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Trump up +24 with independents

Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:43 pm
Posted by NashvilleTider
Your Mom
Member since Jan 2007
12459 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:43 pm
Posted by SingleMalt1973
Member since Feb 2022
15271 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:43 pm to
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
78876 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:44 pm to
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
18033 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:44 pm to
Not sure if I believe it, but if so...
Posted by geauxbrown
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
21030 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:45 pm to
Damned I hope that poll is accurate. If so, and the election was today it would be a big win for OMB!
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
73554 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:46 pm to
Some of these polling groups are…questionable, but I’m not sure why people are freaking out on here.

He has been polling exceptionally well.

Compared to 2020, Biden was up over Trump by nearly 8 points at this point.

Trump is up over Harris right now.
This post was edited on 8/1/24 at 2:49 pm
Posted by PrattvilleTiger
Prattville Al
Member since May 2020
1959 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:50 pm to
There's 6 or 7 states that matter. Is he up in those states?
Posted by tigersbb
Member since Oct 2012
10942 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Trump is up over Harris right now.


So Harris is under Trump right now? Hmmm....
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
43457 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:54 pm to
If independents are breaking for Trump by 24%, this will be over within an hour of polls closing.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
73554 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

There's 6 or 7 states that matter. Is he up in those states?
AZ, GA, WI - Yes, although WI is close.

MI - unknown because only poll is a +11 for Harris one that is an extreme outlier.

PA - unknown since the company that pulled out the +11 has Trump up +4, so I don’t trust it.

VA - very close, but no recent polls

This post was edited on 8/1/24 at 2:55 pm
Posted by WaltWhite504
Member since Sep 2021
1760 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:55 pm to
Exact same twitter has this pinned at the top. Predicts Harris gets 284 electoral votes and wins.

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
73554 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:57 pm to
I’ll have to disagree with that map.

AZ, NV, and GA aren’t all going for Harris.

Also, Morning Consult is the poll that gave Harris +11 in MI.

If they are using that poll, AZ would be in Trump’s column.

Even they have AZ going red still.
This post was edited on 8/1/24 at 2:59 pm
Posted by NashvilleTider
Your Mom
Member since Jan 2007
12459 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:57 pm to
That isn't a poll - it's predict it which changes hourly.

She is awful and her campaign will collapse
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
43457 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:58 pm to
Harris is not winning Arizona.

She's not currently winning Georgia.

Trump is not winning Pennsylvania.

Harris is not winning BOTH Michigan and Wisconsin.



That map is a joke.
Posted by Tmcgin
BATON ROUGE
Member since Jun 2010
5569 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 2:58 pm to
So it’s carnage and fake news at same time
Ah how the MAGA turns
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
17776 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

If independents are breaking for Trump by 24%, this will be over within an hour of polls closing.


It's not the polls closing we should worry about.

It's the counting stopping and "restarting."
Posted by WaltWhite504
Member since Sep 2021
1760 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

AZ, GA, WI


AZ - Mark Kelly will be the VP and that will give her AZ

GA - Dems will run clips of Trump calling black women nasty and that will give her GA

WI - toss up, but Trump took a big hit in Michigan yesterday and they often vote the same.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
18033 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Tmcgin


You get dumber by the day.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
73554 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

So it’s carnage and fake news at same time Ah how the MAGA turns
These are two different polls.

The Morning Consult one is so fricking weird.

They have Harris winning MI by a wider margin than is predicted in states like WA and OR, 11 points.

Then they have Harris only up in the GE poll by 2.

It makes no sense.
Posted by VOR
Member since Apr 2009
64434 posts
Posted on 8/1/24 at 3:02 pm to
Nonsense. Doesn’t mean anything yet
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