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Started By
Message
Nate Bronze says it's a Toss Up
Posted on 8/1/24 at 11:53 am
Posted on 8/1/24 at 11:53 am
15
Posted on 8/1/24 at 11:54 am to Seldom Seen
I don't see how there can be a 6 point plus swing between PA and MI
Posted on 8/1/24 at 11:55 am to Clemsontigers02
MI has voted very anti-MAGA in recent elections. Whitmer won the state by >10% in 2022
This post was edited on 8/1/24 at 11:58 am
Posted on 8/1/24 at 11:56 am to Clemsontigers02
quote:Wouldn't that be more like 14 ?
I don't see how there can be a 6 point plus swing between PA and MI
Posted on 8/1/24 at 11:58 am to Seldom Seen
It's now "close" enough to mask the classic Democrat funny tricks. They don't need to be leading, they just need the margin small enough to do the ballot harvesting etc.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 11:59 am to Seldom Seen
I fully expect this bitch to win. The amount of low voters we have that vote based on identity politics is disturbing as hell. And I live in Tennessee and see them all the time.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:02 pm to Seldom Seen
If you don’t think this race is extremely tight you’re not paying attention.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:05 pm to Ostrich
It's only tight if you factor in the fraud. The economy is in the toilet that usually doesn't help the incumbent party.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:06 pm to Seldom Seen
There will be fraud and she will “win”
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:07 pm to EZE Tiger Fan
Maybe but I don't think the Republicans are gonna just sit by and let them get away with it like they did the last time. This time they want to win.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:08 pm to Seldom Seen
This skank is gonna win. Isn’t she? Freaking women voters.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:09 pm to LSUbacchus81
quote:
fully expect this bitch to win. The amount of low voters we have that vote based on identity politics is disturbing as hell.
+1
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:14 pm to EZE Tiger Fan
It's not close they will have to cheat MASSIVELY to win. How about stop saying "oh they will cheat" and start figuring out ways to prevent that from happening instead of just accepting it
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:25 pm to Seldom Seen
I'd take those results.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:26 pm to Clemsontigers02
They're usually close but D is also a few points better in MI than PA. In the last 30 years the dims have only gotten less than 51% in MI once (2016), meanwhile Obama is the only dim to break 51% in PA.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 12:26 pm to Seldom Seen
If you look at the polls, Trump's Polling average number on RCP is highest its been since 1st debate with Biden. Kamala's numbers are higher then Biden's....
what i see is a honeymoon bump. she is not taking trump supporters, she is securing biden's jumpers... she is at her peak, and as people ket to know the candidate more, they will fall....
what i see is a honeymoon bump. she is not taking trump supporters, she is securing biden's jumpers... she is at her peak, and as people ket to know the candidate more, they will fall....
Posted on 8/1/24 at 9:15 pm to Seldom Seen
If Trump wins PA it’s over
Posted on 8/1/24 at 9:34 pm to Clemsontigers02
quote:
I don't see how there can be a 6 point plus swing between PA and MI
I’m guessing those are Nate’s odds to win each state and not poll numbers.
Posted on 8/1/24 at 9:41 pm to The Boat
quote:
I’m guessing those are Nate’s odds to win each state and not poll numbers
without a doubt. You just need to see the betting odds. Posted on 8/1/24 at 9:50 pm to SDVTiger
I’d love to see Trump’s odds to win each of these states on Election Day in 2020. I’m guessing it was very low and he almost won despite widespread fraud. If Trump’s odds are 50/50 anywhere it means he’s running away with that state.
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