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re: DAT 4/26: Can't Lose Today edition

Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:30 pm to
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
27759 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:30 pm to
Id bet money the Astros are in first place by the all-star break. A double-digit win streak is coming.
Posted by Corinthians420
Iowa
Member since Jun 2022
6623 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

the numbers are telling me what this team is.

The numbers say we are the 6th or 7th best hitting team in baseball. Hell we are 4th in wRC+

(runs created adjusted for external factors)

Pitching has been horrible and we've had some bad luck to not be scoring more
This post was edited on 4/25/24 at 4:34 pm
Posted by Horsemeat
Truckin' somewhere in the US
Member since Dec 2014
13554 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

Id bet money the Astros are in first place by the all-star break.
I'll take that bet.
Posted by A Menace to Sobriety
Member since Jun 2018
29127 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:35 pm to
Just dropping in to say not here for the Astros cuz who gives a frick about them, but I'm here to make sure you baws are doing well.
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
71021 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:36 pm to
Posted by TigerFan91
:red:
Member since Jan 2005
27144 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:37 pm to
Bruv that don’t make a frick if you aren’t scoring runs and doing that with runners on.

You can blame the pitching injuries and shite all you want. Outside of maybe 6-7 games they haven’t won because the offense sucks fricking dick. But sick wRC+ numbers very cool
Posted by LSUTIGERS8181
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2012
10031 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:39 pm to
2013 here we come
Posted by Corinthians420
Iowa
Member since Jun 2022
6623 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

Bruv that don’t make a frick if you aren’t scoring runs and doing that with runners on.

Baseball has a ton of luck. The numbers show we are making good contact just aren't finding holes.

That is very important. If we can maintain these numbers over the course of the season the luck will push towards averaging out
This post was edited on 4/25/24 at 4:44 pm
Posted by TigerFan91
:red:
Member since Jan 2005
27144 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:47 pm to
It’s not bad luck when Bregman is hitting weak pop ups or rolling over balls every at bat with RISP and Abreu and Chas are striking out. The good players on this team are still good. The guys they REALLY needed to win and compete have completely regressed to a borderline unplayable level (Chas, Breg, and Abreu).

It’s not bad luck, the big AB’s find the worst players and the worst players end up being what they are. Bad.
Posted by Domeskeller
Member since Jun 2020
7829 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

The numbers say we are the 6th or 7th best hitting team in baseball. Hell we are 4th in wRC+

(runs created adjusted for external factors)




The Astros are tied for 20th in runs scored. That's the one offensive stat they count.

But I'll play along. With RISP, the Astros are 17th in BA, 21st in OBP and 22nd in OPS.

quote:

Exactly. We've had slumps like this before too. You are just panicking more because it's the beginning of the year


This team was 22-22 in its last 44 regular-season games last year, and 6-5 in the playoffs. A 28-27 record over 55 games.

As mediocre as that is, that team never went 7-19 over a 26 game span. They did split their first 36 games. The high-water mark of the season was 20 over .500 at 82-62, which means they went 8-10 in the final 18 regular season games. And they had to win 5 of the last 6 in the last week of the regular season to make the playoffs or that slide would have been worse.

Adding this year's 7-19 record to that 28-27 finish last year, and this team is 35-46 over its last 81 games, which is half of a regular season.

This is a bad team, as constructed. When you start to say "we just need X and X and X to improve", that's a bad team. The chances all three phases will be better and click all at once and continue to click all season are slim.
This post was edited on 4/25/24 at 4:57 pm
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
12209 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:58 pm to
lol that team is terrible right now. I would have been pissed if the Cubs didn’t sweep
Posted by Cliff Booth
Member since Feb 2021
2546 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 4:58 pm to
Nailed it. It was a good run. It's time to rebuild so we can start a new one.

Unfortunately Crane thought we were just one $95 million reliever away
Posted by Floating Change Up
Member since Dec 2013
11859 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

Id bet money the Astros are in first place by the all-star break.


$100.00 venmo me at: TheAstrosWillCostYouMoney@EveryDay.com
Posted by texastiger38
Member since Sep 2007
25175 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 5:08 pm to
BAGWELLS ASTROS
Posted by Corinthians420
Iowa
Member since Jun 2022
6623 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

It's time to rebuild so we can start a new one.

In yordan and tuckers prime

7 straight ALCS trips has turned our fanbase soft
This post was edited on 4/25/24 at 5:14 pm
Posted by Off McVoy
Member since Feb 2006
3991 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 5:44 pm to
Blow it up
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61295 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 5:47 pm to
Hopefully they start discounting merchandise at the team store.
Posted by DalenSA
Member since Jan 2023
1648 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 6:27 pm to
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76679 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

BAGWELLS ASTROS


Crane, Bagwell and Reggie Jackson fricking up our universe.
Posted by Obi-Wan Tiger
Fulshear TX
Member since Jan 2004
6886 posts
Posted on 4/25/24 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

The Astros are tied for 20th in runs scored. That's the one offensive stat they count. But I'll play along. With RISP, the Astros are 17th in BA, 21st in OBP and 22nd in OPS.


And my question is (and admittedly I’m not as up on the advanced stats) what are they in the context of close games? What are we doing in the late innings? What happens when you back out the blowout wins vs Toronto (2) and Texas. Not asking for the research. Just rhetorical.

We’ve scored 3 runs or less in 16 of 26 games. Can get away with that with lights out pitching. We don’t have that…and on the few games we do, we usually can’t even get to 3.

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