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AI timeline

Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:17 pm
Posted by Bamafig
Member since Nov 2018
4699 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:17 pm
We keep hearing these fantastic predictions concerning AI. We are told that AGI is feasible within 2-3 years. My question is this, how do we power these energy hogs? Our power grid is dated and fragile. Nearly every new power project will be challenged in court or stopped/delayed by some activist judge. China is on lining hundreds of new power plants. AI is an existential threat if we are on the wrong end of it.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
125368 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:20 pm to
These pretzels are makin me thirsty
Posted by theCrusher
Slidell
Member since Nov 2007
1398 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:20 pm to
You should rewatch the matrix.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
65773 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

how do we power these energy hogs?

With your tax dollars, of course.
Posted by Bamafig
Member since Nov 2018
4699 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:22 pm to
Two great answers. Keep em coming!
Posted by carrguitar
Member since Oct 2014
917 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:23 pm to
Sounds like a Holly Ridge problem if you ask me
Posted by SidetrackSilvera
Member since Nov 2012
2398 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

existential threat


Let's fricking get it over with. I'm sick of answering emails.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
37588 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

We are told that AGI is feasible within 2-3 years.


Only in the most optimistic timelines is that true. Most say decades or more if it is even achievable.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
29417 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:32 pm to
With your tax dollars, of course.

That’s actually not true it frick it, say it anyway
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
8756 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:34 pm to
This is a perfect time to use AI to get an answer to your question. There are many solutions.
Posted by forkedintheroad
Member since Feb 2025
236 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

We are told that AGI is feasible within 2-3 years.


I have to figure out my AGI yearly.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
65773 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

That’s actually not true it frick it, say it anyway

Sure, sure......
Posted by Traffic Circle
Down the Rabbit Hole
Member since Nov 2013
4585 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 2:18 pm to
When are the life-like sex robots arriving?
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
23115 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

My question is this, how do we power these energy hogs?


Nuclear plants for now. That way AI has plenty of places to explode to wipe us out.

If we actually get real AGI, you will actually see real improvements in energy efficiencies. That is what AI is supposed to do, figure complex problems with solutions we cannot see yet.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
23115 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

When are the life-like sex robots arriving?


We are just waiting for Realdoll and Grok to get linked to together.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
50271 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 3:30 pm to
Those LA projects might be on hold and even if they do get completed Entergy is gonna fleece it's customers!


Investors and developers are putting financing decisions on hold as they try to determine how much more their projects will cost to complete, partially due to tariffs and other economic uncertainties.

About 28% of planned wind, solar and battery projects have been delayed or canceled, according to an Atlas Public Policy analysis of government energy data. Delays and cancellations had been growing but recently accelerated, according to the data, which provides a snapshot of existing and planned power generation across the country. Only about 10% of projects, or 12,000 megawatts, were delayed or canceled in 2022.

Efforts to build natural-gas-fired power plants face similar challenges—wait times for turbines can stretch beyond three years.

While many companies say AI could be transformational for business, searches on AI platforms can use sometimes 10 times the amount of energy as a single Google search. Trends suggest that by 2030, data centers for training the largest AI models will require more than five gigawatts of electricity—or roughly enough to power about 5,000 Walmart stores.
Posted by Crisprdestroyer
Member since Sep 2017
692 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 3:45 pm to
The guy I heard in the ai business said by the end of the decade with general ai. That same person has now said it ain’t happening because the advancement has kinda plateaued. Better processing power is not the problem I was told they need better math.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
11847 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 3:55 pm to
Grok certainly answered several questions with wrong information, of mine.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
44364 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

Grok certainly answered several questions with wrong information, of mine.
Watched a documentary recently, they had google ceo and some other geniuses on there. They all said if AI doesn't know an answer, it lies. They call it "hallucinations" and they don't know exactly why it lies or how it learned to lie.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
65773 posts
Posted on 4/24/25 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Watched a documentary recently, they had google ceo and some other geniuses on there. They all said if AI doesn't know an answer, it lies. They call it "hallucinations" and they don't know exactly why it lies or how it learned to lie.

It doesn't just lie, it completely fabricates information, and not just meaningless shite. ChatGPT has been caught multiple times fabricating scientific studies/research and attributing it to real people in related fields. Sometimes it even gives fake links that don't lead to the cited info when questioned.

I've seen Grok argue that clearly fake shite is real, and when challenged it doubled and tripled down.
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