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Message
CPI comes in hotter than expected, futures down 1%+
Posted on 4/10/24 at 7:39 am
Posted on 4/10/24 at 7:39 am
Posted on 4/10/24 at 7:41 am to slackster
Anyone who thought inflation was going to get back to “normal” is nuts. Nothing indicated this.
Posted on 4/10/24 at 7:44 am to slackster
They will have to raise rates again.
Posted on 4/10/24 at 7:45 am to slackster
quote:
CPI comes in hotter than expected, futures down 1%+
quote:
Inflation Again Much Worse Than Expected In March
And on and on and on and on....
Posted on 4/10/24 at 7:46 am to slackster
Digital gold down 4% with higher inflation. Hmmm.
Posted on 4/10/24 at 7:52 am to slackster
Could have just bumped the last 12 monthly threads about this
Posted on 4/10/24 at 7:56 am to slackster
Dam Covid response(checks/Unemployment benefits etc) by government has screwed us years to come. The only positive is maybe this can get Biden out of office.
Posted on 4/10/24 at 8:00 am to slackster
Well I dumped a bunch of money on yesterday so that tracks.
Posted on 4/10/24 at 8:00 am to slackster
This is why you DCA into the market. I bought my first allocations for my cash account on 4/1.
Posted on 4/10/24 at 8:30 am to slackster
This was to be expected. It was replacing a super low number from last years reading
Posted on 4/10/24 at 8:50 am to slackster
I've said for a while now that we're more likely to see another hike before we see a cut, I continue to stand by that statement.
It doesn't matter how warped the job numbers are, as long as the actual job creation is ~200k or more and both initial and continued jobless claims remain low. These combine to tell us that workers are easily able to job-jump to other positions if they get laid off.
Those workers then do not need to change their spending habits, meaning the economy roars on. They are also continuing to create liquidity through increasing debt, just like the federal government.
As long as this is going on, inflation is going to keep being resistant to the efforts of rates at their current level.
Going forward, we're getting into the more expensive summer blends of gasoline, gasoline demand goes up in the spring and summer and OPEC is likely to keep their production rates down at their next meeting. Since the price of oil (and gasoline) impacts the price of everything, more inflation is coming.
All of this is why I've said the "soft landing" rhetoric is about as reliable and accurate as was the talk of inflation being "transitory".
It doesn't matter how warped the job numbers are, as long as the actual job creation is ~200k or more and both initial and continued jobless claims remain low. These combine to tell us that workers are easily able to job-jump to other positions if they get laid off.
Those workers then do not need to change their spending habits, meaning the economy roars on. They are also continuing to create liquidity through increasing debt, just like the federal government.
As long as this is going on, inflation is going to keep being resistant to the efforts of rates at their current level.
Going forward, we're getting into the more expensive summer blends of gasoline, gasoline demand goes up in the spring and summer and OPEC is likely to keep their production rates down at their next meeting. Since the price of oil (and gasoline) impacts the price of everything, more inflation is coming.
All of this is why I've said the "soft landing" rhetoric is about as reliable and accurate as was the talk of inflation being "transitory".
Posted on 4/10/24 at 9:13 am to slackster
quote:
CPI comes in hotter than expected, futures down 1%+
and if we do eliminate student loans, that will throw more money into the economy increasing more pressure on inflation
Posted on 4/10/24 at 11:43 am to slackster
I want interest rates as high as possible, rewards financially responsible people.
Posted on 4/11/24 at 7:05 am to slackster
Just creates bigger opportunities to buy calls and puts on the SPY. Buy calls in the support zones and puts in the resistance zones. In and out on the ODTE options can be very lucrative if you are disciplined with stops.
Posted on 4/12/24 at 6:12 am to slackster
quote:
hotter than expected
Posted on 4/14/24 at 9:03 am to slackster
quote:
CPI comes in hotter
Yep. Makes sense.
quote:
than expected
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