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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:09 pm to
Posted by LSU-MNCBABY
Knightsgate
Member since Jan 2004
24399 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

My kids' school just sent an email summarized as "We don't see any real threat for Monday in Baton Rouge, so we are having a school. We will close Tuesday and Wednesday though from the future threat of a storm thats still way out and not even in the gulf." SMH


Our kids goto the same school
Posted by tigafan4life
Member since Dec 2006
48995 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:10 pm to
They should have canceled Monday and then wait and see for rest of week.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36818 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:10 pm to
Yikes .. one of those lines is over my house.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
91712 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:12 pm to
I agree. Think Tuesday will be clear.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35715 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:14 pm to


The shear is pretty obvious over Marco with all the cloudiness displaced to the NE. You can also see a little tongue of dry air on the SW side. So obvious limits to intensification are in place. The storm is pulsing some impressive convection near the center, typical of a storm fighting shear but with a nice warm water pool to work with.

Seems like it's holding serve with the NHC forecast to this point. I'm still thinking a TS for landfall tomorrow vs it still being a hurricane though.

Doubt the NHC does much of a path change at 4 pm for either system.
Posted by berrycajun
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2016
6913 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

seriously... did NOAA9 get called into a search & rescue mission? they keep circling the same spot over and over off the Florida west coast


That’s the hurricane hunters. They drop the dropsondes into the eye of the cane to check the pressure and wind speed. They go every few hours. The data from the dropsondes is what nhc uses to update the category of the canes and the width of the eye etc. the pressure drops tell a lot about the health of the storm
Posted by whoa
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
4716 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:14 pm to
Looks like the track shifted slightly East?
Posted by tommy2tone1999
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2008
6860 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

Yikes .. one of those lines is over my house.


Don't worry the projected route will change at least 5 times before landfall
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36818 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

You can also see a little tongue of dry air


Could you circle it for me??? I'd love to see and learn. Thanks.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36818 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:19 pm to
Truly not panicked -- it's just always weird to see. That said, we've got what we need and my husband is getting the generator ready.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141661 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

That’s the hurricane hunters. They drop the dropsondes into the eye of the cane to check the pressure and wind speed. They go every few hours. The data from the dropsondes is what nhc uses to update the category of the canes and the width of the eye etc. the pressure drops tell a lot about the health of the storm

I know what that plane is... that's just not a path I'm used to seeing them fly

you usually see the "alpha" pattern when a plane is inside a storm



unless called to do something else... or as someone else stated earlier in response to my questions... the plane was calibrating its instruments
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35715 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

Could you circle it for me??? I'd love to see and learn. Thanks.


I did and then my drawing didn't save and I got lazy.

So look like halfway between the Yucatan and the central blob of storms. See the darker gray air relative to the surroundings? That's it. It's not a lot but it's always been expected to be there and might be something Marco sucks into the circulation. With the shear around, that would kill any future hurricane chances if it takes a gulp.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36818 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:24 pm to
Duke, thanks.
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
18972 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

I did and then my drawing didn't save and I got lazy.

So look like halfway between the Yucatan and the central blob of storms. See the darker gray air relative to the surroundings? That's it. It's not a lot but it's always been expected to be there and might be something Marco sucks into the circulation. With the shear around, that would kill any future hurricane chances if it takes a gulp.


Posted by Armymann50
Playing with my
Member since Sep 2011
17272 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:35 pm to
can I touch it?
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35715 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:35 pm to
Posted by Hydrilla Gorilla
North Shore
Member since May 2017
1442 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:38 pm to
My money is on FenrirTheBeard as the lone downvote
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7383 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:40 pm to
Duke- I just heard someone from NHC say up to 15 inches of rain. In the link (thanks again) that shows cumulative rain falls I am not seeing much of that. How are you feeling in general about the Morgan City area?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25833 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:40 pm to
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
125037 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 3:43 pm to
When is thing gonna hit? Will I have time to get gas and a few other things tomorrow?
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