’s a weak depression that barely clips the coast. Would be a nothingburger


That's the one I am looking at.. I realize now that my comment might have raised some concerns.. I apologize didn't mean that..
Posted by Wolfhound45
Hanging with Chicken in Lurkistan
Member since Nov 2009
120000 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:59 pm to
We moved into a new house in Parrish. Mrs 45 has been doing a lot of prepping. I went several months ago and got the stuff I need. We are set. Hopefully we do not get popped again this year
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11444 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:59 pm to
Lowest pressure and wind of the hurricane (H) models recent runs initialized at 12Z:

HWRF - 931.3 mb and 113.7 kt or 130 mph
HMON - 952.7 mb and 95.1 kt or 110 mph
HAFS-A - 950.8 mb and 98.4 kt or 115 mph
HAFS-B - 925.7 mb and 112.5 kt or 130 mph

All have landfall over or just east of Apalachee Bay.
Posted by tokenBoiler
Lafayette, Indiana
Member since Aug 2012
4428 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

They have that thing hitting Florida.. entering the Atlantic... then circling back.. crossing Florida and re-entering the Gulf... Then heading straight to New Orleans for Sept. 6th....
Picking up sharks all along the way, no doubt. Y'all are gonna need a bigger roux.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
35425 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

They have that thing hitting Florida.. entering the Atlantic... then circling back.. crossing Florida and re-entering the Gulf... Then heading straight to New Orleans for Sept. 6th....


Anyone that believes they would predict this if they weren't allowed to move the cone is a moron.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:21 pm to
Do you know how incredibly rare this is? Not impossible but it's extremely rare lol. GFS is also snorting coke regularly. Also, obligatory model run to find a way to put it right in the pooper of New Orleans. Never fails.
This post was edited on 8/28/23 at 1:23 pm
Posted by nolanola
Member since Nov 2010
7583 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:26 pm to
I'm flying through Atlanta and then to Pittsburgh on Friday afternoon. I'm assuming this shouldn't affect this?
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa
Member since Aug 2012
13631 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:27 pm to
Anyone know someone in Crawfordville or Perry? Those are the preliminary areas we are considering trying to setup in. (for Here to Serve, a charity that provides free meals to disaster victims)

If anyone knows of someone please have them contact me at alphaandomegatd@gmail.com
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
20251 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

I was just looking at tidbits. They have that thing hitting Florida.. entering the Atlantic... then circling back.. crossing Florida and re-entering the Gulf... Then heading straight to New Orleans for Sept. 6th....

It’s possible… so is winning the lottery while being struck my lightening
Posted by TigersnJeeps
FL Panhandle
Member since Jan 2021
1707 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:28 pm to
My parents live on Palma Sola Bay from the late 70s to late 90s. Water came over our seawall alot.... glad a major storm never impacted them over that time.
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