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Started By
Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/4/24 at 7:06 am to StormyMcMan
Posted on 5/4/24 at 7:06 am to StormyMcMan
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 04 May 2024
The average daily number of Russian casualties (killed and wounded) in Ukraine throughout April 2024 remained in the pattern of 2024, with 899 losses per day.
It is likely that Russia's casualty rate will again increase over the next two months as they renew dedicated offensive operations in eastern Ukraine. This follows a slight decrease in the pace of operations over the past two months since the fall of Avdiivka.
·
The total number of Russian losses since the start of the conflict now stands at over 465,000. It is likely that despite the extreme cost in life, Russia has fully adapted its military to attritional warfare which relies on mass over quality. This reliance on mass will almost certainly continue for the duration of the Ukraine war and have long-lasting effects on Russia's future army.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 04 May 2024
The average daily number of Russian casualties (killed and wounded) in Ukraine throughout April 2024 remained in the pattern of 2024, with 899 losses per day.
It is likely that Russia's casualty rate will again increase over the next two months as they renew dedicated offensive operations in eastern Ukraine. This follows a slight decrease in the pace of operations over the past two months since the fall of Avdiivka.
·
The total number of Russian losses since the start of the conflict now stands at over 465,000. It is likely that despite the extreme cost in life, Russia has fully adapted its military to attritional warfare which relies on mass over quality. This reliance on mass will almost certainly continue for the duration of the Ukraine war and have long-lasting effects on Russia's future army.
1
Posted on 5/4/24 at 9:06 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
Cameron said Ukraine had a right to use the weapons provided by London to strike targets inside Russia, and that it was up to Kyiv whether to do so. "Ukraine has that right. Just as Russia is striking inside Ukraine, you can quite understand why Ukraine feels the need to make sure it's defending itself," Cameron told Reuters outside St. Michael's Cathedral.
This should have been allowed two years ago.
Now lets see how long it takes or even if Biden, Scholz and Macron follow through.
Ukraine needs to eliminate Belgorod.
Posted on 5/4/24 at 10:20 am to cypher
quote:
The total number of Russian losses since the start of the conflict now stands at over 465,000
Let’s see BDI reports 465,000 Russian deaths in two years and 71 days.
365+366(leap year)+71= 802 days.
465,000 divided by 802 = 580 deaths per day on average.
Lima Whiskey reports 50,000 Russian deaths.
50,000 divided by 802 = 62 deaths per day.
Sauces???????! I guess it depends on your sauces.
Posted on 5/4/24 at 10:28 am to doubleb
quote:
Let’s see BDI reports 465,000 Russian deaths in two years and 71 days.
I believe that is killed and wounded, not sure though. Somewhat ambiguous given their casualty definition...
"The average daily number of Russian casualties (killed and wounded)..."
This post was edited on 5/4/24 at 10:38 am
Posted on 5/4/24 at 10:46 am to AU86
quote:
Ukraine needs to eliminate Belgorod
Well, I didn't verify this photo/headline from today, but it's certainly happened several times before. Russia is quite capable of damaging Belgorod without Ukrainian help.
Posted on 5/4/24 at 10:59 am to cypher
quote:
I believe that is killed and wounded, not sure though. Somewhat ambiguous given their casualty definition...
Yes, it could be, but they talk about the extreme loss of life. It is misleading, but I think the 465K is probably wounded and killed Russians.
Posted on 5/4/24 at 11:17 am to doubleb
Posted on 5/4/24 at 11:42 am to ColtRange
Slava Rosiya!
Posted on 5/4/24 at 3:46 pm to ColtRange
Posted on 5/4/24 at 4:12 pm to SirWinston
quote:
SirWinston
Liars lie.
Posted on 5/4/24 at 4:36 pm to doubleb
New estimate came out yesterday:
LINK
France estimates that 150,000 Russian soldiers have been killed in the Ukraine war
France estimates that 150,000 Russian soldiers have been killed during Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, Foreign Minister Stéphane Séjourné said in an interview published on Friday.
LINK
France estimates that 150,000 Russian soldiers have been killed in the Ukraine war
France estimates that 150,000 Russian soldiers have been killed during Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, Foreign Minister Stéphane Séjourné said in an interview published on Friday.
quote:
"Europe and its partners will remain united and determined, for as long as necessary. Russia's military failure is already apparent. We estimate Russian military losses at 500,000, including 150,000 deaths," he said.
Posted on 5/4/24 at 8:06 pm to GOP_Tiger
frick yeah, I love seeing enemies of America die without any American blood spilled.
Posted on 5/4/24 at 9:01 pm to Hateradedrink
ISW Update
quote:
Key Takeaways:
Russian forces made a notable tactical advance northwest of Avdiivka near Arkhanhelske on the night of May 3 to 4, likely following a Ukrainian decision to withdraw from the area on May 3.
The Kremlin continues efforts to portray its unprovoked war of aggression against Ukraine as something other than what it is while continuing to assert the jurisdiction of Russian federal law over sovereign states.
The Russian law enforcement conducted a search on May 4 of supporters of imprisoned Russian ultranationalist and former officer Igor Girkin (aka Strelkov) in Tula Oblast, possibly in an attempt to set information conditions to ban the movement in Russia.
Russian forces recently advanced near Avdiivka and Donetsk City and in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area.
The Kremlin is continuing its ongoing campaign to centralize control over Donetsk People’s Republic’s (DNR) irregular forces by co-opting DNR commanders and officials.
Posted on 5/4/24 at 9:39 pm to StormyMcMan
Posted on 5/4/24 at 9:41 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:
frick yeah, I love seeing enemies of America die without any American blood spilled.
These guys are thrilled they could entertain you and Lindsey Graham.
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Posted on 5/4/24 at 10:35 pm to ColtRange
I remember when there posts containing intercepted cell phone calls between Russian troops and family stating how bad things were....
Either the Russians have better comm discipline or things have improved....
maybe both...
Either the Russians have better comm discipline or things have improved....
maybe both...
Posted on 5/5/24 at 1:56 am to ColtRange
It's heartbreaking. This poor lad is doomed to death by filthy Volodymyr Zelenskyy and all the war profiteers
People who support this war are evil af.
People who support this war are evil af.
Posted on 5/5/24 at 3:31 am to TigersnJeeps
The Ukranians were creating most of those.
Posted on 5/5/24 at 4:29 am to TigersnJeeps
quote:
I remember when there posts containing intercepted cell phone calls between Russian troops and family stating how bad things were....
Posted on 5/5/24 at 6:13 am to SirWinston
So those were all fake?
Taken out of context?
or just not as reliable sources as yours?
Taken out of context?
or just not as reliable sources as yours?
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